2025 Canadian Open

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Naomi Osaka vs Victoria Mboko Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Osaka backed to win Canada Open title in blockbuster final

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 07 Aug 2025 06:16

Andrew Hendrie 07 Aug 2025

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Naomi Osaka vs Victoria Mboko predictions for Thursday's WTA Montreal final
Both players have saved a match point on their way to the final
Mboko is competing in her first ever WTA final
Nine of Osaka's last 10 wins have been in straight sets
The match is scheduled to start at 8.00am AEST on Friday August 8

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Naomi Osaka (Photo by Getty Images)

Naomi Osaka vs Victoria Mboko Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Not a single person would have predicted this final pre-tournament, but that's the beauty of sport as former World No. 1 Naomi Osaka and local teenage wildcard Victoria Mboko square off for the WTA 1000 Canada Open title in Montreal on Thursday night.

Naomi Osaka vs Victoria Mboko Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Head To Head
Naomi Osaka Form
Victoria Mboko Form
Live Stream

Mboko's run to the final has undoubtedly been the story of the tournament and arguably of the entire season. The 18-year-old has become just the fourth Canadian woman to make the final of this tournament in the Open Era, beating three Grand Slam champions along the way in Sofia Kenin, Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina. Mboko saved a match point in a thrilling semi-final showdown with Rybakina on Wednesday, sending the patriotic local crowd into euphoria in one of the best atmospheres you'll see all season.

Meanwhile, Osaka also saved a match point all the way back in her second round against Liudmila Samsonova and has rode that momentum all the way into her first WTA 1000 final since 2022, beating Clara Tauson in straight sets in the semis. Osaka has rediscovered some of her best tennis this tournament and has dropped just one set in her six matches. In fact, this is the first time Osaka has won six matches in a row since she won the 2021 Australian Open title.

This promises to be a cracking contest and Montreal will be absolutely rocking as they get behind their local hope. However, I don't think that will be enough for Mboko. The teenager has obviously handled this entire tournament with maturity beyond her years and experience, but Osaka in this kind of form is a different beast. I've been waiting for Osaka to find this sort of tennis all year - I think it's finally arrived and that should culminate with the Japanese securing the silverware on Thursday night.

Head To Head

This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Naomi Osaka Form

It's been a stunning resurgence for Osaka, who entered this tournament with a 20-11 record on the season and struggling to consistently find the sort of tennis that propelled her to World No. 1 and four Grand Slam titles.

However, something has clicked in Montreal and Osaka is now just one win away from her biggest title since the 2021 Australian Open and just her third WTA 1000 crown. She's also guaranteed herself a US Open seeding, rising to a live ranking of No. 24.

After taking care of local wildcard Ariana Arseneault in the opening round, Osaka had to dig deep to save two match points on return against Samsonova before emerging a 4-6 7-6 6-3 winner. From there, it's been full steam ahead.

Indeed, Osaka hasn't dropped a set, taking out Jelena Ostapenko and her Latvian compatriot Anastasija Sevastova in just 49 minutes before a 6-2 6-2 dismantling of Elina Svitolina in the quarter-finals.

Osaka produced another brilliant performance in the semi-finals, ending the run of Clara Tauson - who had earlier knocked out 2025 Grand Slam winners Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys - by a 6-2 7-6 score, saving two set points in the second set tiebreak.

Victoria Mboko Form

I'm running out of adjectives to describe Mboko's extraordinary breakout season, which has seen her win 52 of her 61 matches at all levels, rising from outside the world's top 300 to a current live ranking of No. 34.

The 18-year-old continues to rewrite history and stands one win away from one of the most stunning title triumphs in the history of the sport.

Mboko has become the first Canadian ever to beat three Grand Slam champions in a single WTA event, with the teenager conquering Sofia Kenin, Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina, to go with her other tournament wins over Kim Birrell, Marie Bouzkova and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro.

Equipped with a thunderous baseline game and mental maturity beyond her teenage years, Mboko overcame a medical timeout after falling on her wrist to save a match point and break Rybakina twice when she was serving for the match in Wednesday's semi-finals, eventually prevailing 1-6, 7-5, 7-6(4) to reach her first ever tour-level final in incredible scenes.

Live Stream

Watch and bet on Naomi Osaka vs Victoria Mboko live Canada Open tennis from Montreal.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > WTA Montreal with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Naomi Osaka v Victoria Mboko

It's an amazing final in Montreal, but I think the home fans are going home disappointed.

Mboko has been absolutely incredible all tournament, but if Osaka maintains her current level and even reaches new heights for the final, then I don't see the teenager being able to hang with her. Osaka in straights.

Osaka Win

H2H

$1.71 - 3 Units

The GOAT.

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Osaka 2-0

Set Betting

$2.75 - 1 Unit

The GOAT.

Ahead of the Game.

Join Australia's newest online bookmaker with code BETSAU and enjoy exciting new ways to bet. The app is among the fastest in the market. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at betr