2026 Australian Open

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Alcaraz to complete Career Grand Slam

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Sun 01 Feb 2026 04:15

Andrew Hendrie 01 Feb 2026

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic predictions for Sunday's Australian Open final
Alcaraz aiming to become the youngest man in the Open Era to complete Career Slam
Djokovic bidding to win a 25th major title & 11th Australian Open title
The match is scheduled to start at 7.30pm AEDT on Sunday February 1

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Carlos Alcaraz & Novak Djokovic (Photo by Getty Images)

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

It's one of the biggest Grand Slam finals of all time as Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic collide for the 2026 Australian Open title on Sunday night.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Alcaraz vs Djokovic Stats & Trends
Alcaraz vs Djokovic Head To Head
Carlos Alcaraz Form Analysis
Novak Djokovic Form Analysis
Alcaraz vs Djokovic Live Stream

History beckons inside Rod Laver Arena in what is arguably the most-anticipated Grand Slam final in recent memory. Either Carlos Alcaraz becomes the youngest man in the Open Era to complete the Career Grand Slam or Novak Djokovic stands alone as the only singles player ever to pick up 25 major titles. Djokovic stunned the world as a $10 outsider by outlasting two-time defending champion Jannik Sinner in a five-set classic in the semi-finals and will now be aiming to improve his extraordinary 10-0 record in Australian Open finals and capture his first slam title since the 2023 US Open. Meanwhile, Alcaraz survived a five-set epic of his own in the semis, overcoming a bout of cramps and Alexander Zverev to advance into his first Australian Open final, improving his record in Grand Slam deciding sets to a ridiculous 15-1.

I would love for this to be an all-time classic and you can absolutely never discount the GOAT, but I just can't see Djokovic outlasting Sinner and Alcaraz back-to-back at 38 years of age over the space of 48 hours. If he does, it's arguably the most herculean effort in sporting history. We've seen Djokovic struggle to back up after long matches over the last year - he was eliminated in all four Grand Slam semi-finals last year without winning a single set. Alcaraz has transformed into a consistently ruthless beast at the majors, winning 11 of his last 13 slam matches in straight sets - and he was on course to straight set Zverev before the onset of cramps.

I believe Alcaraz 3-0 in set betting offers some good value here, along with Under 39.5 total games. Four of the last five matches between the pair have ended in straight sets - including Alcaraz's 6-4 7-6 6-2 triumph in the US Open semi-finals last year. I'm also liking Djokovic to serve Under 9.5 aces - he's never hit double-digit ace figures in all nine previous meetings with Alcaraz and if this is a short-ish match, that will only become more difficult.

Alcaraz vs Djokovic Stats & Trends

Alcaraz has won 26 of his last 27 Grand Slam matches
Alcaraz has a 14-2 record in Grand Slam & Masters 1000 finals
Alcaraz has a 6-1 record in Grand Slam finals
Alcaraz has won 11 of his last 13 Grand Slam matches in straight sets
Four of the last five meetings between the pair have ended in straight sets
Alcaraz has won three of the last four Grand Slam meetings between the pair
Djokovic is 4-8 vs World No. 1 players in Grand Slam matches
Djokovic has lost two of his last three Grand Slam finals
Djokovic's last consecutive wins over the No. 1 & No. 2 ranked players was in 2023
Djokovic has served Under 9.5 aces in all nine previous meetings with Alcaraz
Djokovic served five aces in his four-set match with Alcaraz at last year's Australian Open
Over the last 52 weeks, Alcaraz has only been aced on 5.1 per cent of his return points

Alcaraz vs Djokovic Player Profiles

Category	Carlos Alcaraz (ESP)	Novak Djokovic (SRB)
Country	Spain	Serbia
Place of Birth	El Palmar, Murcia, Spain	Belgrade, Serbia
Current Ranking	No. 1	No. 4
Age	22	38
Height	6'0" (183 cm)	6'2" (188 cm)
Weight	163 lbs (74 kg)	181 lbs (82 kg)
Plays	Right-handed	Right-handed
Backhand	Two-handed	Two-handed
Turned Pro	2018	2003
Career Win/Loss	280 / 65	1163 / 233
Career Titles	24	101
Career Prize Money	$60,032,046	$191,252,375

Alcaraz vs Djokovic Head To Head

Djokovic leads 5-4, but Alcaraz won their most-recent clash in the 2025 US Open semi-finals in straight sets. Djokovic famously toppled the Spaniard in two tiebreaks to secure an elusive Olympic gold medal at the 2024 Paris Games.

Year	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025	US Open	Semi-final	Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	6–4, 7–6(4), 6–2
2025	Australian Open	Quarter-final	Hard	Novak Djokovic	4–6, 6–4, 6–3, 6–4
2024	Paris Olympics	Final	Clay	Novak Djokovic	7–6(3), 7–6(2)
2024	Wimbledon	Final	Grass	Carlos Alcaraz	6–2, 6–2, 7–6(4)
2023	Nitto ATP Finals (Turin)	Semi-final	Indoor Hard	Novak Djokovic	6–3, 6–2
2023	Cincinnati (ATP Masters 1000)	Final	Hard	Novak Djokovic	5–7, 7–6(7), 7–6(4)
2023	Wimbledon	Final	Grass	Carlos Alcaraz	1–6, 7–6(6), 6–1, 3–6, 6–4
2023	Roland Garros	Semi-final	Clay	Novak Djokovic	6–3, 5–7, 6–1, 6–1
2022	Madrid (ATP Masters 1000)	Semi-final	Clay	Carlos Alcaraz	6–7(5), 7–5, 7–6(5)

Carlos Alcaraz Form Analysis

2026 Record: 6-0
Australian Open Record: 17-4
Grand Slam Record: 90-13
Current Ranking: No. 1
Career-High Ranking: No. 1

Road to Australian Open final

Round	Opponent	Score
1st Round	Adam Walton	6–3, 7–6(2), 6–2
2nd Round	Yannick Hanfmann	7–6(4), 6–3, 6–2
3rd Round	Corentin Moutet	6–2, 6–4, 6–1
4th Round	Tommy Paul	7–6(6), 6–4, 7–5
Quarter-Final	Alex de Minaur	7–5, 6–2, 6–1
Semi-Final	Alexander Zverev	6–4, 7–6(5), 6–7(3), 6–7(4), 7–5

Alcaraz has picked up from where he left off last year at the majors, with his split with Juan Carlos Ferrero so far not doing any damage.

The Spaniard picked up his fifth and sixth major titles at Roland Garros and the US Open in 2025 and now stands on the verge of his seventh slam trophy and first at the Australian Open.

Afer easing past Adam Walton, Yannick Hanfmann and Corentin Moutet, Alcaraz raised his level for straight set dispatches of seeded players Tommy Paul and Alex de Minaur.

Alcaraz was on course for another straight sets win over Alexander Zverev in the semi-finals, but he was suddenly struck down by cramps early in the third set. The 22-year-old soldiered on, but dropped the next two sets in tiebreaks.

However, Alcaraz recovered in the deciding set, breaking Zverev as the German served for the match at 5-4, reeling off four straight games to emerge a 6-4, 7-6(5), 6-7(3), 6-7(4), 7-5 winner in the longest ever Australian Open semi-final at five hours and 27 minutes.

“I always say you have to believe in yourself, no matter if you are struggling or what you have been through," Alcaraz said in his on-court interview. "No matter about anything, you still have to believe in yourself all the time. I was struggling in the middle of the third set. Physically it was one of the most demanding matches that I have played in my short career.“I have been in these kinds of situations and I knew what I had to do. I had to put my heart into the match. I think I did it and I fought until the last ball. I knew I was going to have my chances. I am extremely proud of myself with the way that I fought and came back in the fifth set.”

Novak Djokovic Form Analysis

2026 Record: 6-0
Australian Open Record: 105-10
Grand Slam Record: 403-55
Current Ranking: No. 4
Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2011)

Road to Australian Open final

Round	Opponent	Score
1st Round	Pedro Martínez	6–3, 6–2, 6–2
2nd Round	Francesco Maestrelli	6–3, 6–2, 6–2
3rd Round	Botic van de Zandschulp	6–3, 6–4, 7–6(4)
4th Round	Jakub Menšík	Walkover
Quarter-Final	Lorenzo Musetti	4–6, 3–6, 1–3 ret.
Semi-Final	Jannik Sinner	3–6, 6–3, 4–6, 6–4, 6–4

It was no doubt one of the easiest passages through to a Grand Slam semi-final we've seen - and Djokovic certainly made the most of his good fortunes.

The 38-year-old didn't have to face a top 70 player across his first three rounds and then benefitted from Jakub Mensik's withdrawal and Lorenzo Musetti retiring with injury while dominating two sets to the good in their quarter-final.

Djokovic rode some luck to make the final four, but there was nothing lucky about his incredible five-set triumph over Jannik Sinner in what has got to be regarded as one of the Serbian's greatest ever career victories.

Changing his game style to one of all-out aggression, Djokovic fired his forehand like we've rarely seen before and was ridiculously clutch on serve, saving 16 of 18 break points - including all eight in the final set - to knock out the two-time defending champion 3–6, 6–3, 4–6, 6–4, 6–4.

“I am lost for words right now, to be honest,” Djokovic said after the match on court with Jim Courier. “It feels surreal to be honest. Playing for over four hours, it is nearly 2 am. Reminiscing about 2012 when I played Rafa in the final and that was almost six hours. The level of intensity and the quality of tennis was extremely high and I knew that was the only way for me to win tonight against him. He won the past five matches against me. He had my mobile number, so I had to change my number for tonight."

Alcaraz vs Djokovic Live Stream

Watch and bet on Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic live Australian Open tennis.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > Australian Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Carlos Alcaraz v Novak Djokovic

Alcaraz is tipped to back up the fresher of the pair after gruelling semi-finals and register a straight sets victory, completing the Career Slam.

Alcaraz 3-0

Set Betting

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Under 39.5

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Under 9.5

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