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Paula Badosa vs Naomi Osaka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Osaka to edge blockbuster first round clash

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Mon 26 May 2025 02:11

The 2025 French Open kicks off with a thrilling clash between Paula Badosa and Naomi Osaka. While Badosa returns from an injury-plagued season with only one clay tournament under her belt, Osaka shows promising form on the clay courts, despite initial setbacks earlier this season. This match marks their first head-to-head meeting, posing challenges for Badosa who faces early elimination threats. Osaka, with her impressive recent performances, is expected to edge out the underprepared Badosa, potentially in a three-set match.

Andrew Hendrie 26 May 2025
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  • Paula Badosa vs Naomi Osaka predictions for Monday's French Open R1
  • Osaka has won eight of her last nine matches
  • Badosa has played just one tournament since Miami in March due to injury
  • Osaka's last three matches have seen three sets
  • The match is scheduled to start around 9.30am AEST on Monday May 26
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Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka (Photo by Getty Images)


Paula Badosa vs Naomi Osaka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


One of the biggest opening round matches of the 2025 French Open pits top 10 star Paula Badosa against former World No. 1 Naomi Osaka on Monday.

  • Paula Badosa vs Naomi Osaka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
  • Head To Head
  • Paula Badosa Form
  • Naomi Osaka Form
  • Live Stream
Badosa has never lost before the third round at Roland Garros, but the Spaniard is in big danger of an opening elimination here. Badosa has once again been struck down by injury over the last couple of months, playing just one tournament on clay in the lead-up to the French Open after withdrawing from Miami in March.

Osaka meanwhile has enjoyed one of her most fruitful clay swings, winning her first title on the surface and recently reaching the R16 of Rome. The four-time major champion has recovered from her own injury problems at the start of the season and has won 17 of her 23 matches in 2025 overall. I'm backing Osaka to take advantage of an underdone Badosa and come away with the win, possibly in three.

Head To Head


This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Paula Badosa Form


It's been another injury-affected season for Badosa, who comes into this encounter with a 13-8 record and just one tournament since March.

Badosa started 2025 with a bang, reaching her maiden Grand Slam semi-final at the Australian Open, defeating Coco Gauff along the way.

However, more injuries have since surfaced for Badosa, who has admitted retirement could be on the agenda sooner rather than later.

The Spaniard returned from a two-month layoff in Strasbourg last week, but failed to win a completed match, losing in the second round to Liudmila Samsonova in three sets.

Badosa has never lost before the third round at Roland Garros and made her first major quarter-final in Paris back in 2021.

Naomi Osaka Form


Osaka heads into this showdown with a 17-6 record on the season and back inside the top 50 for the first time since her comeback.

If not for an injury that forced her to retire in the Auckland final and in the third round of the Australian Open, Osaka could well be seeded at this Roland Garros.

After recovering from that injury, Osaka won her first ever title on clay at any level when she triumphed in the Saint-Malo 125k event earlier this month.

The Japanese put together an eight-match winning streak on the surface, with her run coming to an end in the fourth round of Rome against Peyton Stearns.

Osaka is 0-5 vs top 10 players on clay, but almost pulled off a huge victory at Roland Garros last year, pushing eventual champion Iga Swiatek to 7-5 in the third.

Live Stream


Watch and bet on Paula Badosa vs Naomi Osaka live tennis from Roland Garros.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > French Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Badosa has only played one tournament on clay in the build-up to Roland Garros and she's received one of the toughest possible first round draws as a seed.

Osaka has won eight of her last nine matches on clay and pushed Swiatek to the brink at Roland Garros last year. Backing her to edge this.

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