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Australian Derby 2025 Betting Tips - Willydoit vs Aeliana

alex-marsh
Editor
Last updated: Wed 02 Apr 2025 16:29

The 2025 Australian Derby, a prestigious race for three-year-olds in Australia and New Zealand, will be held at Royal Randwick over 2400m. Willydoit, trained by Shaun & Emma Clotworthy, stands as a favorite, especially after a strong New Zealand Derby performance. Aeliana is notable for her Group 1 Rosehill Guineas run. Kosuke is another contender with potential for surprise, highlighted by his performances in previous races. Betting odds reveal Willydoit and Aeliana as close favorites, making the competition fierce and unpredictable.

Alex Marsh 02 Apr 2025
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  • The 2025 Australian Derby at Royal Randwick is a top event for three-year-old's in Australia and New Zealand
  • Willydoit heads the betting market after a strong New Zealand Derby performance
  • Off strong lead-up efforts, Aeliana is also a contender in a competitive race
Expired
Willydoit winning the 2025 New Zealand Derby on March 8. (Getty)
 

Regarded as the top ranked three-year-old event for both Australia and New Zealand is the Australian Derby, which is run over 2400m at Royal Randwick.
  • 2025 Australian Derby Tips
  • 2025 Australian Derby Field & Odds

Dating back to 1861, this staying feature is one of our oldest and most famous races, with Phar Lap, Tulloch, Dulcify, Kingston Town and Bonecrusher some of the notable winners throughout history.

At $3.80 via PlayUp, Willydoit heads the market for the 2025 Australian Derby.

2025 Australian Derby Tips


2025 Australian Derby Best Bet - Willydoit

New Zealand-based gallopers have won six of the last 16 Australian Derbies and with the talented Willydoit, the Kiwis are well placed to take out another.

It'll be a decent training performance if Shaun & Emma Clotworthy are to pull this off, as the son of Tarzino is still in his first campaign, although it has been spaced out.

Willydoit ticked the distance box last time out when successful in the New Zealand Derby and he wasn't given many favours prior to that when beaten at $1.50.

He's shown brilliance and X factor in most appearances, while the addition of Michael Dee ahead of his last performance was an added class edge in the saddle.
2025 Australian Derby Next Best Bet - Aeliana

She should be arriving off a Group 1 Rosehill Guineas win and Chris Waller has kept Aeliana out of fillies restricted races throughout the entire campaign.

The form through Broadsiding, Linebacker and co are the strongest references in this field, while she's improved throughout the prep as the distances have increased.

Being from the same family as Oregon Star (Geelong Cup winner) and The Hind (Adelaide Cup winner), there's enough in her breeding to suggest that she'll stay.

Aeliana has been effective on firmer decks this prep, while she was two-from-two on soft ground last year, so the filly should handle whatever this surface throws up.
2025 Australian Derby Value Bet - Kosuke

This Autumn Sun gelding was always going to be bolters odds here, with the three-year-old well-held at a monster quote when contesting the Rosehill Guineas.

2400m is different territory and while he may lack the class of the better fancied rivals, Kosuke looks as though he'll stay longer than a nagging mother-in-law.

He got warm at the end of the Rosehill Guineas, while Kosuke also looked an out-and-out stayer via the Gloaming Stakes last spring when picking up again late.

Kosuke was a fourth-up winner in his first prep before being thrown in the deep end and at a big price in an open Australian Derby, he could be the blowout.

2025 Australian Derby Field & Odds

No.
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Barrier
Weight
Odds
1Willydoit (NZ)Shaun & Emma ClotworthyMichael Dee1056.5kg$3.80
2Goldrush GuruAndrew GluyasJamie Melham1356.5kg$11
3ThedoctorofloveTrent Busuttin & Natalie Young Daniel Moor1456.5kg$18
4Shanwah (NZ)Ciaron MaherBlake Shinn 456.5kg$8.50
5PlymouthGlen ThompsonMark Zahra356.5kg$12
6PocketingRichard & Will FreedmanJoshua Parr1656.5kg$26
7Firm AgreementAnnabel Neasham & Rob ArchibaldTyler Schiller656.5kg$18
8King Of Thunder (NZ)John O'Shea & Tom CharltonZac Lloyd156.5kg$10
9Golden Century (NZ)Tony PikeNash Rawiller1556.5kg$26
10Imperialist (NZ)Chris WallerRyan Moore2256.5kg$81
11Mustang Morgan (NZ)Andrew ForsmanCraig Williams1256.5kg$34
12Red AcesNick RyanHugh Bowman1856.5kg$51
13Confetti GardenTrent Busuttin & Natalie Young Tommy Berry2156.5kg$34
14Tsitsipas (NZ)Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young Ben Melham1156.5kg $61
15Autumn ArohaRichard LittChad Schofield556.5kg $71
16Bernen WinJohn ThompsonTom Sherry2056.5kg $101
17KosukeGregory McFarlaneAshley Morgan956.5kg $126
18Aeliana (NZ)Chris WallerDamian Lane254.5kg$3.90
19eFlying ArgentoGary PortelliReece Jones2356.5kg $201
20eDeal N' DashBjorn Baker856.5kg $23
21eFormatGai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 756.5kg $101
22eSo You AreStirling Osland1956.5kg $126
23eBlack Babylon (IRE)Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald Ethan Brown1756.5kg $101
Odds courtesy of PlayUp & correct on 03/04/2025.
                                                                   

Verdict

Our tips for the 2025 Australian Derby are:

Best Bet1: Willydoit To Win $3.80 at Playup - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Aeliana To Win $3.90 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kosuke Each Way $126.00 at Playup - 1 Unit
Willydoit
To Win
$3.80 - 3 Units
Use Easyform
The Ultimate Form Guide

18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. T&Cs apply

Bet at Playup
Aeliana
To Win
$3.90 - 2 Units
Use Easyform
The Ultimate Form Guide

18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. T&Cs apply

Bet at Playup
Kosuke
Each Way
$126.00 - 1 Unit
Use Easyform
The Ultimate Form Guide

18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. T&Cs apply

Bet at Playup

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