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Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Wawrinka plays last Grand Slam tournament
Matteo Berrettini faces Stan Wawrinka in what is expected to be a closely contested US Open match, reminiscent of their dramatic Wimbledon clash. Berrettini, having struggled with injuries, is favored to win, while Wawrinka is likely to claim at least one set in his final Grand Slam appearance. Over 36.5 total games and both players winning a set are standout betting tips, with Berrettini tipped to repeat his four-set Wimbledon victory. Fans can stream the match live via Unibet with conditions applied.
- Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka predictions for Monday's US Open R1
- The pair played four tiebreaks at Wimbledon earlier in the season
- Four of Wawrinka's last five major defeats have come in four sets
- The match is scheduled to start around 5.00am AEST on Tuesday September 1
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Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka played four tiebreaks at Wimbledon a couple of months ago and another close contest is expected at the US Open, with Over 36.5 total games and both players to win a set standing out as the main plays. Both players obviously far from their best, but Berrettini is the stronger player right now and should be able to close out another win over the Swiss, who is competing in the last Grand Slam tournament of his decorated career.
Ten years after beating Novak Djokovic to win the US Open title, Wawrinka will complete his Grand Slam journey in New York after being awarded a late wildcard into the tournament. The 41-year-old will retire at the end of the year in Basel, but will be hoping for one last memorable moment in the majors.
Berrettini meanwhile continues to struggle with injuries, playing just three tournaments since being forced to retire in the Roland Garros quarter-finals.
The Italian played Wawrinka in one of those tournaments, edging out the veteran in four tiebreak sets at Wimbledon - and I think a similar sort of contest could play out at Flushing Meadows.
Wawrinka is on a five-match losing streak and obviously just doesn't have the physical capability to sustain a high level of tennis - but he is still showcasing flashes of brilliance, which should be enough for him to win at least one set.
If that happens, Over 36.5 total games is likely to land, with Berrettini prevailing in four providing some good value in the set betting market.
Berrettini vs Wawrinka Stats & Trends
- Berrettini has seen Over 36.5 games in eight of his last 10 Grand Slam matches
- Wawrinka has seen Over 36.5 games in six of his last seven Grand Slam matches
- The last meeting between the pair featured four tiebreak sets at Wimbledon 2026
- Four of Berrettini's last six Grand Slam wins have come in four sets
- Four of Wawrinka's last five Grand Slam defeats have come in four sets
- Wawrinka has lost his last five matches at tour-level
Berrettini vs Wawrinka Head To Head
Berrettini leads 1-0, winning their only previous meeting at Wimbledon earlier this year.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Matteo Berrettini | Wimbledon | Round of 128 | Outdoor Grass | 6–7(7), 7–6(16), 7–6(7), 7–6(5) |
Matteo Berrettini Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 15-13
- US Open Record: 18-7
- Current Ranking: No. 43
- Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (2022)
Unfortunately, Berrettini just can't seem to get his body right.
It appeared as if the Italian was finally starting to restore some momentum on tour after crushing Daniil Medvedev 6-0 6-0 in Monte Carlo and making the quarter-finals of Roland Garros.
However, Berrettini was forced to retire in the second set of that French Open quarter-final against Matteo Arnaldi and he's only competed in three tournaments since.
A third round run at Wimbledon was encouraging as Berrettini beat Wawrinka and Arthur Fils before going down to Grigor Dimitrov in four. But the 30-year-old has gone 1-2 on hardcourt this summer, with his only win coming over World No. 111 Titouan Droguet in Cincinnati.
Berrettini made the semi-finals of the US Open all the way back in 2019 and also reached the quarter-finals in 2021-22.
Stan Wawrinka Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 7-15
- US Open Record: 46-16
- Current Ranking: No. 127
- Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (2014)
It was a great start to the season for Wawrinka as he made the third round of the Australian Open, but he hasn't been able to beat a player ranked higher than No. 80 since early February.
Wawrinka was still able to be competitive at Roland Garros and Wimbledon, where he went down in four sets to Jesper de Jong and Berrettini.
The 41-year-old only played one lead-in tournament to the US Open on hardcourt, which resulted in a second round defeat in Cancun to Roman Safiullin.
The Swiss was initially controversially overlooked for a farewell US Open wildcard, but was ultimately awarded one after American Patrick Kypson withdrew injured.
Wawrinka has won 46 matches at Flushing Meadows throughout his career, including winning the title in 2016 when he beat Djokovic in the final.
Berrettini vs Wawrinka Live Stream
Watch and bet on Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka live tennis from the US Open.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > US Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Another close Grand Slam encounter is tipped between these two, with Berrettini repeating his four-set Wimbledon triumph over Wawrinka.
Over 36.5
Total Games
$1.63 - 3 Units
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Yes
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Berrettini & Yes
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Berrettini 3-1
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