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Surround Stakes 2026 Betting Tips - Does Tempted Run 1400m?

alex-marsh
Editor
Last updated: Wed 25 Feb 2026 10:02

The 2026 Surround Stakes kicks off the autumn carnival in Sydney as the first Group 1 race of the year at Randwick, with a 1400-meter competition for three-year-old fillies. Tempted is the favorite at 1.65 boasting a solid track record at Randwick. Her consistent performance, demonstrated by the first-up victory in the Group 3 Eskimo Prince Stakes, makes her a top contender, despite 1400m being a challenging distance. Meanwhile, Ole Dancer, fresh from a Group 1 win in the Thousand Guineas, bolsters her case with valuable form lines and fitness under set weights.

Alex Marsh 25 Feb 2026
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  • The 2026 Surround Stakes marks first Group 1 of the year in Sydney
  • Tempted is the favourite with odds of $1.65
  • Ole Dancer poses a threat, providing value second-up
Expired
Tempted winning Eskimo Prince Stakes on February 7. (Getty)

The Surround Stakes is the first Group 1 of the year in Sydney, kicking off the autumn carnival with a key 1400-metre test for three-year-old fillies at Randwick.

A competitive field has assembled for the set weights feature, with Thousand Guineas winner Ole Dancer and last-start runner-up Apocalyptic adding depth and genuine Group 1 quality to the contest.

Tempted sits as favourite at $1.65 with Picklebet.

2026 Surround Stakes Tips


2026 Surround Stakes Best Bet - Tempted

The Godolphin filly has been consistent throughout her two-year-old season and into three-year-old company, including a comfortable first-up victory in the Group 3 Eskimo Prince Stakes on February 7.

Her spring campaign culminated with a second to the world’s best sprinter, Ka Ying Rising, while finishing ahead of the likes of Jimmysstar, Joliestar, Lady Shenandoah and Briasa.

Those form lines rate well above this set weights three-year-old fillies affair and give her a clear edge on exposed class.

That Everest second was her only defeat at Randwick, with wins in all other appearances at the track.

The main query is 1400m, having been beaten second-up over that trip last preparation following a big fresh win, although that came in a fast-run Golden Rose.
2026 Surround Stakes Value Bet - Ole Dancer

Ole Dancer shapes as a genuine threat, the Victorian visitor spelled after a Group 1 triumph in the Thousand Guineas during the spring.

She defeated Apocalyptic on that occasion, with the second and third home both winning at Group level at their subsequent starts, strengthening the form.

Her first-up run at Flemington was effectively a trial, snagged back early before working home strongly for second behind a fit and in-form winner who controlled the race.

Connections could have taken the Australian Guineas route if they felt the challenge of Tempted was too great, and the 3kg drop under set weights conditions combined with added fitness are notable positives.

With rain predicted, she may be the runner best suited should it become a testing 1400m contest.

2026 Surround Stakes - Field & Odds


No.HorseTrainerJockeyBarrierWeightOdds
1TemptedCiaron MaherChad Schofield256kg$1.65
2ApocalypticMichael FreedmanTommy Berry456kg$4
3Ole DancerPeter G Moody & Katherine ColemanZac Lloyd556kg$10
4Savvy HallieBrad WiddupNash Rawiller656kg$10
5KarinskaChris WallerSam Clipperton156kg$34
6SunraysKelly SchweidaJason Collett356kg$34
7PanovaChris WallerJames McDonald856kg$16
8Queen Of ClubsGary PortelliCraig Williams756kg$151

Odds courtesy of Picklebet & correct on 25/02/2026.

Verdict

Our tips for the 2026 Surround Stakes are:

Best Bet1: Tempted To Win $1.65 at picklebet - 7 Units
Best Bet2: Ole Dancer Top Two $3.40 at picklebet - 3 Units
Tempted
To Win
$1.65 - 7 Units
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Ole Dancer
Top Two
$3.40 - 3 Units
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