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Flavio Cobolli vs Tristan Schoolkate US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Aussie qualifier to put up a fight
Flavio Cobolli, currently World No. 6, enters the US Open second round with a tendency to drop sets—having lost a set in 15 of his last 17 matches. This gives Australian qualifier Tristan Schoolkate a fighting chance, especially as Schoolkate has momentum after a strong qualifying campaign and a first-round win. However, despite Schoolkate's underrated serve and confidence in New York, the prediction favors Cobolli's superior talent to previal, likely in four sets. Fans can stream the match live via Unibet (geo-restrictions apply).
- Flavio Cobolli vs Tristan Schoolkate predictions for Thursday's US Open R2
- Cobolli repeatedly dropping sets in recent matches, rarely wins in straights
- Schoolkate confident following four wins from qualifying; he can snatch a set
- The match is scheduled to start around 5.00am AEST on Friday September 4
Expired
Flavio Cobolli vs Tristan Schoolkate US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Flavio Cobolli has dropped at least one set in 15 of his last 17 matches, opening the door for Aussie qualifier Tristan Schoolkate to make an impact in this second round US Open encounter on Thursday.
Cobolli doesn't do things the easy way. As mentioned in the intro, he's dropped 1+ set in 15 of his last 17 matches. The Italian still suffers from lots of concentration lapses and struggles to put together clean and polished performances throughout a match.
Which means Schoolkate could cause the fifth seed some problems in New York.
Schoolkate loves the Big Apple - he's won more matches at the US Open than the other three slams combined, while he has lots of momentum and confidence after coming through qualifying before winning his opening round in four sets over Nishesh Basavareddy.
Unsurprisingly, Cobolli went the distance in his first round, coming back from two sets down to edge out Francisco Comesana, who is also ranked outside the top 100.
Schoolkate has an extremely underrated serve, so he can build some pressure on Cobolli with quick holds and sneaky advances into the net. The Aussie took a set off Jannik Sinner at the Australian Open last year, so he's more than capable of doing the same here, but ultimately Cobolli's talent and class should propel him to victory.
Cobolli vs Schoolkate Stats & Trends
- Cobolli has dropped 1+ set in 15 of his last 17 matches
- Cobolli has dropped 1+ set in seven of his 12 matches vs 100+ ranked players this season
- Schoolkate took a set off Sinner at the 2025 AO & also beat another Italian in Lorenzo Sonego at the 2025 US Open
- Schoolkate has won four matches in a row from qualifying
- Four of Cobolli's Grand Slam wins in 2026 have come in four sets
Cobolli vs Schoolkate Head To Head
This will be the first career meeting between the pair.
Flavio Cobolli Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 32-18
- US Open Record: 5-2
- Current Ranking: No. 6
- Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (Aug 2026)
It's been a stellar season for Cobolli - he's surged into the top 10 and arrived at the US Open at a career-high ranking of No. 6.
A big chunk of those ranking points came at Roland Garros, where Cobolli took advantage of a soft draw to reach a first Grand Slam final, where he ultimately went down in five sets to Alexander Zverev.
Cobolli backed it up with a solid quarter-final run at Wimbledon, but would have been disappointed with a straight sets defeat to Arthur Fery - the second time he's lost in straights to the Brit at a slam this year after the Australian Open.
The Italian lost in the first round of Montreal to Yannick Hanfmann, but found some hardcourt form in Cincinnati, beating Rafael Jodar and Tommy Paul to make the semi-finals, where he fell to Arthur Fils.
Cobolli was involved in another Grand Slam rollercoaster in his US Open first round, recovering from two sets down to topple World No. 119 Francisco Comesana 3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-4.
Tristan Schoolkate Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 1-4
- US Open Record: 3-2
- Current Ranking: No. 180
- Career-High Ranking: No. 95 (2025)
It's been a tough last 12 months for Schoolkate.
This time last year, Schoolkate was ranked inside the top 100 and hoping to translate his Challenger form to the ATP level.
However, that didn't eventuate and Schoolkate tumbled down the rankings to a current mark of No. 180.
The Aussie has produced a response in New York, where he has now advanced to the second round in all three visits.
Schoolkate edged out Liam Draxl 4-6 7-5 7-6(7) in the final round of qualifying to secure his spot in the main draw before knocking out fellow qualifier Nishesh Basavareddy 7-6(4) 3-6 6-3 6-4.
Cobolli vs Schoolkate Live Stream
Watch and bet on Flavio Cobolli vs Tristan Schoolkate live tennis from the US Open.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > US Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Cobolli very rarely wins in straight sets at the moment, so Schoolkate can snatch a set before likely falling in four.
Schoolkate
To Win A Set
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Cobolli 3-1
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