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Randwick Guineas 2026 Betting Tips - Sheza Alibi Faces The Boys

alex-marsh
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Last updated: Wed 04 Mar 2026 10:27

The 2026 Randwick Guineas is set to be an exciting race with a competitive field, headlined by Sheza Alibi. This progressive filly aims to emulate Mosheen's 2012 victory. She heads into the race as the favorite at $2.50, backed by strong performances, including a Sandown Guineas win. Key competitors include Autumn Boy, supported by his Caulfield Guineas win, and Providence, a potential value bet. The Guineas field showcases talent like Ninja and Dusty Bay at varying odds, offering diverse betting opportunities.

Alex Marsh 04 Mar 2026
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  • Sheza Alibi is the $2.50 favourite for the 2026 Randwick Guineas
  • Autumn Boy presents strong competition second-up
  • Providence offers potential value for wider exotics
Expired
Sheza Alibi has been well backed early in the 2026 Randwick Guineas market. (Getty)

The Group 1 Randwick Guineas headlines Saturday’s feature card in Sydney, with a competitive field assembled over the mile at Royal Randwick.

Several progressive colts and geldings line up with strong lead-up form through the Hobartville Stakes and other key autumn races, while one filly takes on the boys.

Sheza Alibi has been backed into favouritism for the 2026 Randwick Guineas and is currently quoted at $2.50 with Neds.

2026 Randwick Guineas Tips


2026 Randwick Guineas Best Bet - Sheza Alibi

Looking to become the first filly since Mosheen in 2012 to win the Randwick Guineas is Sheza Alibi, who resumed with a victory as a $1.50 favourite at Caulfield on February 21.

She renews her rivalry with Autumn Boy from last winter after the pair clashed during the Brisbane winter carnival.

Autumn Boy had the better of her on that occasion, but she clearly furnished the following preparation.

That campaign culminated in back-to-back Group victories, including a dominant Sandown Guineas triumph over this distance.

Sheza Alibi has been aimed at this race rather than the Coolmore Classic and the early money has arrived for the filly.
2026 Randwick Guineas Next Best Bet - Autumn Boy

Autumn Boy was set for the Caulfield Guineas in the spring and duly delivered in his target assignment.

He defeated both Observer and Planet Red that day and that form line has continued to hold up strongly both in the spring and more recently.

Observer and Planet Red went on to fill the quinella in last Saturday’s Australian Guineas.

His lead-up run in the Hobartville Stakes was sound when coming from the rear and racing wide on the Rosehill circuit.

He was only warming up late over 1400m, and the step to a mile, along with the switch to the bigger Randwick circuit, now looks the ideal progression.
2026 Randwick Guineas Value Bet - Providence

Providence may ultimately prove better suited to races like the Rosehill Guineas or Australian Derby later in the preparation.

However, he could represent value for wider exotic players here at a bolter’s quote.

He did what was expected first-up when defeating a Wyong maiden field comfortably by 2.5 lengths.

The Chris Waller-trained colt has since moved well in a subsequent trial at Rosehill ahead of this assignment.

His earlier form includes an eye-catching second to Observer in the Moonee Valley Vase before finishing fifth in the Victoria Derby.

2026 Randwick Guineas - Field & Odds


No.HorseTrainerJockeyBarrierWeightOdds
1Autumn BoyChris WallerJames McDonald356.5kg$2.90
2AtticaJoseph PrideAdam Hyeronimus956.5kg$9
3NinjaMichael FreedmanTommy Berry856.5kg$6.50
4RivellinoKris LeesJason Collett556.5kg$35
5Green SpacesBjorn BakerRachel King756.5kg$46
6ProvidenceChris WallerChad Schofield256.5kg$51
7DecorumMichael FreedmanNash Rawiller656.5kg$10
8Dusty BayTracey BartleyAlysha Collett156.5kg$126
9Sheza AlibiPeter G Moody & Katherine ColemanLuke Nolen454.5kg$2.50

Odds provided by Neds & correct on 04/03/2026.

Verdict

Our tips for the 2026 Randwick Guineas are:

Best Bet1: Sheza Alibi To Win $2.50 at Neds - 5 Units
Best Bet2: Providence Top Four $3.60 at Neds - 1 Unit
Sheza Alibi
To Win
$2.50 - 5 Units
Take it to the Neds Level
Register with code BLACKBOOK

The Neds.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. WHAT'S GAMBLING REALLY COSTING YOU? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Neds
Providence
Top Four
$3.60 - 1 Unit
Take it to the Neds Level
Register with code BLACKBOOK

The Neds.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. WHAT'S GAMBLING REALLY COSTING YOU? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Neds

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