Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Fils to extend dominant record over Tsitsipas
Arthur Fils is riding a hot streak into his US Open first-round match against Stefanos Tsitsipas, leading their rivalry 5-0. Fils recently captured the Cincinnati Masters and has shown strong hardcourt form, but rarely wins Grand Slam matches in straight sets. Tsitsipas, meanwhile, struggles in New York and is currently ranked outside the top 50, but could still challenge Fils and push the contest four sets or more. The key tip: Fils to win, but expect at least four sets in this competitive battle.
- Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas predictions for Monday's US Open R1 match
- Fils has only won one of his last 18 major matches in straight sets
- Over 3.5 sets is the main play, with Fils coming away with the win in four
- The match is scheduled to start at 1.00am AEST on Tuesday September 1
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Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Arthur Fils is on fire following his Cincinnati Masters title triumph, but the Frenchman has only won one Grand Slam match in straight sets since Wimbledon 2023. I'm backing Over 3.5 sets for this eye-catching US Open first round showdown on Monday, with the Frenchman prevailing in four against Stefanos Tsitsipas, who has a horror record in New York.
Even at his best, Tsitsipas was never a factor at the US Open. Indeed, he's never faced a top 20 player at the final Grand Slam of the year - and that's because he never advanced far enough to play one, failing to go beyond the third round throughout his entire career. Now, the Greek faces one of the tour's most in-form players as he continues to battle away and ranked outside the top 50.
Fils has won all five previous meetings with Tsitsipas, but four of the five completed matches have either featured 1+ tiebreak or gone to a deciding set.
With Fils yet to really prove himself at slams and all the pressure on the Frenchman, this looms as a decent chance for Tsitsipas to make an impact as the underdog.
I think Tsitsipas can push this match Over 3.5 sets, but his abysmal record in New York can't be ignored. Fils to prevail in four holds the value in set betting.
Fils vs Tsitsipas Stats & Trends
- Fils has seen Over 3.5 sets in 17 of his last 18 Grand Slam matches
- Tsitsipas has seen Over 3.5 sets in nine of his last 10 US Open matches
- Fils is 10-0 vs players outside the top 50 on hardcourt this year
- Tsitsipas is 0-5 in his last five matches vs top 20 players
- Fils has won 19 of his last 24 matches
- Tsitsipas has lost five of his last seven US Open matches
Fils vs Tsitsipas Head To Head
Fils leads 5-0, including 3-0 on hardcourt and dropping just one game in Miami earlier this year.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Arthur Fils | ATP Masters 1000 Miami | Round of 32 | Outdoor Hard | 6–0, 6–1 |
| 2025 | Arthur Fils | ATP Masters 1000 Rome | Round of 32 | Outdoor Clay | 2–6, 6–4, 6–2 |
| 2025 | Arthur Fils | Barcelona | Quarter-final | Outdoor Clay | 2–0 RET |
| 2024 | Arthur Fils | Basel | Quarter-final | Indoor Hard | 7–6(5), 6–3 |
| 2023 | Arthur Fils | Antwerp | Semi-final | Indoor Hard | 7–6(5), 7–6(4) |
Arthur Fils Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 32-10
- US Open Record: 2-2
- Current Ranking: No. 11
- Career-High Ranking: No. 11 (August 2026)
After a long-term back injury sidelined him for the second-half of last year, Fils has put together a sizzling return to the tour throughout 2026.
Fils has won 32 of his 42 matches, making various deep runs at Masters 1000 tournaments, including winning the Cincinnati title in the lead-up to the US Open, dropping just one set along the way and beating the likes of Alex de Minaur, Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe.
The Frenchman also won the ATP 500 title in Barcelona earlier this year, along with making the final of Doha and the semi-finals in Miami and Madrid.
Fils has won nine of his last 10 matches coming into the US Open, where he will be hoping to make a first deep Grand Slam run of his career, with his previous best result at a major coming at Wimbledon 2024, where he made the fourth round.
Stefanos Tsitsipas Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 25-19
- US Open Record: 7-8
- Current Ranking: No. 53
- Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (2022)
It's been another challenging year for Tsitsipas, who continues to languish outside the top 50, winning just three matches at the slams for the season.
Tsitsipas has lost his last five matches against top 20 players, further showcasing his struggles against elite opponents.
The former World No. 3 appeared to have regained some momentum by winning the Gstaad title just after Wimbledon, but he's failed to translate that form over to North American hardcourts, registering a 3-4 record across Washington, Canada, Cincinnati and Winston-Salem, losing in straight sets to Aleksandar Kovacevic in the latter.
Tsitsipas has linked back up with former mentor Patrick Mouratoglou in a bid to return to his best form - but a dismal negative 7-8 record at the US Open suggests that won't happen at Flushing Meadows.
Fils vs Tsitsipas Live Stream
Watch and bet on Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas live tennis from the US Open.
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Verdict
Fils should extend his dominant record over Tsitsipas to 6-0, but he rarely wins slam matches easily, so Over 3.5 sets stands out as the best bet here.
Over 3.5
Total Sets
$1.62 - 3 Units
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Fils & Yes
H2H/Both Players To Win A Set
$2.30 - 2 Units
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Fils 3-1
Set Betting
$3.60 - 1 Unit
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