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Frances Tiafoe vs Valentin Vacherot US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Tiafoe to pass tough third round test

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026 02:08

Frances Tiafoe faces Valentin Vacherot in a highly anticipated US Open third-round clash under the lights at Louis Armstrong Stadium. Tiafoe boasts an outstanding US Open record, especially against players ranked outside the top 20, while Vacherot enters with confidence and one of the tournament’s top-serving performances. Although Vacherot is expected to be competitive and take a set, Tiafoe’s proven ability and home crowd support give him the edge. The recommended bet is Tiafoe to win, but expect a tightly contested match with both players claiming at least one set.

Andrew Hendrie 2 hours ago
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  • Frances Tiafoe vs Valentin Vacherot predictions for Friday's US Open R3
  • Tiafoe with a strong US Open record, backed to advance into R16
  • Vacherot a very tough out - can snatch at least one set before going down
  • The match is scheduled to start around 9.00am AEST on Saturday September 5
Tiafoe Vacherot
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Frances Tiafoe vs Valentin Vacherot US Open Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


This could be one of the best third round matches of the US Open and I'm backing Frances Tiafoe to advance past Valentin Vacherot, potentially in a five-set thriller under the lights on Louis Armstrong Stadium on Friday.

The best bet for this clash is Tiafoe to win and both players to win a set.

Tiafoe has an amazing record at the US Open, making the semi-finals on two occasions for 26 wins and 11 losses. That record improves to 18-2 since the start of 2020 when Tiafoe comes up against players outside the top 20.

In short, it takes the very best to stop him in the Big Apple.

Don't get me wrong, Vacherot is more than capable of being competitive in this match. He's the reigning Shanghai Masters champion and looks to have recovered from a foot injury sustained earlier in the year.

Vacherot has a huge serve, ranking seventh this US Open for most aces across the opening two rounds. That will keep him in the match and help build pressure on Tiafoe's own serve.

But when push comes to shove, Tiafoe has that extra level to go to, especially in front of what will be a rowdy New York crowd on a Friday night. It will be a party atmosphere on Louis Armstrong and Big Foe will give them reason to celebrate by advancing into the fourth round.
  • Tiafoe has won 26 of his 37 US Open matches
  • Tiafoe has an 18-2 US Open record vs players ranked 20+ since 2020
  • Tiafoe has dropped 1+ set in five of his last eight wins vs 20+ ranked players
  • Vacherot has won 1+ set in 19 of his last 22 matches
  • Tiafoe has seen five sets in three of his last eight US Open matches

Tiafoe vs Vacherot Head To Head

This will be the first meeting between the pair.

Frances Tiafoe Form Analysis

  • 2026 ATP Record: 39-16
  • US Open Record: 26-11
  • Current Ranking: No. 12
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 10 (2023)

After a disappointing 2025, Tiafoe has picked things up this season and arrived at the US Open on the cusp of the top 10.

Three ATP finals have helped the American rise back up the rankings, with Tiafoe taking the title in Berlin and finishing runner-up at the 500 event in Acapulco and the Masters 1000 in Cincinnati.

It was a slow start to the summer, with Tiafoe going out in the first round of Washington and second round of Canada, but he found his form in Cincinnati, defeating the likes of Lorenzo Musetti, Felix Auger-Aliassime and Brandon Nakashima before falling to Arthur Fils.

Tiafoe was a bit shaky in his US Open first round, needing five sets to move past the big-serving Martin Damm, but steadied to topple another big server in Japanese qualifier Rei Sakamoto, registering a 6-3 7-6(2) 7-5 victory.

Valentin Vacherot Form Analysis

  • 2026 ATP Record: 18-13
  • US Open Record: 2-0
  • Current Ranking: No. 23
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 16 (April 2026)

Of course Vacherot burst onto the scene with that stunning Shanghai Masters title last year, but he's done a great job of establishing himself as a top 20-30 player - despite a foot injury sidelining him for a couple of months.

Vacherot produced another memorable Masters 1000 run at home in Monte Carlo earlier in the year, beating Musetti, Alex de Minaur and Hubert Hurkacz to make the semi-finals.

However, Vacherot was forced to withdraw from Roland Garros and miss Wimbledon due to that aforementioned foot injury.

The 27-year-old was struggling on a four-match losing streak ahead of the US Open, but he's found his best tennis again, defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic (6-2 6-3 7-5) and Kamil Majchrzak (6-4 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2) to make the third round on his tournament debut.

Tiafoe vs Vacherot Live Stream

Watch and bet on Frances Tiafoe vs Valentin Vacherot live tennis from the US Open.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > US Open with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Tiafoe is backed to advance, but Vacherot can win a set in defeat.

Best Bet1: Tiafoe & Yes H2H/Both Players To Win A Set $2.30 at BetRaven - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Tiafoe 3-2 Set Betting $5.50 at dabble - 1 Unit
Tiafoe & Yes
H2H/Both Players To Win A Set
$2.30 - 2 Units
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Tiafoe 3-2
Set Betting
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