Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Pegula to edge Navarro for semi-final spot
Jessica Pegula, the world No. 3, is set to face Emma Navarro in an all-American US Open quarter-final. With a dominant 4-0 head-to-head record, Pegula is the favorite, but Navarro's recent return to top form—especially her strong showings against higher-ranked opponents—indicate she can push Pegula, covering the +4.5 handicap and potentially forcing a third set. Expect a competitive encounter, with Pegula backed for the win but Navarro tipped to make a strong stand.
- Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro predictions for Tuesday's US Open QF
- Pegula leads H2H 4-0, but two have gone the distance
- Navarro backed to cover with a +4.5 start, but Pegula can win in three
- The match is scheduled to start at 9.00am AEST on Wednesday September 9
Jessica Pegula v Emma Navarro Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > US Open Women. T&Cs apply.
Watch and bet
To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.
Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Jessica Pegula has a 4-0 record over Emma Navarro and is tipped to advance in this US Open quarter-final showdown - but Navarro is back to her best after health struggles and can cover a +4.5 line in defeat while pushing the match to a deciding set.
It's the first all-American women's quarter-final at the US Open since 2015 as both Pegula and Navarro target another semi-final at their home slam.
It's been an outstanding tournament already for Navarro. After some health problems, she's recaptured her best tennis, beating the likes of Karolina Muchova and Anna Kalinskaya to reach the last eight.
Navarro is now 7-3 this year against higher-ranked opponents, illustrating how she's starting to get back to the level that once took her to the top 10.
Pegula meanwhile is just doing what Pegula normally does - and that's winning without a fuss. She's won nine of her last 10 matches and is just so reliable, registering a 47-8 record in 2026 against players ranked below her.
Having won all four previous meetings with Navarro - including a couple of weeks ago in Cincinnati - Pegula is certainly the justified favourite. But, Navarro looks good with a +4.5 start if she maintains her current level, which then brings Pegula 2-1 set betting into play.
Pegula vs Navarro Stats & Trends
- Pegula has won nine of her last 10 matches (four in three sets)
- Pegula has won 47 of her last 55 matches vs lower-ranked players (16 in three sets)
- Pegula has won 14 of her last 16 US Open matches
- Pegula has a 7-4 record in quarter-final matches this year
- Pegula has won three of her last four Grand Slam quarter-finals
- Navarro has won seven of her last 10 matches vs higher-ranked players
- Navarro has won 11 of her last 13 US Open matches
- Navarro has covered a +4.5 line in three of her four matches vs Pegula
Pegula vs Navarro Head To Head
Pegula leads 4-0, splitting straight sets and three-set victories.
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 32 | Jessica Pegula | 7–5, 6–2 |
| 2025 | Beijing | Hard | Quarterfinals | Jessica Pegula | 6–7(2), 6–2, 6–1 |
| 2025 | Bad Homburg | Grass | Quarterfinals | Jessica Pegula | 6–4, 1–6, 6–3 |
| 2024 | Miami | Hard | Round of 16 | Jessica Pegula | 7–6(1), 6–3 |
Jessica Pegula Form Analysis
- 2026 WTA Record: 49-12
- US Open Record: 27-9
- Current Ranking: No. 3
- Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (2022)
Pegula arrived at the US Open at her career-high ranking of No. 3 and still has an outside chance to rise to the No. 1 spot - but she needs to win the title and hope Elena Rybakina loses in the quarter-finals.
Regardless, it's been another excellent season for Pegula, with her highlights including titles in Dubai and Charleston, runner-up showings in Cincinnati, Washington and Berlin and a semi-final run at the Australian Open.
It's been a good summer with those aforementioned finals in Washington and Cincinnati, but Pegula will be hoping to convert another consistent run into a big result here at the US Open as she still chases that elusive first major title.
Pegula has been dominant for the most part in New York, with only Leylah Fernandez taking a set off her in the third round. Pegula breezed past Elena-Gabriela Ruse and Sofia Kenin without dropping more than three games in a set across her opening two rounds, while she won the first 13 points of her 6-3 6-4 victory over Sorana Cirstea in the R16.
Emma Navarro Form Analysis
- 2026 WTA Record: 24-17
- US Open Record: 11-4
- Current Ranking: No. 27
- Career-High Ranking: No. 8 (2024)
Navarro burst onto the scene in 2024, making the quarter-finals of Wimbledon and semi-finals of the US Open to surge into the top 10.
However, the American was struck down by health issues last year and it's taken a while for her to manage her situation.
But it looks like Navarro has found the solution and she's back playing some of her best tennis.
After winning her third WTA title on the clay of Strasbourg, Navarro has continued to improve and she's looking in brilliant form here at the US Open.
After grinding three-set victories over Lois Boisson and Caty McNally, Navarro produced two statement performances, beating Wimbledon finalist Karolina Muchova 6-3 7-5 before a dominant 6-4 6-2 victory over Anna Kalinskaya, striking 15 winners to just 10 unforced errors.
Pegula vs Navarro Live Stream
Watch and bet on Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro live tennis from the US Open.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > US Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Pegula is backed for the win, but Navarro can be competitive in covering a +4.5 line.
Navarro +4.5
Games Line
$1.85 - 2 Units
Newest Australian Bookie
Referral Code: bets500
The BetRaven referral code is bets500. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Over 20.5
Total Games
$1.85 - 2 Units
Racing Specialist with keenest odds
Referral Code: BETS
The Marantellibet referral code is BETS. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Pegula 2-1
Set Betting
$3.90 - 1 Unit
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"
The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. CHANCES ARE YOU'RE ABOUT TO LOSE. Set a deposit limit.
Related
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
31 August 2026
08 September 2026
- Moe- September 8 -
- Horse Racing
- Muswellbrook - September 8 -
- Horse Racing
- Muswellbrook Daily Dabble -
- Horse Racing
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova -
- Tennis
- Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen -
- Tennis
- Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro -
- Tennis
09 September 2026
- Randwick-Kensington - September 9 -
- Horse Racing
- Sydney FC v Melbourne Victory -
- Soccer
Load More
