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Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL Round 23 Tips - Saints depth to cover Nas blow

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026 09:19

St Kilda Saints, despite losing Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, are expected to maintain their dominance over the Richmond Tigers in AFL Round 23. Historical stats favor St Kilda, who have recorded eight wins in their last nine meetings with Richmond—most by significant margins. The expert recommendation is to back St Kilda to cover the -22.5 points, with Max Hall projected for a strong performance (25+ disposals, 2+ goals). Richmond’s ongoing injury list and recent form suggest a tough outing, making the Saints the clear favorites.

Jeremy Darke 2 hours ago
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  • St Kilda have won 8 of last 9 vs Richmond, mostly by wide margins.
  • Max Hall tipped for 25+ disposals & 2+ goals despite Wanganeen-Milera's injury.
  • Expert tip: Saints favored to cover -22.5 point margin in Round 23.
  • The game will be played at the MCG on Saturday, 15th August, with the bounce at 12:35 PM (AEST).
Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL Round 23 Tips
Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL Round 23 Tips

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL Round 23 Expert Tips


The loss of Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is a significant blow for St Kilda, but the Saints should have enough midfield depth and experience to respond against Richmond and keep their slim wildcard hopes alive.

St Kilda has dominated this matchup in recent seasons, winning eight of the past nine meetings with Richmond. Seven of those victories have come by more than 22.5 points, including a 36-point win when the sides met earlier this season.

St Kilda -22.5 is therefore the preferred match bet. The FootyBets.com.au model projects the Saints to win by 28.4 points, while the secondary projection has them winning 96.2-66.7 for a 29.5-point margin. Richmond has also lost four of its past five matches, with three of those defeats coming by at least 46 points.

Wanganeen-Milera's hamstring injury creates a major hole in St Kilda's midfield and transition game, but Max Hall looks capable of absorbing some of that responsibility. Hall produced 30 disposals and 10 clearances against Carlton after Wanganeen-Milera went down early and should again spend significant time around the ball.

That makes Hall 25+ disposals an appealing player market despite his season average sitting below that mark. He also recorded 26 disposals when these teams met in Round 10.

Hall's increased midfield involvement has not stopped him impacting the scoreboard. He kicked two goals against Carlton and has now recorded 2+ goals in three of his past four matches, making another multiple-goal performance an attractive option against Richmond.

Key Points


  • St Kilda has won eight of its past nine matches against Richmond.
  • Seven of those eight victories have been by more than 22.5 points.
  • St Kilda beat Richmond by 36 points earlier this season.
  • Max Hall recorded 30 disposals and 10 clearances against Carlton.
  • Hall has kicked 2+ goals in three of his past four matches.

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints Head-to-Head


The Saints have won eight of the past 10 encounters, including each of the past six meetings. Those six consecutive victories have come by margins of 36, 4, 82, 48, 7 and 36 points.

St Kilda was comfortable when the sides met in Round 10 this season, winning 16.13 (109) to 11.7 (73). Max Hall was influential with 26 disposals and two goals, while Jack Macrae collected 31 touches and Jack Sinclair finished with 29.

Richmond Tigers Form


Richmond enters Round 23 sitting 17th with a 3-18 record after pushing Adelaide all the way in difficult conditions.

The Tigers led by 13 points during the third quarter before the Crows responded, eventually falling 63-54 at Adelaide Oval. Richmond's competitiveness around the contest was encouraging, but inaccurate kicking again proved costly.

The broader numbers still highlight the gap between Richmond and the stronger teams. The Tigers are averaging only 60.6 points across their past five matches while conceding 94.8, producing an average losing margin of 34.2 points.

St Kilda Saints Form


St Kilda sits 11th with a 9-12 record after suffering a damaging 44-point defeat to Carlton.

The Saints' afternoon was significantly affected when Wanganeen-Milera injured his hamstring inside the opening 10 minutes. Mason Wood was also ruled out during the game, while Tom De Koning and Liam Ryan required treatment for shoulder issues.

St Kilda struggled to contain Carlton's transition game and eventually fell 106-62, leaving its wildcard hopes hanging by a thread.

There were still encouraging performances from players who will now be asked to carry greater responsibility. Bradley Hill collected 31 disposals, while Hall was outstanding with 30 touches, 10 clearances and two goals.

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints Team List & Team News


Richmond Tigers
Richmond's injury list remains extensive, with Noah Balta, Sam Cumming, Jonty Faull, Josh Gibcus, Jacob Hopper, Rhyan Mansell, Tom Sims and Josh Smillie ruled out for the season. Sam Lalor faces a fitness test after hurting his knee against Adelaide, while Luke Trainor is available after serving his one-match suspension.

St Kilda Saints
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera will miss four to six weeks after suffering a moderate-grade hamstring strain against Carlton, effectively ending his home-and-away season. Mason Wood will also miss the Richmond game with a calf injury.

Tom De Koning and Liam Ryan must prove their fitness after suffering shoulder issues against Carlton.  Jack Macrae and Dan Butler are among the players pushing for recalls.

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2026 Round 23 FAQs

  • How can I watch Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2026 Round 23?

    You can watch the Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2026 Round 23 game via Fox Footy or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside Australia, the Watch AFL service is the best option for live and on-demand coverage.

  • How can I buy tickets for Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2026 Round 23?

    To buy tickets for the Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2026 Round 23 game, check the official AFL website or the official Richmond Tigers website.

Verdict

St Kilda to cover the 22.5 points as the favourite with Max Hall kicking 2 goals and collecting 25+ disposals.
Best Bet2: Max Hall 2+ Goals $2.30 at dabble (BETSAU) - 1 Unit
Best Bet1: St Kilda -22.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at Marantellibet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Max Hall 25+ Disposals $1.65 at Neds (BLACKBOOK) - 3 Units
Max Hall
2+ Goals
$2.30 - 1 Unit

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)
St Kilda -22.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 2 Units

Bet at Marantellibet
Max Hall
25+ Disposals
$1.65 - 3 Units

Bet at Neds (BLACKBOOK)

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