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Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Demon to cruise in Wimbledon opener
Alex de Minaur embarks on his Wimbledon journey against Roberto Carballes Baena on Court 18. De Minaur, who once reached the quarter-finals, aims to overcome recent fitness and form concerns. While De Minaur faces challenges after French Open fatigue and an early Queen's Club exit, he benefits from a favorable draw given Carballes Baena's limited Wimbledon success. Historically leading 2-0 against Baena, De Minaur seeks to capitalize on his opponent's lack of grass-court preparation and continue his ascent, emphasizing a straightforward win in the opening round.
- Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena predictions for Tuesday's Wimbledon R1
- Carballes Baena has a 1-5 record in the main draw at Wimbledon
- Carballes Baena has been injured & hasn't played since Rome
- The match is scheduled to start at 8.00pm AEST on Tuesday July 1
Expired
Alex de Minaur (Photo by Getty Images)
Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Alex de Minaur begins his Wimbledon campaign on Tuesday with a favourable draw against Roberto Carballes Baena on Court 18.
- Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
- Head To Head
- Alex de Minaur Form
- Roberto Carballes Baena Form
- Live Stream
De Minaur has mixed memories of Wimbledon 12 months ago - he advanced to first quarter-final at the tournament, but was also forced to withdraw from his scheduled showdown with Novak Djokovic due to a hip injury sustained on the match point of his R16 win over Arthur Fils. That hip problem plagued him for the remainder of 2024, but the Aussie appears to have put that injury behind him.
However, de Minaur did mention burnout following his second round French Open defeat to Alexander Bublik - and he hasn't won match on grass in the lead-up as a result. In saying that, de Minaur has enjoyed the rest he craved and he really couldn't have asked for a better opening round draw, with Carballes Baena only winning one match at Wimbledon from six main draw appearances. It's a good matchup overall, with Demon simply doing everything better than his Spanish opponent - if fit, he should be winning this one with minimal fuss.
Head To Head
De Minaur leads 2-0 at tour-level, prevailing 26 64 62 in their most-recent encounter in the second round of Antwerp last year.
Alex de Minaur Form
De Minaur comes into this clash with a 27-12 record on the season, but recently dropping outside of the top 10 for the first time in a year.
The Aussie started the season strongly with a quarter-final showing at the Australian Open and runner-up finish at Rotterdam, along with reaching the semi-finals on clay at the Monte-Carlo Masters.
However, it's safe to say de Minaur has been below his best for the last couple of months, culminating with that shock defeat to Bublik in the second round of the French Open, where he led by two sets before succumbing in five.
De Minaur returned to action at Queen's Club for his only warm-up event on grass, but was a bit unfortunate to draw eventual runner-up Jiri Lehecka in the first round, suffering a heavy 6-4 6-2 defeat.
As mentioned, de Minaur made his first Wimbledon quarter-final last year and risks a further slide down the rankings by not repeating that effort this fortnight.
Roberto Carballes Baena Form
Carballes Baena heads into this clash with a 9-12 record at tour-level this season, operating 25 spots below his career-high ranking at No. 74.
Like his opponent, Carballes Baena did most of his good work at the start ot the year, reaching the Auckland quarter-finals before a solid third round run at the Australian Open.
The Spaniard kicked off his clay swing with a semi-final finish at Marrakech, but suffered an injury at the Rome Masters that forced him out of the French Open and meant he didn't play any lead-in tournaments on grass.
Carballes Baena has a 1-5 record at Wimbledon, with his lone win at the tournament coming in 2023 when he defeated Matteo Arnaldi.
Live Stream
Watch and bet on Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Carballes Baena live tennis from The Championships.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > Wimbledon with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Carballes Baena has only ever won one match at Wimbledon and he's been injured since Rome.
De Minaur not at his best coming into this clash, but the Aussie shouldn't have any trouble here - I'll back him to cover a big -10.5 games line.
De Minaur -10.5
Games Line
$2.05 - 2 Units
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