Alex de Minaur vs Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Demon on upset alert
Botic Van De Zandschulp stands out as a potential upset candidate against Alex de Minaur in the US Open's second round. Despite De Minaur's 4-0 advantage in previous meetings, the Australian enters in shaky form, while Van De Zandschulp boasts a proven record against top players in New York, including wins over Alcaraz and Ruud. The Dutchman's hardcourt prowess and recent performances suggest he can at least take a set, making this a trickier matchup for De Minaur than the rankings suggest.
- Alex de Minaur vs Botic Van De Zandschulp predictions for Thursday's US Open R2
- Van De Zandschulp a proven giant-killer in New York, beating Alcaraz two years ago
- De Minaur remains below his best; value lies with the Dutchman
- The match is scheduled to start around 7.30am AEST on Friday September 4
Alex de Minaur v Botic Van De Zandschulp Live StreamWatch live online at Vave (NEWBONUS) > Tennis > US Open. T&Cs apply.
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Alex de Minaur vs Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Botic Van De Zandschulp has nine top 10 scalps and he's beaten three top 20 players at the US Open - the Dutchman is an extremely dangerous player and holds value against Alex de Minaur, who has been struggling for most of the year and remains in unconvincing form ahead of this second round encounter on Thursday.
Van De Zandchulp loves New York. The Dutchman holds a 9-5 record at the US Open, making the quarter-finals back in 2021 when he beat then-top 15 players Casper Ruud and Diego Schwartzman, while he also conquered Carlos Alcaraz in 2024. He also holds a win on North American hardcourts over Novak Djokovic.
So Van De Zandchulp is more than capable of beating the best players in the world in these conditions - and I think he can cause an out-of-sorts de Minaur lots of problems here.
Yes, de Minaur has a dominant 4-0 record in their H2H, but the most-recent meeting was extremely close, with the Aussie prevailing 3–6, 7–6(4), 7–5 in Rotterdam. De Minaur was playing much better then than he is now - indeed, he went on to win the title that week.
The Demon hasn't been past the quarter-finals at his last five tournaments and he looks vulnerable here, with Van De Zandschulp equipped with the sort of baseline firepower that can hit the Aussie off the court.
I'm backing Van De Zandschulp to win at least one set, with smaller stakes on covering a big +6.5 line and winning outright.
De Minaur vs Van De Zandschulp Stats & Trends
- Van De Zandschulp has nine top 10 wins to his name
- Van De Zandschulp has a 3-2 record vs top 20 players at the US Open
- Van De Zandschulp has won 1+ set in his last five matches vs top 10 players
- De Minaur has dropped 1+ set in three of his last five matches vs 50+ ranked players
De Minaur vs Van De Zandschulp Head To Head
De Minaur leads 4-0, with Van De Zandschulp taking a set in two.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Alex de Minaur | Rotterdam | Quarterfinal | Indoor Hard | 3–6, 7–6(4), 7–5 |
| 2025 | Alex de Minaur | Doha | Round of 16 | Outdoor Hard | 6–4, 6–4 |
| 2025 | Alex de Minaur | Australian Open | Round of 128 | Outdoor Hard | 6–1, 7–5, 6–4 |
| 2022 | Alex de Minaur | Davis Cup Finals | Quarterfinal | Indoor Hard | 5–7, 6–3, 6–4 |
Alex de Minaur Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 33-17
- US Open Record: 23-9
- Current Ranking: No. 7
- Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (July 2026)
It’s still been a solid season overall for De Minaur, but the Australian has suffered a number of disappointing defeats over the last few months and arrived at the US Open with a 5-7 record against top 50 opponents across his last 12 matches.
That record provides a good indication of the level De Minaur is operating at right now, with his recent performances not matching the No. 7 ranking next to his name.
It’s been a decidedly average North American summer for the Aussie. De Minaur was knocked out by Brandon Nakashima in the Washington quarter-finals before losing his second match in Canada to Cameron Norrie. He then made the Round of 16 in Cincinnati, where he was comfortably beaten by Arthur Fils.
De Minaur has made the quarter-finals in his last two US Open appearances and had a good draw in his opening round, beating qualifier Andrea Guerrieri 6-2 6-2 6-4. It was the Italian qualifier's first ever main draw match at tour-level.
Botic Van De Zandschulp Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 22-18
- US Open Record: 9-5
- Current Ranking: No. 70
- Career-High Ranking: No. 22 (2022)
It's been a pretty consistent season for Van De Zandchulp and he's probably playing better than his current ranking of No. 70 suggests.
The Dutchman has won 2+ matches at six tournaments across the year, including reaching the semi-finals in Bucharest and quarter-finals at both Winston-Salem and Rotterdam. He also made the third round of the Australian Open and Rome, along with the R16 in Montreal, where he beat Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz along the way.
Van De Zandschulp holds US Open wins over the likes of Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud, making the quarter-finals in his debut appearance back in 2021.
The 30-year-old cruised into the second round with a 6-3 6-1 7-6 victory over Jan Choinksi in his opening match.
De Minaur vs Van De Zandschulp Live Stream
Watch and bet on Alex de Minaur vs Botic Van De Zandschulp live tennis from the US Open.
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Verdict
De Minaur remains well below his best and Van De Zandschulp is a proven giant-killer in New York - the Dutchman is a good chance at the upset here.
Van De Zandschulp
To Win A Set
$1.60 - 3 Units
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Van De Zandschulp +6.5
Games Line
$1.90 - 2 Units
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Van De Zandschulp Win
H2H
$4.20 - 1 Unit
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