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Auckland FC vs Adelaide United Tips & Prediction - Reds to grind out another draw in first leg

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Wed 06 May 2026 03:45

Auckland FC and Adelaide United meet in the first leg of the A-League semi-final at Go Media Stadium. Recent matches suggest a close contest: Adelaide have drawn five of their last eight games, while Auckland have seen four draws in their last five. Both teams frequently score and concede, with head-to-head records highlighting a high probability of another draw (1-1 tipped as likely). Guillermo May is in scoring form for Auckland. The key recommendation: expect both teams to score and a draw remains the best value prediction.

Andrew Hendrie 06 May 2026
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  • Auckland FC vs Adelaide United predictions for Saturday's A-League semi-final 1st leg
  • Both teams have been drawing frequently lately - another share of the spoils tipped here
  • Both teams backed to score, with Auckland striker Guillermo May prolific lately
  • The game is scheduled for kick off at 4.00pm AEST on Saturday May 9
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Auckland Adelaide A-League
Auckland host Adelaide on Saturday (Photo by Getty Images)


Auckland FC vs Adelaide United Tips & Prediction


Auckland FC and Adelaide United will be looking to claim an early advantage when the two sides meet in the first leg of their A-League semi-final tie at Go Media Stadium on Saturday.

However, while both teams obviously would love to bring a lead into next week's second leg at Coopers, a draw looks the most likely outcome when you take into consideration both teams' recent form.

Adelaide have drawn five of their last eight games, but a last-minute win over Melbourne City in the final round of the regular season saw them rise into second spot, earning a week off. Auckland meanwhile have been level at the end of 90 minutes in four of their last five outings and needed penalties to edge past City at home in their elimination final last week.

Three of the four previous meetings between the sides have also ended in a share of the spoils. I'll back both teams to score with a 1-1 correct score, which has been the result in Adelaide's last five draws.

Guillermo May has found himself starting striker with leading scorer Sam Cosgrove's latest injury issues and has three goals in his last two games - he looks decent value to find the back of the net again.
  • BTTS has landed in 14 of Adelaide's last 15 games
  • BTTS has landed in seven of Auckland's last eight games
  • BTTS has landed in all four previous meetings
  • Auckland have drawn four of their last five games
  • Adelaide have drawn five of their last eight games
  • Three of the four previous meetings have ended in a draw
  • Adelaide have seen a 1-1 score in five of their last eight games
  • These two sides drew 1-1 back in Round 23
  • Guillermo May has scored three goals in his last two games

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United Head To Head

Auckland were 2-1 winners early on this season in Round 3 before a 1-1 draw in Round 23.

Auckland FC Form Analysis

After failing to win their last five games of the regular season, Auckland missed out on a top two finish and were forced into an elimination final against the reigning premiers last week.

Again, the Black Knights failed to secure a win inside 90 minutes.

Guillermo May opened the scoring on the stroke of half-time, but Auckland couldn't hold on as Medin Memeti equalised in the 94th minute to send the game into extra-time.

It was a cagey period of extra-time before Steve Corica's side claimed the win with a perfect penalty shootout, scoring seven times as Dan Hall slotted home the winner following Daniel Atkinson's miss.

Auckland FC Team News

Squad will be announced on Thursday.

Adelaide United Form Analysis

It was a fantastic end to the season for Adelaide as they went unbeaten in 13 of their last 14 games, losing only to minor premiers Newcastle.

A thrilling stoppage time winner by Luka Jovanovic saw Adelaide beat Melbourne City 2-1 on the final day of the regular season, with the Reds stealing the second automatic semi-final position as a result.

However, that moment came at a cost, with Jovanovic suspended for this first leg after taking off his shirt in the celebrations and earning a second yellow card. It's a huge blow, with Jovanovic equal with Cosgrove at the top of the scoring charts with 12 goals for the season.

Midfielder Ethan Alagich isn't worried, declaring his side are capable of beating anyone to go all the way.

“We don’t fear anyone,” Alagich said ahead of the first leg. “I think we’re one of the best football playing teams in the league. With the season we’ve had, we’ve shown how good we can be."

Adelaide United Team News

Squad will be announced on Thursday.

Verdict

Both teams are tipped to find the back of the net, with value on another draw between these two sides in the first leg.

Best Bet1: BTTS - Yes Both Teams To Score $1.65 at Ladbrokes Australia - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Draw H2H $3.75 at Unibet Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Guillermo May Anytime Goalscorer $3.20 at Unibet Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: 1-1 Correct Score $7.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
BTTS - Yes
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