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Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Noskova targets upset over two-time defending champion
Wimbledon winner Linda Noskova is tipped for an upset over Aryna Sabalenka in the US Open quarter-finals. Despite Sabalenka's 17-match US Open win streak, her recent form and draw quality are questioned. Noskova, enjoying an 11-match Grand Slam run, is in top form and has proved she can overcome top 10 opponents. Expect a fiercely competitive match, with over 21.5 total games recommended as the best value bet, alongside Noskova for the upset. Live streaming is available through Unibet for eligible accounts.
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova predictions for Tuesday's US Open QF
- Sabalenka down on form over last few months, facing top 50 player for the first time this tournament
- Noskova on 11-match winning steak at the slams, holds value for the upset
- The match is scheduled to start at 1.30am AEST on Wednesday September 9
Expired
Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Wimbledon champion Linda Noskova is backed for the upset over two-time defending US Open champion Aryna Sabalenka in a match that features Over 21.5 total games as the pair lock horns on Tuesday in the quarter-finals.
Sabalenka is worth fading here. The World No. 1 has been well below her best since March and hasn't played a top 50 player on her way to the US Open quarter-finals. Now, she gets the reigning Wimbledon champion, with Noskova on an 11-match winning streak at Grand Slam level.
Take a look at the players to have beaten Sabalenka since she won the Miami title in March - Hailey Baptiste, Sorana Cirstea, Diana Shnaider, Jessica Pegula, Naomi Osaka, Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sara Bejlek. That's two players outside the top 30 and another two outside the top 20. Pegula was the only top 10 opponent at the time.
Noskova is in better form than most, if not all, of those above players, so there's no reason why she can't challenge Sabalenka, who has only made one semi-final in her last seven tournaments and is yet to reach a final since Miami.
It should be a battle - Sabalenka has won 17 straight US Open matches after all and both players are trending over when facing top 10 opponents lately. Over 21.5 total games and Noskova to pull off the upset are the plays here.
Sabalenka vs Noskova Stats & Trends
- Sabalenka has seen Over 21.5 games in five of her last six matches vs top 10 players
- Noskova has seen Over 21.5 games in five of her last seven matches vs top 10 players
- Sabalenka has only made the semi-finals in one of her last seven tournaments
- Noskova has won her last two quarter-final matches
- Noskova has won three of her last four matches vs top 10 players
- Sabalenka has lost two of her last three quarter-final matches
- Noskova has won her last 11 Grand Slam matches
Sabalenka vs Noskova Head To Head
Sabalenka leads 2-0, winning the most-recent clash in straight sets at Indian Wells earlier this season.
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Indian Wells | Hard | Semifinals | Aryna Sabalenka | 6–3, 6–4 |
| 2023 | Adelaide #1 | Hard | Final | Aryna Sabalenka | 6–3, 7–6(4) |
Aryna Sabalenka Form Analysis
- 2026 WTA Record: 44-8
- US Open Record: 38-6
- Current Ranking: No. 1
- Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2023)
Sabalenka has been in relatively poor form for a few months now and is clinging onto the No. 1 ranking by a thread - if Elena Rybakina wins one more match, than the Kazakh will leapfrog her for the top spot.
It was another blistering start to the season for Sabalenka, with the four-time major champion registering a 25-1 record across the opening three months, winning titles at Brisbane, Indian Wells and Miami, along with a runner-up finish to Rybakina at the Australian Open.
However, Sabalenka has struggled since lifting the Miami trophy - she went out in the quarter-finals of Roland Garros and R16 at Wimbledon, while she also failed to go beyond the R16 at both Canada and Cincinnati, losing to Alexandrova and Bejlek respectively.
Sabalenka hasn't really been tested as she goes for a US Open three-peat - as mentioned, she hasn't faced a top 50 player and has cruised past Camila Osorio (6-2 6-4), Polina Iatcenko (6-1 6-1), Kamilla Rakhimova (6-3 6-4) and Taylor Townsend (6-4 6-3) in straight sets.
Linda Noskova Form Analysis
- 2026 WTA Record: 35-13
- US Open Record: 7-4
- Current Ranking: No. 6
- Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (Aug 2026)
It's been a magical season for Noskova, with the Czech surging into the top 10 on the back of her maiden Grand Slam title at Wimbledon.
Noskova took out the likes of Madison Keys, Marta Kostyuk and Karolina Muchova to take the silverware at the All England Club, which was part of her stellar grass swing that also yielded a title in Berlin.
As expected, Noskova's form dropped off a little to start the North American hardcourt summer, losing her opening match in Canada to Caty McNally before a R16 exit in Cincinnati to Amanda Anisimova.
However, the 21-year-old has returned to top form at the US Open, reaching the quarter-finals for the first time. Noskova won her first two rounds in straight sets over Katie Volynets and Lanlana Tararudee before edging out Ann Li and Kostyuk in three sets.
It was a battle with Kostyuk in the R16, with Noskova blowing a 7-5 5-3 lead before finally converting her sixth match point for the 7-5 5-7 6-4 victory.
Sabalenka vs Noskova Live Stream
Watch and bet on Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova live tennis from the US Open.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > US Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Over 21.5 games is the best bet for this clash, with value on Noskova for the upset.
Over 21.5
Total Games
$1.60 - 3 Units
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Noskova Win
H2H
$2.95 - 1 Unit
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