Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Hurkacz to extend Shanghai winning streak
Hubert Hurkacz is predicted to avenge his recent defeat to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina when they meet at the Shanghai Masters R16, with another tiebreak highly likely. Hurkacz enters the match on a nine-match winning streak in Shanghai, including a notable win over Novak Djokovic. He has rediscovered his best form, while Davidovich Fokina arrives after a hard-fought win but struggled physically. The article concludes that the quick conditions favor Hurkacz, making him the recommended pick to win, with another tiebreak expected in their closely contested rivalry.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz predictions for Tuesday's ATP Shanghai R16
- Another close contest between these two beckons; 1+ tiebreak tipped
- Hurkacz on nine-match winning run in Shanghai, backed to emerge victorious
- The match is scheduled to start around 11.00pm AEDT on Tuesday October 13
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Hubert Hurkacz Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Shanghai. T&Cs apply.
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Hubert Hurkacz is tipped to avenge his defeat to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina from the Chengdu final a couple of weeks ago when the pair meet in the Shanghai Masters R16 on Tuesday night.
Although he went down in that final, Hurkacz almost took the second set tiebreak and forced a decider - there was barely anything in it.
In fact, four of the last five meetings between the pair have featured 1+ tiebreak.
With the Shanghai courts playing extremely quick, another breaker stands out as an appealing play here.
Additionally, I think these conditions and particular spot suit Hurkacz.
The Pole is on a nine-match winning streak in Shanghai following his title triumph in 2023 and current run to the R16, which includes a marquee victory over Beijing champion Novak Djokovic.
Meanwhile, Davidovich Fokina was struggling physically as he outlasted Frances Tiafoe in a deciding set tiebreak in his last outing.
The Spaniard is fit and should bounce back okay, but I just think this is Hurkacz's time - if he maintains his current level, he should be able to come out on top on these courts.
Davidovich Fokina vs Hurkacz Stats & Trends
- Four of the last five meetings have seen 1+ tiebreak
- Davidovich Fokina has seen 1+ tiebreak in three of his last four matches
- Hurkacz has seen 1+ tiebreak in 29 of his 46 tour-level matches this season
- Hurkacz has won his last nine Shanghai matches
- Hurkacz has won 15 of his last 18 matches at all levels
- Hurkacz has a 16-12 record in Masters 1000 R16 matches
- Davidovich Fokina has lost his last three Masters 1000 R16 matches
- Davidovich Fokina has a 5-8 record vs top 35 players this season
Davidovch Fokina vs Hurkacz Head To Head
Davidovich Fokina leads 5-2, but the majority of encounters have been tight.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Chengdu | Final | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 7-6(7) |
| 2024 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | United Cup | Round Robin | Outdoor Hard | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2022 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wimbledon | Round of 128 | Outdoor Grass | 7-6(4), 6-4, 5-7, 2-6, 7-6(8) |
| 2022 | Hubert Hurkacz | ATP Masters 1000 Madrid | Round of 32 | Outdoor Clay | 6-4, 4-6, 7-6(5) |
| 2021 | Hubert Hurkacz | ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati | Round of 64 | Outdoor Hard | 6-1, 6-7(3), 6-1 |
| 2021 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Montpellier | Round of 16 | Indoor Hard | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 2020 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | US Open | Round of 64 | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 1-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 29-16
- ATP Shanghai Record: 4-3
- Current Ranking: No. 26
- Career-High Ranking: No. 14 (2025)
It's been a good season for Davidovich Fokina, if only for the fact that he's been able to snap his five-match losing streak in ATP finals.
In fact, the Spaniard has managed to secure two ATP titles in 2026, firstly on the grass of Mallorca before launching his Asian swing by claiming the Chengdu silverware - beating Hurkacz in the final.
Davidovich Fokina lost in the opening round of Tokyo in three sets to Matteo Berrettini, but has found his form again in Shanghai.
The 27-year-old eased past Jenson Brooksby 6-1 6-3 in his opening match before surviving a big battle with Frances Tiafoe, eventually prevailing in a deciding set tiebreak, 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6).
Hubert Hurkacz Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 27-19
- ATP Shanghai Record: 11-2
- Current Ranking: No. 34
- Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (2024)
After a poor start to the season, Hurkacz is beginning to find his best tennis on a consistent basis again.
Hurkacz lost seven tour-level matches in a row between January and March, but linking up with new coach Gilles Cervara has proved a masterstroke.
The 29-year-old regained some confidence by taking the Challenger title in Cancun before pushing eventual finalist Ben Shelton at the US Open.
Hurkacz then made the final of Chengdu and the semi-finals in Beijing before extending his Shanghai winning streak to nine matches with victories over James Duckworth (6-3 7-6(4)), Novak Djokovic (6-4 6-3) and Yi Zhou (6-2 3-6 6-3).
All up, Hurkacz has a 15-3 record in his last 18 matches and winning another Shanghai Masters title isn't out of the question if he continues this sort of form.
Davidovich Fokina vs Hurkacz Live Stream
Watch and bet on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz live tennis from Shanghai.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Shanghai with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
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Verdict
Hurkacz is backed to turn the tables on ADF in a match that sees another tiebreak between the pair.
Over 0.5
Total Tiebreaks
$1.62 - 2 Units
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Hurkacz Win
H2H
$1.88 - 2 Units
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