- Tuesday 21
- Wednesday 22
- Thursday 23
- Friday 24
- Saturday 25
- Sunday 26
- Monday 27
- Tuesday 28
- Wednesday 29
- Thursday 30
- Friday 31
Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Cobolli with physical edge in all-Italian semi-final
Flavio Cobolli and Matteo Arnaldi face off in a historic all-Italian French Open semi-final. Cobolli enters as the fresher and more consistent player, having dropped just two sets en route and defeated top-10 competition. Arnaldi, returning impressively from injury, has spent 18 hours on court and has struggled against top-20 opponents. The prediction leans towards Cobolli, who is tipped to cover the spread and win, potentially in straight sets. Watch the match live with geo-restrictions via Unibet, and see who advances to their first Grand Slam final.
- Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi predictions for Friday's French Open semi-final
- First ever all-Italian Grand Slam semi-final
- Cobolli fresh & coming off top 10 win over FAA - favoured to prevail
- The match is scheduled to start around 3.00am AEST on Saturday June 6
Expired
Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Either Flavio Cobolli or Matteo Arnaldi will secure a spot in the French Open final when they collide on Friday in Paris.
What a journey it's been for these two - Cobolli and Arnaldi were squaring off in Under 10s National Championships in Italy and are now meeting on the biggest stage of them all in the first ever all-Italian Grand Slam semi-final.
Cobolli is certainly the fresher of the pair - he's dropped just two sets on his way to the semi-finals, taking advantage of a favourable draw before landing his first top 10 win at a slam over Felix Auger-Aliassime in the quarter-finals.
Meanwhile, Arnaldi has been shattering records for time spent on court this tournament, slugging it out for close to 18 hours before benefitting from Matteo Berrettini's retirement after one set in the last eight. After battling a chronic foot injury, Arnaldi has now reached just his fourth tour-level semi-final and is back around the top 30 in the live rankings.
Under normal circumstances, I think this would be a tight encounter. But in this particular situation, Cobolli holds the physical edge, while he's also been operating at a higher level for a more sustained period of time. Asking Arnaldi to win a first ever tour-level semi-final in a slam is a tall order. He might be able to keep one set close, but I think this is where his run ends - Cobolli to cover, with Under 38.5 games and value in a straight sets triumph.
Cobolli vs Arnaldi Stats & Trends
- Cobolli has won 13 of his last 17 matches
- Arnaldi has won 12 of his last 13 matches at all levels
- Arnaldi has lost eight of his last nine matches vs top 20 players
- Arnaldi is 0-3 in tour-level semi-finals
- Cobolli has won five of his last six semi-final matches
- Four of Cobolli's last six wins have come in straight sets
Cobolli vs Arnaldi Head To Head
Currently 1-1 at tour-level, with Cobolli winning in four sets at Roland Garros last year.
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Roland Garros | Round of 64 | Clay | Flavio Cobolli | 6-3, 6-3, 6-7(6), 6-1 |
| 2023 | Umag | Round of 16 | Clay | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3, 7-6(5) |
Flavio Cobolli Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 23-12
- French Open Record: 8-3
- Current Ranking: No. 14
- Career-High Ranking: No. 12 (May 2026)
Cobolli is always a bit of rocks or diamonds and it's been more of the latter lately, which has seen him break into the top 10 in the live rankings for the first time.
After securing the ATP 500 Acapulco title earlier in the year, Cobolli comes into this clash having won 13 of his last 17 matches - including a runner-up showing in Munich, where he beat Alexander Zverev along the way. Could the pair be on a collision course for the French Open final?
The flashy Italian has taken advantage of a relatively soft draw in Paris, at least in the early rounds. Cobolli eased past Andrea Pellegrino, Yibing Wu and a fatigued Learner Tien in straight sets before holding on for a four-set victory over Zachary Svajda.
Cobolli produced some thunderous tennis to conquer fourth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in the quarter-finals for his first top 10 scalp at a major. He recovered from dropping the opening set for a 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 triumph.
Matteo Arnaldi Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 7-6
- French Open Record: 10-3
- Current Ranking: No. 104
- Career-High Ranking: No. 30 (2024)
If anybody deserved a moment like this, it's Arnaldi.
The 25-year-old has been struggling with a chronic foot issue for over a year, before finally finding a solution. It took a while for the Italian to find his way back on tour, dropping out of the top 100, but he's well and truly back.
Arnaldi has won 12 of his last 13 matches at all levels, taking the top 10 scalp of Alex de Minaur in Rome before taking his game to another level in Paris.
Arnaldi has won 12 of his last 13 matches at all levels, taking the top 10 scalp of Alex de Minaur in Rome before taking his game to another level in Paris.
It's been marathons aplenty for Arnaldi - he spent a record 17 hours and 42 minutes on court to reach the quarter-finals, edging out Raphael Collignon and Frances Tiafoe in back-to-back five-set epics.
Arnaldi then copped a lucky break, with Matteo Berrettini retiring with a hip problem after one set of their last eight showdown, giving him a chance to recover before the semis.
Cobolli vs Arnaldi Live Stream
Watch and bet on Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi live tennis from Roland Garros.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > French Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Cobolli is fresh and in superior, sustained form - backing him to cover and prevail with Under 38.5 games, with value in straights.
Cobolli -4.5
Games Line
$1.82 - 3 Units
Newest Australian Bookie
Referral Code: MAXBET
The OnlyBets referral code is MAXBET. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Under 38.5
Total Games
$1.88 - 2 Units
Same Game & Race Multis
Use affiliate code BETSAU
Exciting new betting app now live. Use code BETSAU on sign-up. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.
Cobolli 3-0
Set Betting
$3.00 - 1 Unit
Challenger 'NextBet' is here
register with referral code BETS
18+. T&Cs apply
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
20 July 2026
22 July 2026
- Doomben - July 22 -
- Horse Racing
- Canterbury - July 22 -
- Horse Racing
- Murray Bridge - July 22 -
- Horse Racing
- Sandown - July 22 -
- Horse Racing
- Pinjarra - July 22 -
- Horse Racing
- Tigers FC v Western Sydney Wanderers -
- Soccer
- Sydney United vs Central Coast Mariners -
- Soccer
- Azzurri United vs Macarthur FC -
- Soccer
23 July 2026
- Warrnambool- July 23 -
- Horse Racing
- Collingwood vs Adelaide -
- AFL
- Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers -
- Rugby League
Load More
-11096727.jpg/w=300)
-10094660.jpg/w=300)
