Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Boulter primed for Wimbledon upset

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: 30 Jun 2025

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Andrew Hendrie 30 Jun 2025

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Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter predictions for Monday's Wimbledon R1
Boulter has a 2-3 record vs top 10 players on grass
Boulter has a 5-1 record in the first round of Wimbledon
Badosa retired injured with a hip problem in her last tournament
The match is scheduled to start around 12.30am AEST on Tuesday July 1

Expired

Katie Boulter (Photo by Getty Images)

Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Katie Boulter will be targeting a top 10 scalp in front of her home fans when the Brit faces ninth seed Paula Badosa in the opening round of Wimbledon on Centre Court on Monday.

Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Head To Head
Paula Badosa Form
Katie Boulter Form
Live Stream

Once again, there's question marks surrounding Badosa's fitness, with the Spaniard last seen pulling out of Berlin a couple of weeks ago. Badosa also missed two months earlier this season and continues to deal with a chronic back problem. With this in mind, Boulter surely has to fancy her chances of the upset here.

Boulter, admittedly, has a poor record against top 10 players, losing 16 of her 19 such matches. However, that record improves to 2-3 on grass, with Boulter twice having made the third round at Wimbledon. Their only previous meeting was a tough three-setter at Roland Garros last year, so on grass and in these circumstances, Boulter is worth the punt for an upset win.

Head To Head

Badosa leads 1-0, prevailing 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 in the first round of Roland Garros last year.

Paula Badosa Form

It's been another tough season from an injury point of view for Badosa, but she's still clinging onto a place in the top 10 having gone 17-10 on the year.

Badosa started the season with a bang by making her first Grand Slam semi-final at the Australian Open, defeating Coco Gauff before going down to Aryna Sabalenka.

However, the Spaniard has once again been struck down by injuries, withdrawing from Miami and playing just one tournament before the French Open, where she beat Naomi Osaka to make the third round.

Badosa, who has made the Wimbledon R16 on three occasions, was once more forced to retire in the Berlin quarter-finals two weeks ago, meaning her fitness ahead of his clash is a major concern.

Katie Boulter Form

It hasn't been a great season for Boulter, who has seen her ranking drop from a career-high No. 23 in November 2024 to a current mark of No. 43.

Indeed, Boulter failed to win back-to-back matches at tour-level events from the Australian Open and through to Nottingham last week, where she reached the quarter-finals as the defending champion before going down to McCartney Kessler.

Boulter did manage to secure a WTA125k title in Paris before Roland Garros, which has helped her maintain a spot inside the top 50.

The 28-year-old has twice made the third round at Wimbledon, but was eliminated by countrywoman Harriet Dart in the second round last year.

Live Stream

Watch and bet on Paula Badosa vs Katie Boulter live tennis from The Championships.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > Wimbledon with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Paula Badosa v Katie Boulter

Big question marks over Badosa's fitness again here. Boulter hasn't had a great year, but she's got a decent 2-3 record vs top 10 players on grass and this is the perfect opportunity for another upset.

Boulter +3.5

Games Line

$1.72 - 3 Units

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Boulter Win

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$2.50 - 1 Unit

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