Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Felix primed for upset and semi-final spot

The equation is simple for both players: win and they advance into the semi-finals, effectively making this a quarter-final clash. Both players have impressive pedigree indoors - Zverev is a two-time champion at the ATP Finals and has reached at least the semi-finals in four of his seven previous appearances, making him the most experienced player in these conditions at this year's tournament. Meanwhile, no player has won more than Auger-Aliassime's 84 matches indoors this decade, with seven of the Canadian's eight titles coming in these conditions.

Both players also have a tendency to stumble and let nerves get the better of them in pressure situations, so it will be interesting to see who handles this occasion better. I think Auger-Aliassime holds the value here. Zverev has been below his best for basically the last 10 months, while Auger-Aliassime has enjoyed a career resurgence and has gone 18-2 in completed indoors matches this season, losing only to Jannik Sinner. The Canadian beat Zverev in their most-recent meeting and can double down to make one of the biggest semi-finals of his career in Turin.

Zverev leads 6-3 overall, but it's 3-3 since 2021. Auger-Aliassime produced a thunderous performance to beat Zverev 4-6 7-6 6-4 6-4 in their last meeting in the third round of the 2025 US Open.

The 28-year-old suffered his third loss to Sinner in the last 17 days in a 6-4 6-3 defeat in his second round robin match, but he created multiple break points and had his chances, but simply couldn't convert. The German wasn't helped by Sinner finding a first serve on all of his break chances.

Auger-Aliassime again proved he's operating at a level just below that of Sinner and Alcaraz right now, coming back from a set down to conquer Ben Shelton 4-6 7-5 7-5 to keep his semi-final hopes alive and registering a tour-leading 20th win in a deciding set this season.