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Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Swiatek aiming for first Wimbledon semi-final

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Wed 09 Jul 2025 00:40

Iga Swiatek is set to face Liudmila Samsonova in the Wimbledon quarter-final with hopes of reaching her first semi-final at the tournament. While Swiatek has struggled to capture titles recently, her under-the-radar performance might work to her advantage. Swiatek has a strong head-to-head record against Samsonova, having won their last eight sets. Despite Samsonova's strength on grass and recent form, Swiatek is predicted to win in straight sets, continuing her impressive Wimbledon run.

Andrew Hendrie 09 Jul 2025
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  • Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova predictions for Wednesday's Wimbledon quarter-final
  • Swiatek has won the four previous meetings between the pair
  • Swiatek has won the last eight sets contested between the pair
  • Samsonova is playing her first major QF; Swiatek has an 8-3 record at this stage of a slam
  • The match is scheduled to start at 10.00pm AEST on Wednesday July 9
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Iga Swiatek
Iga Swiatek (Photo by Getty Images)


Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


Former World No. 1 Iga Swiatek goes in search of a first Wimbledon semi-final when she comes up against 19th seed Liudmila Samsonova on Wednesday.

  • Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
  • Head To Head
  • Iga Swiatek Form
  • Liudmila Samsonova Form
  • Live Stream
Swiatek has somewhat flown under the radar heading into the second week of Wimbledon - the Pole has traditionally struggled at this tournament compared to the other slams, while she's also been enduring a tough period on tour over the last 12 months or so, failing to win a title in over 13 months since Roland Garros 2024. However, perhaps lesser expectation is suiting Swiatek - she's only dropped one set en route to her second Wimbledon quarter-final and she finds herself with a favourable matchup here.

Samsonova was 0-4 in Grand Slam R16 matches until breaking that sequence with a win over Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and now she's tasked with facing someone she's lost eight consecutive sets against. If there was ever a surface for Samsonova to disrupt Swiatek it's grass, but I can't ignore the H2H here. Swiatek is decent value for a fourth straight sets win over the Russian.

Head To Head


Swiatek leads 4-0 and has won the last eight sets. Samsonova hasn't won more than four games in a set in the last three meetings, the most-recent of which was a 6-4 6-1 victory for Swiatek in the R16 of the 2024 US Open.

Iga Swiatek Form


Swiatek has registered a 39-11 record this season, but has yet to win a title and at one point saw her ranking drop as low as No. 8.

Consistency hasn't been the issue - Swiatek has made at least the quarter-finals in nine tournaments already this season, but she's been repeatedly stumbling at the business end, which is a concerning trend heading deep into the second week of Wimbledon.

However, so far, so good for Swiatek at The Championships - she warmed up for this event with a solid runner-up finish on the grass of Bad Homburg and has continued her good form in London.

Indeed, Swiatek has dropped just one set on her way to the quarter-finals (vs Caty McNally in R2), defeating Polina Kudermetova, Danielle Collins and Clara Tauson in straights.

Swiatek came back from 1-3 down in the opener to ease past Tauson 6-4 6-1 in the R16 and will now look to improve on her only other quarter-final appearance at Wimbledon, which saw her fall to Elina Svitolina in three sets in 2023.

Liudmila Samsonova Form


Samsonova comes into this clash with a 24-15 record on the season and at No. 19 in the world, which is seven places below her career-high of No. 12 earned back in 2023.

It's been a pretty solid season for Samonsova to date - she was the runner-up in Strasbourg, a semi-finalist in Adelaide, made the quarter-finals of Indian Wells and the R16 at Roland Garros.

The 26-year-old, who has won two grass titles in her career, also reached the semi-finals of Berlin just before Wimbledon, defeating Jessica Pegula and current Wimbledon semi-finalist Amanda Anisimova.

Samsonova has stormed into her maiden Grand Slam quarter-final without dropping a single set in victories over Maya Joint, Yuliia Starodubtseva, Daria Kasatkina and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro.

Live Stream


Watch and bet on Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova live tennis from The Championships.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > Wimbledon with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Swiatek has won the last eight straight sets against Samsonova, including a most-recent 6-4 6-1 triumph in the R16 of the US Open last year.

Samsonova is admittedly better on grass, but Swiatek is seemingly playing without pressure and expectation, which makes her dangerous - backing the Pole in for another straight sets triumph.

Best Bet1: Swiatek 2-0 Set Betting $2.00 at betr - 2 Units
Swiatek 2-0
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Iga Swiatek v Liudmila Samsonova