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French Open Men's Futures Tips & Predictions - Can anyone stop Sinner at Roland Garros?
The 2026 French Open men’s singles tournament starts on May 24, and with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz absent due to injury, World No. 1 Jannik Sinner is the unbackable favorite, priced as low as $1.30 to win. The article highlights not only Sinner’s dominance and the slim value in backing him to win without dropping a set, but also potential value picks in each quarter, like Cameron Norrie, Joao Fonseca, Arthur Fils (fitness permitting), and outsider Thiago Agustin Tirante. The key recommendation: consider small stakes on dark horses as Sinner's draw looks heavily one-sided.
- French Open men's futures tips & predictions
- Best value bets for Roland Garros
- Sinner backed for a dominant run to the title, completing Career Slam
- Watch & bet on all men's tennis matches from Roland Garros at Unibet
Expired
Jannik Sinner (Photo by Getty Images)
With defending champion Carlos Alcaraz sidelined with an ongoing wrist injury, World No. 1 Jannik Sinner is the unbackable $1.30 favourite at most leading Australian bookmakers.
I can't remember the last time - if ever - a player has been that short to win a major title. Even Rafael Nadal in his prime at Roland Garros was never around this price, mostly because at least one of Novak Djokovic or Roger Federer was always present in the draw.
But, there's still some value to be found for those wanting to back Sinner, while we also go through some players that have the potential to go deep and cause a shock in Paris.
French Open Men's Draw
First Quarter
Jannik Sinner
What more is there to say. Sinner is simply unstoppable right now, coming into this tournament on a 29-match winning streak, sweeping every Masters 1000 event this year at Indian Wells, Miami, Madrid and Rome. Out of those 29 wins, Sinner has completed a straight sets victory in 26 - which leads us to the only real value tipping the Italian at Roland Garros - which is backing him to win the title without dropping a single set at $8.00.
Look, I don't mind the price. It's obviously unlikely and there's always doubt around Sinner's fitness and physical ability to last seven best-of-five matches. One hot day and he goes down cramping, but he always seems to recover when it matters most. Anyway, Sinner advanced to last year's Roland Garros final without dropping a set before going down to Alcaraz after blowing championships points. Barring a physical collapse, I genuinely don't see any player winning a set against him before the final this time too - he's got a very favourable draw, although you could probably say that about any opponent put in front of him.
Not my most confident bet, but I think Sinner almost certainly reaches the second week without dropping a set - and from there, he's a good a chance as anyone.
Raphael Collignon
I wish Collignon didn't land in the Sinner quarter, because I would have loved to back him in any other section. He's $67 in this first quarter for what it's worth.
I've been a big fan of the Belgian since his big end to last season, but persistent injuries have restricted his rankings climb. Still, Collignon has gone 19-5 across his last 24 matches at all levels and I believe he will pose a big threat to fifth seed Ben Shelton in the second round. Someone to keep an eye on early on.
Second Quarter
Cameron Norrie
The second quarter is probably the most open and I want to have a small stake on Norrie to emerge from it.
The Brit is frustratingly difficult to put away at the best of times and is underrated on clay, where he can grind and use his unorthodox lefty style to gradually subdue his opponents into submission. Norrie made the fourth round of Roland Garros last year before running into Novak Djokovic, but he won't have to face a player of that calibre this time around, with Felix Auger-Aliassime and Daniil Medvedev the top 10 seeds in this section. Felix is in awful form, while Medvedev despises all clay outside of Rome.
Valentin Vacherot is still unproven at slam level, while Flavio Cobolli remains one of the most erratic players on tour. Learner Tien isn't a bad shout - he made the Australian Open quarter-finals to start the year and his currently in the Geneva semi-finals at the time of writing after doing okay in Rome - but not sure he can keep this sort of clay form going so early on his career. Norrie has experience and has made a slam semi-final before - at $17, worth a small stake.
Third Quarter
Joao Fonseca
I have my doubts surrounding Fonseca's ability to handle best-of-five tennis on clay deep into the second week of a major at this stage of his career, but the $10 on offer for the Brazilian maestro to win the third quarter is decent value.
I mean, I'm writing off Novak Djokovic at my peril, but he's barely played this year and was last seen losing in Rome to Dino Prizmic - another young gun, who could face Fonseca in the second round. I think Djokovic is prioritising Wimbledon, where he has a genuine chance at the title with Alcaraz also out of the grass swing. Feels like a breakthrough moment for Fonseca if he can set up that third round showdown.
If that happens and he does prevail, weary of a letdown in the next round against Casper Ruud, but the Norwegian is still in Geneva at the time of writing after making the Rome final the previous week. Fatigue and burnout is a concern for Ruud. Remember, Fonseca only has one poor loss since February and that was a final set tiebreak defeat to Hamad Medjedovic in Rome - and the Serbian played lights out tennis.
Fourth Quarter
Arthur Fils
I was all ready to back Fils to make a semi-final if he landed in any quarter outside of Sinner. The Frenchman, for me, has been a clear top five player since returning from a back injury, but he's under fresh injury doubt ahead of his home slam. Fils was forced to retire in Rome and two days before the tournament starts, he's not on any practice schedule or interview, which is slightly worrying.
If Fils is fully fit, I would confidently back him to emerge from the fourth quarter at the expense of Alexander Zverev - but these latest fitness developments are making me steer clear. Speaking of Zverev, just can't back him at $2.90 - he's too vulnerable and has endured a poor clay swing. Terrible value.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Admittedly very left-field and will obviously need a miracle here, but happy to throw some loose change on the Argentine.
Tirante has a 4-1 record vs top 20 players in his last five matches on clay. He's your typical South American clay grinder, who has proven he has the ability to beat top players on this surface. Tirante made the semi-finals in Houston, the third round in Madrid and the R16 in Rome - that's some consistent and solid lead-in work on the dirt.
Tirante opens against a qualifier and is in the seeded section with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jiri Lehecka - two players who can struggle physically with the demand of five-set tennis. Taylor Fritz is the top 10 seed in this little section and he's only played one match on clay due to chronic knee tendinitis, losing to Alexei Popyrin. Rafael Jodar is just way too short considering the man has never won a Grand Slam main draw match in his career - also question marks about his durability after losing 6-0 in the third to Luciano Darderi in third, he looked completely gassed.
Like I said, it won't happen with Tirante, but could be a fun ride on a small stake.
Verdict
Our best men's French Open futures value tips can be found below.
Jannik Sinner
Win Tournament Without Losing a Set
$8.00 - 1 Unit
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Cameron Norrie
To Win 2nd Quarter
$17.00 - 1 Unit
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Joao Fonseca
To Win 3rd Quarter
$10.00 - 1 Unit
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Thiago Agustin Tirante
To Win 4th Quarter
$34.00 - 1 Unit
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