Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Shelton's struggles vs top 5 to continue
Carlos Alcaraz faces Ben Shelton in the US Open quarter-finals, with stats and recent form strongly favoring Alcaraz. Shelton has struggled against top five players, with a poor record (3-20 overall and 1-17 against Alcaraz, Sinner, Djokovic, and Zverev). Alcaraz has been nearly flawless at this year's US Open, dropping just one set so far. The recommendation is for Alcaraz to win in straight sets, covering the handicap with few breaks of serve. Fans can watch the match live via Unibet, subject to location.
- Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton predictions for Tuesday's US Open QF
- Shelton with a terrible record vs top five (3-20, losing 17 in straight sets)
- Shelton has only broken Alcaraz's serve once in three previous meetings
- The match is scheduled to start around 11.00am AEST on Wednesday September 9
Carlos Alcaraz v Ben Shelton Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > US Open. T&Cs apply.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Ben Shelton has a horror record against top five opponents as his backhand and return are repeatedly exploited in these matchups, so Carlos Alcaraz is tipped to advance in straights sets in Tuesday's US Open quarter-final encounter under the lights on Ashe.
It's a blockbuster showdown in prime time as the defending champion comes up against the best American hope for a slam. However, the numbers don't lie and Shelton will do well to keep this competitive.
Shelton has been consistently exposed against elite opponents.
Indeed, Shelton has a shocking 1-17 record against Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev. Additionally, he's gone 1-19 in sets. Overall, he's 3-20 against top five opponents, losing 17 of those 20 matches in straight sets.
The American has the electric serve and forehand combination, but the best players in the world are able to take advantage of his weaker backhand side and his poor return game (Shelton is ranked No. 77 on return by the official ATP website, winning just 14 per cent of his return games).
Meanwhile, Alcaraz has been on fire in his first tournament in four months, dropping just one set on his way to the quarter-finals and coming off a straight sets dismantling of Tommy Paul, where he only dropped serve once.
Paul is ranked No. 15 on return, so if he could only break once, that doesn't bode well for Shelton.
So the plays for this one are as follows: Alcaraz to cover a -4.5 line, Under 39.5 total games, Under 5.5 breaks of serve and Alcaraz 3-0 in set betting.
Alcaraz vs Shelton Stats & Trends
- Shelton has only broke serve once in three previous meetings vs Alcaraz
- Shelton has a 3-20 record vs top five players (excluding Laver Cup)
- Shelton has lost 17 of those 20 matches in straight sets
- Shelton has a 1-17 record & 1-19 set record vs Alcaraz, Sinner, Djokovic & Zverev combined
- Alcaraz has a 28-3 record at the US Open
- Alcaraz has a 4-0 record in quarter-finals this year
- Alcaraz has won 20 of his last 21 matches vs top 10 players outside of Sinner
- Alcaraz has won 31 of his last 32 Grand Slam matches (14 of last 17 in straight sets)
Alcaraz vs Shelton Head To Head
Alcaraz leads 3-0 if you include Laver Cup.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | Roland Garros | Round of 16 | Outdoor Clay | 7–6(8), 6–3, 4–6, 6–4 |
| 2024 | Carlos Alcaraz | Laver Cup | Round Robin | Indoor Hard | 6–4, 6–4 |
| 2023 | Carlos Alcaraz | ATP Masters 1000 Canada | Round of 32 | Outdoor Hard | 6–3, 7–6(3) |
Carlos Alcaraz Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 26-3
- US Open Record: 28-3
- Current Ranking: No. 3
- Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2022)
Alcaraz has well and truly answered the questions surrounding his fitness and ability to lock right in at this US Open without playing a competitive match since April in Barcelona.
The seven-time major champion has improved with each match in New York, dropping just one set on his way back to the last eight.
The Spaniard started with a 6-4 6-4 6-4 victory over the dangerous Roman Safiullin before recovering from a slow down to demolish Jaime Faria 4-6 6-0 6-3 6-2.
Alcaraz then dispatched the talented Yibing Wu 6-3 6-4 6-1 before swatting aside home favourite Tommy Paul 6-4 6-3 6-4. The 23-year-old finished with 33 winners to just 18 unforced errors in his R16 victory over Paul, extending his Grand Slam winning streak to 18 matches.
Ben Shelton Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 37-14
- US Open Record: 13-4
- Current Ranking: No. 9
- Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (2025)
Shelton has won four ATP titles this year, including defending his Canada Open title during this summer's hardcourt swing.
The American has gone 12-2 since transitioning back to hardcourt after a disappointing clay/grass season in which he was knocked out in the second round of Roland Garros and first round of Wimbledon.
It's been a tough draw for Shelton so far at this US Open. The eighth seed needed four sets to move through Tallon Griekspoor, Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov before raising his level for a 6-2 6-3 6-4 demolition of Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Shelton now gets another chance at facing a top five player at a slam, but he's gone 0-6 in such outings, winning just one set.
Alcaraz vs Shelton Live Stream
Watch and bet on Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton live tennis from the US Open.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > US Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
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Verdict
Shelton has a shocking record in these top five matchups, so Alcaraz is backed for a straight sets victory with minimal breaks of serve.
Alcaraz -4.5
Games Line
$1.85 - 2 Units
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Under 5.5
Total Breaks
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Under 39.5
Total Games
$1.80 - 1 Unit
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Alcaraz 3-0
Set Betting
$2.70 - 1 Unit
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