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Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - First-time Wimbledon semi-finalists clash

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 10 Jul 2025 01:18

Andrew Hendrie 10 Jul 2025

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Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic predictions for Thursday's Wimbledon semi-final
The last three meetings between the pair have seen Over 19.5 total games
Bencic has seen Over 19.5 total games in her last four Wimbledon matches
Swiatek beat Bencic in three sets in their most-recent clash at Wimbledon 2023
The match is scheduled to start around 12.30am AEST on Friday July 11

Expired

Iga Swiatek (Photo by Getty Images)

Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Either Iga Swiatek or Belinda Bencic will reach a maiden Wimbledon final when they square off in the semi-finals on Thursday.

Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Head To Head
Iga Swiatek Form
Belinda Bencic Form
Live Stream

Swiatek has put together a career-best grass swing, winning eight of her last nine matches on the surface to storm into the final four, while Bencic is continuing a stunning comeback from maternity leave, which has seen her rise from outside the top 900 at the end of 2024 to a current live ranking of inside the top 20 following her run to the semi-finals.

Bencic's last and only prior Grand Slam semi-final came at the 2019 US Open, which makes her run to the last four at Wimbledon the fifth-longest gap between Grand Slam semi-finals in the Open Era. Swiatek meanwhile will be looking to improve on her 5-3 record in major semi-finals, however she's gone 0-2 this year, losing at this stage at both the Australian Open and Roland Garros.

I'm backing Over 19.5 total games - this has landed in the last three meetings between the pair and in Bencic's last four Wimbledon matches, but Swiatek still holds the edge for me. Tipping the Pole to win in three at solid value.

Head To Head

Swiatek leads 3-1. Bencic does own a Grand Slam win having prevailed 7-6 6-3 at the 2021 US Open, but Swiatek won their most-recent encounter at Wimbledon in 2023, saving two match points to emerge a 6-7 7-6 6-3 winner in the R16.

Iga Swiatek Form

Swiatek comes into this clash with a 40-11 record on the season and still seeking her first title since winning Roland Garros last year.

It's been a challenging last 12 months for Swiatek, who relinquished her No. 1 ranking to Aryna Sabalenka and dropped to as low as No. 8 herself not too long ago.

However, Swiatek has found her groove again on what has typically been her least-preferred surface.

Indeed, Swiatek made the final of Bad Homburg just prior to Wimbledon and has now eclipsed her previous-best quarter-final result at The Championships, advancing into the semi-finals.

The Pole has gone 8-1 on grass in 2025 and dropped just one set on her way to the final four (vs Caty. McNally in R2). Swiatek recovered from a 0-30 deficit at 5-5 in the second set of her quarter-final against Liudmila Samsonova to register a 6-2 7-5 victory.

Belinda Bencic Form

Bencic arrives at this contest with 26-10 record on the season, propelling herself back into the top 20 in the live WTA rankings following this tremendous Wimbledon run.

It's been a stellar comeback from maternity leave for Bencic over the last 15 months. The former World No. 4 was ranked outside the top 900 at the end of 2024 and will now be aiming for a return to the top 10 at season's end.

After taking the title in Abu Dhabi earlier in the season, Bencic was struck down by injury that forced her withdrawal from Roland Garros.

However, the Swiss has bounced back in magnificent fashion at Wimbledon - although it's been a battle.

Bencic survived three-setters against Elsa Jacquemot and Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the first week and has also faced a total of four tiebreaks this tournament, winning all of them - including two in a 7-6 7-6 dispatch of teenage sensation Mirra Andreeva in the quarter-finals, which doubled as the 38th top 10 scalp of her career.

Live Stream

Watch and bet on Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic live tennis from The Championships.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > Wimbledon with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Iga Swiatek v Belinda Bencic

Swiatek has far more experience at this stage of slams and has won the last couple of meetings between the pair - but they've each been close.

Backing Over 19.5 total games, with Swiatek good value to prevail in three.

Over 19.5

Total Games

$1.60 - 2 Units

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Swiatek 2-1

Set Betting

$4.00 - 1 Unit

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