2026 French Open

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Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Shelton to survive rising Spaniard

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Mon. 25 May 2026 02:46

Andrew Hendrie 25 May 2026

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Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida predictions for Monday's French Open R1 match
Shelton has won his last 10 slam R1 matches, Merida making major main draw debut
Backing 1+ tiebreak, with Merida to take 1+ set & Shelton prevailing
The match is scheduled to start around 1.30am AEST on Tuesday May 26

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Ben Shelton (Photo by Getty Images)

Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

World No. 5 Ben Shelton gets his Roland Garros campaign up and running when he faces the rising Daniel Merida in the opening round on Monday.

Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Shelton vs Merida Stats & Trends
Shelton vs Merida Head To Head
Ben Shelton Form Analysis
Daniel Merida Form Analysis
Shelton vs Merida Live Stream

Shelton has been up and down this season, picking up two ATP 500 titles but also losing several matches against lower-ranked opposition. The American is however a slam specialist and always raises his level on the big stage, so I expect some improvement for this encounter.

Merida meanwhile is making his Grand Slam main draw debut after propelling himself into the world's top 100 and will be eager to impress in his debut match against a top 10 opponent.

It's a nice little opportunity for Merida and I think he can make this match competitive. It's going to be hot in Paris today, which means Shelton will get lots of bite off his serve, but also Merida should enjoy some kick off his topspin groundies.

As always, I absolutely love backing at least one tiebreak in any match involving Shelton and the conditions should help both players hold rather comfortably. Merida can snatch a set - possibly even two - but Shelton's great record in Grand Slam opening rounds is hard too ignore.

Shelton vs Merida Stats & Trends

Shelton has seen 1+ tiebreak in 11 of his last 14 matches
Shelton has seen 1+ tiebreak in 12 of his last 15 matches vs lower-ranked players
Shelton has dropped 1+ set in his last four matches vs lower-ranked players
Shelton has won his last 11 Grand Slam R1 matches
Merida is playing his first Grand Slam main draw & facing a top 10 player for the first time
Merida has won 13 of his last 18 matches at all levels

Shelton vs Merida Head To Head

This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Ben Shelton Form Analysis

2026 Record: 18-8
French Open Record: 4-3
Current Ranking: No. 5
Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (Nov 2025)

It's been a rather inconsistent season for Shelton, but at the end of the day, he's at his career-high ranking of No. 5 and has secured two ATP titles in the same season for the first time in his career.

Shelton started the year strongly with another quarter-final at the Australian Open, followed by capturing the ATP 500 title in Dallas.

Illness disrupted Shelton's Sunshine Swing at Indian Wells and Miami, but he returned to form in Munich, where he collected his second 500 title of the season.

However, Shelton couldn't kick on with his clay form, losing his opening match in Madrid and Rome to Dino Prizmic and Nikoloz Basilashvili, while he was eliminated in the second round of Hamburg last week by Daniel Altmaier.

Daniel Merida Form Analysis

2026 Record: 6-4
French Open Record: 0-0
Current Ranking: No. 86
Career-High Ranking: No. 86 (April 2026)

After some strong results on the Challenger Tour, Merida has climbed into the world's top 100 for the first time in 2026 and will now be looking to cement himself as a regular tour player.

The 21-year-old has made an impressive start at doing just that, qualifying and making the Bucharest final in just his second tour-level tournament of the year to kick off the European clay swing.

Merida also made the third round of the Madrid Masters before going down to Stefanos Tsitsipas, but was beaten in his opening match in Rome by Basilashvili.

The Spaniard is making his Grand Slam main draw debut at Roland Garros.

Shelton vs Merida Live Stream

Watch and bet on Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida live tennis from Roland Garros.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > French Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Ben Shelton v Daniel Merida

Shelton appears vulnerable, but the American rises on the big stage and should come through this test - expecting 1+ tiebreak and Merida to win a set.

Over 0.5

Total Tiebreaks

$1.72 - 2 Units

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Shelton & Yes

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