• Home
  • Tennis
  • Australian Open

Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Sinner to conquer the GOAT again

andrew-hendrie
Editor
Last updated: Thu 29 Jan 2026 22:34

Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are set to face off in a high-stakes Australian Open semi-final. Sinner, the two-time defending champion, has shown dominant form on hardcourts, winning 97 of his last 103 matches. Djokovic, on the other hand, has advanced with an easier draw but faced challenges recently. Sinner's dominance, particularly his success over Djokovic in recent meetings, suggests he is well-positioned for another straight-set win. This match promises thrilling tennis action, with Sinner aiming for a third consecutive Australian Open final.

Andrew Hendrie 29 Jan 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic predictions for Friday's Australian Open semi-final
  • Sinner has won the last five meetings between the pair and 12 of the last 13 sets
  • Sinner has won 51 of 53 hardcourt slam matches vs players ranked below him
  • Djokovic has gone 0-4 in his last four major semi-finals
  • The match is scheduled to start at 7.30pm AEDT on Friday January 30
Expired
Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner (Photo by Getty Images)


Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


It's the two-time defending champion up against the record 10-time winner as Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic collide in the Australian Open semi-finals on Friday night in Melbourne.

Sinner remains as dominant as ever on hardcourt and at the Australian Open, where he is unbeaten since 2023, while his last completed defeat on this surface to a player other than Carlos Alcaraz came all the way back at the Canada Masters in 2024. The Italian is simply unplayable to anyone other than Alcaraz on hardcourt at the moment and as great as he is, it's tough to see Djokovic being able to hang with the second seed here. Incredibly, Djokovic hasn't won a set of tennis since the the third round six days ago when he beat Botic Van De Zandschulp, with Jakub Mensik withdrawing ahead of their R16 and Lorenzo Musetti retiring injured while two sets up in the quarter-finals.

It's a huge slice of fortune for Djokovic, who needs to be 100% fresh and in peak physical condition to be able to outlast Sinner or Alcaraz over the course of five sets. In that regard, he couldn't have hoped for a better tournament. However, Djokovic was getting outplayed all over the court by Musetti and in his own words, 'would have been going home' if not for the injury. Sinner is obviously at a completely different level and the only thing seemingly capable of stopping him is the heat. But this match will be played at night. Sinner has won 12 of the last 13 sets these two have played dating back to the 2024 Australian Open and there's really no reason to think anything changes here - backing the two-time defending champion in for another routine victory.
  • Sinner has won 97 of his last 103 hardcourt matches
  • Sinner's last loss in a completed hardcourt match to someone other than Alcaraz was in 2024
  • Sinner is on an 19-match winning streak at the Australian Open
  • Fourteen of Sinner's last 15 victories have been in straight sets
  • Sinner's last seven wins over top 10 players at Grand Slams other than Alcaraz have been in straight sets
  • Sinner has won 51 of his 53 hardcourt Grand Slam matches vs players ranked below him
  • Sinner has won his last five meetings with Djokovic
  • Sinner's last three wins over Djokovic have been in straight sets
  • Djokovic is 0-4 in his last four Grand Slam semi-finals

Sinner vs Djokovic Head To Head

Sinner leads 6-4. Djokovic won four of the first five meetings before Sinner got a stranglehold of the matchup, prevailing in the last five and winning 12 of the last 13 sets contested.

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025Wimbledon ChampionshipsSemi-finalGrassJannik Sinner6–3, 6–3, 6–4
2025Roland GarrosSemi-finalClayJannik Sinner6–4, 7–5, 7–6(3)
2024Shanghai MastersFinalHardJannik Sinner7–6(4), 6–3
2024Australian OpenSemi-finalHardJannik Sinner6–1, 6–2, 6–7(6), 6–3
2023Davis Cup FinalsSemi-finalIndoor HardJannik Sinner6–2, 2–6, 7–5
2023Nitto ATP FinalsFinalIndoor HardNovak Djokovic6–3, 6–3
2023Nitto ATP FinalsRound RobinIndoor HardJannik Sinner7–5, 6–7(5), 7–6(2)
2023Wimbledon ChampionshipsSemi-finalGrassNovak Djokovic6–3, 6–4, 7–6(4)
2022Wimbledon ChampionshipsQuarter-finalGrassNovak Djokovic5–7, 6–3, 6–2, 6–2
2021Monte-Carlo MastersRound of 32ClayNovak Djokovic6–4, 6–2

Jannik Sinner Form Analysis

  • 2026 Form: 5-0
  • Australian Open Record: 27-4
  • Grand Slam Record: 92-20
  • Current Ranking: No. 2
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2024)

Road to Australian Open semi-finals

RoundOpponentScore
1st RoundHugo Gaston6–2, 6–1 ret.
2nd RoundJames Duckworth6–1, 6–4, 6–2
3rd RoundEliot Spizzirri4–6, 6–3, 6–4, 6–4
4th RoundLuciano Darderi6–1, 6–3, 7–6(2)
Quarter-FinalBen Shelton6–3, 6–4, 6–4

Despite missing three months of last year due to suspension, Sinner was able to win two more major titles at the Australian Open and Wimbledon, along with the ATP Finals, almost pipping Alcaraz for the No. 1 ranking.

Sinner will almost certainly get back to top spot over the next few months as he has zero points to defend until Rome, but the immediate focus is making it three straight Australian Open titles and joining Djokovic as the only other man in the Open Era to have achieved the feat.

As expected, it's been a seamless passage through to the semi-finals - save for a scare in the third round, where Sinner was struggling considerably in the heat before the roof was closed and he was able to close out Eliot Spizzirri in four sets.

Sinner proceeded to knock out countryman Luciano Darderi in straights before dismantling the big-serving Ben Shelton 6-3 6-4 6-4 in the quarter-finals. The Italian has now won nine consecutive matches in straight sets over Shelton and improved to a perfect 18-0 vs Americans in Grand Slam matches.

Novak Djokovic Form Analysis

  • 2026 Record: 5-0
  • Australian Open Record: 104-10
  • Grand Slam Record: 402-55
  • Current Ranking: No. 4
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2011)

Road to Australian Open semi-finals

RoundOpponentScore
1st RoundPedro Martínez6–3, 6–2, 6–2
2nd RoundFrancesco Maestrelli6–3, 6–2, 6–2
3rd RoundBotic van de Zandschulp6–3, 6–4, 7–6(4)
4th RoundJakub MenšíkWalkover (Menšík withdrew)
Quarter-FinalLorenzo Musetti4–6, 3–6, 3–1 ret.

Have you ever seen an easier passage into a Grand Slam semi-final than that?

Djokovic didn't have to face a top 70 player across his opening three rounds - and then he hasn't won a set over the last six days.

In an incredible sequence of events for the Serbian, his fourth round opponent Jakub Mensik withdrew with injury before Lorenzo Musetti was forced to retire when leading by two sets in their quarter-final showdown.

It's a much-needed break for Djokovic if he is to stand any chance of challenging Sinner, but it was also worrying how he was being completely outplayed by Musetti in the quarter-finals. Overall, it's tough to gauge Djokovic's true form as he just hasn't beaten anyone of note so far in the tournament.

Nevertheless, the 38-year-old is now the second-oldest man to have made the singles semi-finals at the Australian Open in the Open Era, younger only than Ken Rosewall in 1976 and 1977.

Sinner vs Djokovic Live Stream

Watch and bet on Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic live Australian Open tennis.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > Australian Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Djokovic at $8.00 is obviously tempting and a small stake there wouldn't hurt, but all logic dictates this will be another brutal straight sets win for Sinner as he make a third straight AO final.

Best Bet1: Sinner 3-0 Set Betting $1.70 at dabble - 4 Units
Sinner 3-0
Set Betting
$1.70 - 4 Units
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble

Top Betting Sites

Betting offers

Upcoming Events

Load More
Betting Slip | 30 Jan 2026

Jannik Sinner v Novak Djokovic

Hear more from bets.com.au