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Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Sweeny's dream run comes to an end

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Wed 21 Jan 2026 05:33

Ben Shelton, ranked 8th at the Australian Open, is set to play against local qualifier Dane Sweeny. Sweeny has shown great determination and resilience by reaching this stage, having beaten veteran Gael Monfils. However, Shelton is anticipated to win thanks to his robust serve and extensive experience. Sweeny has never faced a top 10 player before, marking this match as a significant challenge. Expect Shelton to advance to the third round in straight sets with Under 33.5 total games, asserting his top 10 status on the world stage.

Andrew Hendrie 21 Jan 2026
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  • Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny predictions for Thursday's Australian Open R2 match
  • Sweeny coming off maiden Grand Slam main draw win & facing a top 10 player for the first time
  • Shelton looks dialled in after beating Humbert in straights in R1
  • The match is scheduled to start around 1.00pm AEDT on Thursday January 22
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Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton (Photo by Getty Images)


Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


Eighth seed Ben Shelton continues his Australian Open campaign when he squares off against Aussie qualifier Dane Sweeny in the second round on Thursday.

It's been a fairytale run for Sweeny, but it almost certainly comes to an end on Thursday inside John Cain Arena. The 24-year-old was ranked outside the top 600 midway through last season, but grinded away at Futures and Challenger level, picking up a handful of titles and propelling himself back inside the top 200. Coached by his father, who decided to give up his cleaning business in order to go full-time with Sweeny on the road, the Aussie successfully qualified for the main draw before winning his first Grand Slam match over veteran Gael Monfils in the first round. Shelton, by contrast, experienced a whirlwind rise into the top 10 and is already a two-time major semi-finalist after playing his first full season on tour in 2023.

Sweeny will run all day, get that extra ball back and compete until he's running on empty, but unfortunately I don't think that will be enough against a genuine top 10 player. Sweeny has that classic Aussie ticker, but he also lacks firepower and the ability to get cheap, free points off his serve. Shelton on the other hand has arguably the best all-round serve in tennis. The American can be prone for concentration lapses, but with a packed Aussie crowd cheering against him, I don't think he loses focus or motivation here. Backing Shelton in straights with Under 33.5 total games.
  • Shelton has a 12-3 record at the Australian Open
  • Sweeny has never faced a top 10 player in his career
  • Sweeny is 1-4 vs top 100 players, with the lone win coming vs Taro Daniel in 2023
  • Shelton is 8-2 vs players ranked 182 or lower in his career
  • Shelton has made at least R3 of his last nine slams

Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny Head To Head

This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Ben Shelton Form Analysis

  • 2026 Record: 2-1
  • 2025 Record: 42-24
  • Australian Open Record: 12-3
  • Grand Slam Record: 33-13
  • Current Ranking: No. 7
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (October 2025)

Shelton has put together a rapid rise into the world's top 10 and has repeatedly proven he saves his best tennis for the big stage, making two major semi-finals at the Australian and US Opens, along with a quarter-final at Wimbledon.

The 23-year-old also secured his maiden Masters 1000 title in Canada last year, entering his home slam at the US Open as a genuine contender for the title behind Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz.

However, disaster struck and Shelton suffered a left shoulder injury during his third round clash and was forced to retire.

Shelton returned for the Asian and European indoor swing, but he couldn't get back to his best form, making the Paris Masters quarter-finals before bowing out of his debut ATP Finals appearance with a 0-3 record.

The American delayed his start to this season, beginning in Auckland, where he went down in the quarter-finals to Sebastian Baez. Shelton was dealt one of the toughest opening round draws in Melbourne, but he locked in and produced a brilliant performance, defeating Ugo Humbert - who had just made the Adelaide final - 6-3 7-6 7-6.

Dane Sweeny Form Analysis

  • 2026 Record: 1-1
  • 2025 Record: 0-0
  • Australian Open Record: 1-1
  • Grand Slam Record: 1-1
  • Current Ranking: No. 182
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 181

When you look at those numbers, it's obvious that Sweeny has barely featured on the main tour so far in his career, but he did A LOT of winning last year to salvage a ranking that had dropped close to 700 in the world.

Indeed, Sweeny registered a 73-25 record at all levels last year, picking up several Futures titles and also reaching the Playford Challenger final at the end of the season.

Those match wins and titles propelled Sweeny back into the world's top 200 - and after his Australian Open exploits over the last week, he could potentially crack the top 150 by the end of the tournament.

Sweeny came through qualifying with wins over Andrea Pellegrino, Jerome Kym and Stefano Travlagia before completing his dream of winning a Grand Slam main draw match, conquering French veteran Gael Monfils in four sets in front of a packed Kia Arena crowd in the first round.

The 24-year-old recovered from a set and a break down to come back for a 6-7 7-5 6-3 7-5 victory, setting up his first ever meeting with a top 10 player in the second round.

Shelton vs Sweeny Live Stream

Watch and bet on Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny live Australian Open tennis.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > Australian Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Sweeny will fight until the final ball, but he will likely be outclassed in his first ever meeting with a top 10 player - Shelton should cruise into the third round.

Best Bet1: Shelton 3-0 Set Betting $1.80 at Playup - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 33.5 Total Games $1.82 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Shelton 3-0
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Ben Shelton v Dane Sweeny