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Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Sabalenka to reach first Roland Garros final
World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka faces Iga Swiatek in a highly anticipated French Open semi-final. Sabalenka, aiming for her first Roland Garros final, comes in strong with a 39-6 season record and has not dropped a set in this tournament. Despite Swiatek’s dominance at Roland Garros with a 40-2 record, she faces hurdles as she's lost her last six semi-finals. Sabalenka's confidence and recent wins over Swiatek make her a slight favorite in this encounter.
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek predictions for Thursday's French Open semi-final
- Swiatek has lost her last six semi-finals
- Sabalenka won the most recent meeting between the pair in Cincinnati last year
- Sabalenka has won her last four Grand Slam semi-finals and is 6-0 in semi-finals in 2025
- The match is scheduled to start at 11.00pm AEST on Thursday June 5
Expired
Aryna Sabalenka (Photo by Getty Images)
Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
It's a blockbuster French Open semi-final showdown as World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka comes up against three-time defending champion Iga Swiatek.
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
- Head To Head
- Aryna Sabalenka Form
- Iga Swiatek Form
- Live Stream
Sabalenka is aiming to reach her first French Open final, while Swiatek has an extraordinary 40-2 record at Roland Garros and is continuing her pursuit of a fourth consecutive title in Paris.
However, Swiatek has been struggling over the last 12 months, dropping to No. 5 in the rankings and repeatedly coming up short when she reaches the business end of tournaments. Indeed, Swiatek has gone 0-6 in her last six semi-final matches - including losing to Sabalenka in Cincinnati last year. A return to clay hasn't helped, with Swiatek failing to make the final at any of the lead-up events.
Although she trails the H2H, Sabalenka has tons more self-belief, confidence and experience in these moments than in most of their previous meetings. Yet to drop a set this tournament, I think Sabalenka has the slight edge here and can reach her first Roland Garros final.
Head To Head
Swiatek leads 8-4, winning five of their six clay meetings and their only Grand Slam encounter at the 2022 US Open. However, Sabalenka is a different beast these days and won their most-recent clash 6-3 6-3 in the 2024 Cincinnati semi-finals.
Aryna Sabalenka Form
Sabalenka has put together a 39-6 record for the season, remaining the dominant World No. 1 and picking up three more WTA titles.
After taking out the Miami Open silverware, Sabalenka has gone 16-2 on clay heading into this showdown, also reigning supreme in Madrid where she defeated Coco Gauff in the final.
Having made the final four at Roland Garros this fortnight, Sabalenka has now reached 11 Grand Slam semi-finals - the most of anyone since Maria Sharapova 14 years ago.
Sabalenka hasn't dropped a single set across her five wins this tournament, defeating Kamilla Rakhimova, Jil Teichmann, Olga Danilovic and Amanda Anisimova before recovering from a 2-4 first set deficit to beat Olympic gold medalist Qinwen Zheng in the quarter-finals by a 7-6 6-3 score, avenging her defeat to the Chinese player from Rome.
Iga Swiatek Form
Swiatek has registered a 32-9 record on the season, uncharacteristically struggling to find her best tennis in the big moments and falling to No. 5 in the world.
It's almost unfathomable to think Swiatek hasn't advanced to another final since lifting her third Roland Garros one year ago.
As mentioned, Swiatek has lost her last six WTA semi-finals - it's become a mental obstacle to overcome, but what better place to snap that sequence than at an event she's absolutely dominated throughout her career. Indeed, Swiatek has compiled an Open Era record 26-match winning streak at Roland Garros coming into this clash.
Swiatek has improved to 40-2 at the French Open this fortnight, toppling Rebecca Sramkova, Emma Raducanu and Jaqueline Cristian before tough victories over Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina.
Live Stream
Watch and bet on Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek live tennis from Roland Garros.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > French Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Sabalenka has simply been the better player over the last 12 months. Swiatek has lost her last six semi-finals, consistently slipping up at this stage of tournaments.
Backing the World No. 1 to make her first Roland Garros final.
Sabalenka Win
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