Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL Round 13 Tips & Same Game Multi - Cowboys Upset On the Cards

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 28 May 2026 10:24

Ryan Tucker 28 May 2026

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Cowboys have won 7 straight vs Raiders; Raiders have lost 6 of last 7 at home.
North Queensland hold form & statistical edge; predicted to win and keep total under 54.5.
Best bets: Cowboys win, Over 24.5 points, Tom Chester to score; Taulagi strong for first try.
Kick off is at 4:05 PM (AEST) on Sunday, 31st May at GIO Stadium

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Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys

Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys, Round 13 2026 - Expert Prediction

North Queensland are the value outright play in Canberra, with the Cowboys bringing better form, better head-to-head history and a cleaner attacking profile into this matchup.

Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys, Round 13 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis
Canberra Raiders v North Queensland Cowboys Team News & Team Lists
Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2026 Round 13 FAQ’s

The market is still giving Canberra too much respect at GIO Stadium. The Canberra Raiders have not beaten the Cowboys at home since 2018, have lost 6 of their last 7 games at GIO Stadium dating back to last year's finals series and have dropped 7 straight games against this opponent.

That matters because North Queensland arrive in much better shape. The Cowboys have won their last 4 away games and also hold the stronger attacking rankings sitting 8th in Points, 2nd in Run Metres and 2nd in Linebreaks, while Canberra's defence ranks 15th in Points and 14th in Completion Rate against.

Top NRL Rd 13 Multis

The total still leans Under. The projected number has this at 49.6 points and North Queensland can win this game without needing it to turn into a full shootout. A Cowboys 26-22 type of result fits both the outright bet and the Under 54.5.

That is also why the Treasure Chest-er Multi makes sense. Cowboys to win, Cowboys Over 24.5 and Tom Chester to score are correlated without needing the match to clear the full game total. Murray Taulagi is also back from concussion and gets the first tryscorer look on the left edge.

Cows win & over 24.5 pts + Chester ATSTresure Chest-er Multi $8Bet Here

18+ only. T&Cs apply

Take North Queensland to win outright and the Game Total Under 54.5. The Treasure Chest-er Multi with Cowboys to win, Cowboys Over 24.5 and Tom Chester to score is the value play, while Murray Taulagi is the first tryscorer angle.

North Queensland have won their last 7 games against Canberra.
The Cowboys have won their last 4 away games and Canberra have lost 6 of their last 7 games at GIO Stadium.
North Queensland have averaged 30.4 points across their last 5 games.
The projected total is 49.6 total points, which sits well below the 54.5 line.

Head to Head Stats

North Queensland won the most recent meeting 30-20 last season and have taken 7 straight against the Raiders. Canberra's home edge has not shown up in this matchup, with the Raiders still looking for their first home win over the Cowboys since 2018.

Raiders Atk Rank	Cowboys Def Rank	Stat	Cowboys Atk Rank	Raiders Def Rank
14	6	Points	8	15
10	11	Run Mts	2	12
12	12	Linebreaks	2	10
6	10	Compl %	13	14

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis

Canberra are coming off a 30-22 loss to the Dolphins after scoring in the opening minute and failing to stay with them across the full 80 minutes. The Raiders are averaging 21.6 points and conceding 25.4 across their last 5 games.

Seb Kris returns after missing last week with a quad issue, and Ethan Strange and Hudson Young have been named to back up from Origin One but double check team lists prior to kickoff. Jayden Brailey is out with concussion and Daine Laurie has been named to start at lock.

The Raiders still have enough strike through Kaeo Weekes, Xavier Savage and Matthew Timoko, but the form trend at GIO Stadium is hard to ignore. They have not been turning home games into the advantage the market is pricing.

North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis

North Queensland are in the better rhythm. They have won 4 of their last 5 games, averaged 30.4 points across that run and come into this after putting 30 points on South Sydney.

Reuben Cotter has been named to back up from Origin One, Jason Taumalolo shifts to prop and Matt Lodge moves to the bench. That keeps the Cowboys big through the middle while still giving them bench punch.

Murray Taulagi returning from concussion is a strong boost to the edge attack. He is named on the wing outside a Cowboys backline that already has Scott Drinkwater and Tom Chester creating points, which is why both the first tryscorer and multi angles are live.

Canberra Raiders v North Queensland Cowboys Team News & Team Lists

Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 13 Team List Article.

Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2026 Round 13 FAQ’s

How to livestream Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2026 Round 13?

You can livestream the Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2026 Round 13 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.