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Australia vs Fiji Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips & Predictions - Fiji Cover Against New-Look Aussies

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Wed. 21 Oct. 2026 10:20

Fiji are tipped to cover a +45.5 handicap in their Rugby League World Cup 2026 match against Australia, despite the Kangaroos having won all seven previous encounters by at least 32 points. Australia's squad faces extensive changes due to injury and rotation, while Fiji arrive confident after a commanding 40-12 win over Cook Islands. The article also recommends David Fifita and Sam Walker as anytime tryscorer bets for Australia, reflecting potential shifts in their offensive dynamics.

Jeremy Darke 3 hours ago
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  • Fiji are backed to cover a +45.5 handicap against Australia, despite Australia's dominant head-to-head record.
  • Australia make major squad changes following injuries and a narrow win over New Zealand.
  • Key bet recommendations include David Fifita and Sam Walker as anytime tryscorers for Australia.
  • Kick-off: 8:05pm AEDT, Sunday, 25 October 2026, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Australia vs Fiji Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips
Australia vs Fiji Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips

Australia vs Fiji Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips – Fiji Backed to Cover Huge Handicap


Fiji +45.5 is our best bet against Australia in Sunday's Rugby League World Cup clash, with the Bati backed to stay comfortably within a massive handicap despite the Kangaroos' historical dominance.

Australia have won all seven previous meetings with Fiji by at least 32 points, but Kevin Walters has made sweeping changes following the Kangaroos' narrow 24-22 victory over New Zealand. James Tedesco and Sam Walker come into the starting side, while Mitchell Moses is sidelined through injury and several established stars are rested.

Fiji arrive with confidence after dismantling Cook Islands 40-12 in their tournament opener, scoring seven tries and racing to a 28-0 half-time lead. This gives me confidence in taking them to cover against the Aussies who appear to be doing their best to avoid injury and burnout before the semifinals.

We're backing David Fifita and Sam Walker to score anytime tries for Australia, with both players getting their opportunity in the reshuffled Kangaroos side. Fifita has been dangerous for Souths on the edge and Sam Walkers QLD combination with Tom Dearden should see him running the ball at the line when given the opportunity.

Australia vs Fiji Key Stats


  • Australia have won all seven previous meetings with Fiji, with an average winning margin of 50.6 points.
  • Fiji scored seven tries in their 40-12 opening-round victory over Cook Islands.
  • Australia edged New Zealand 24-22 in their World Cup opener.
  • Fiji led Cook Islands 28-0 at half-time in Round 1.
  • Jack Bostock scored a hat-trick and ran 231 metres against New Zealand.

Australia vs Fiji Head to Head


Australia have won all seven previous meetings, including a 42-8 victory at the 2022 World Cup 

DateAustraliaFijiTotalMargin
15 Oct 20224285034
24 Nov 20175466048
23 Nov 20136406464
2 Nov 20133423632
16 Nov 20085205252
1 Nov 20006687458
14 Oct 19956606666

Australia Form Analysis


Australia opened their World Cup campaign with a dramatic 24-22 victory over New Zealand, recovering from a late deficit to secure the two competition points.

Jack Bostock enjoyed a sensational Test debut, scoring three tries and running 231 metres, while Tom Trbojevic and Reece Walsh also crossed the line.

The Kangaroos scored five tries but converted only two, leaving the contest much closer than their attacking opportunities suggested.

Mitchell Moses suffered a serious leg injury in the opener, prompting changes to the halves. Sam Walker and Tom Dearden have been selected to start, while James Tedesco returns at fullback.

David Fifita is another player handed an opportunity, bringing his powerful running game and ability to break tackles into the Australian forward rotation.

Fiji Form Analysis


Fiji made an impressive start to the tournament, defeating Cook Islands 40-12 after establishing a commanding 28-0 advantage at half-time.

Solomone Saukuru scored twice, while Waqa Blake and Caleb Navale also crossed the line in a seven-try performance.

Brandon Wakeham was instrumental in directing Fiji's attack, recording three try assists, two line breaks and six successful conversions.

Navale finished with 202 running metres, while Blake contributed 188 metres and Sunia Turuva added 169.

The Bati showed plenty of attacking variety throughout the contest, although they conceded two second-half tries after building their substantial early lead.

Australia vs Fiji Team News


Australia have made extensive changes following their opening victory, with Mitchell Moses ruled out through injury.

James Tedesco returns at fullback, while Sam Walker and Tom Dearden form the halves combination. David Fifita, Bradman Best, Blayke Brailey and Lindsay Smith are among the players brought into the side.

Harry Grant, Isaah Yeo and Liam Martin are set to be rested as Kevin Walters rotates his squad.

Fiji have retained continuity following their convincing opening victory, with Apisai Koroisau captaining the side and Brandon Wakeham directing the attack.

Australia vs Fiji Team Lists


AustraliaNo.Fiji
James Tedesco (c)1Bayleigh Bentley-Hape
Jack Bostock2Sunia Turuva
Kotoni Staggs3Waqa Blake
Bradman Best4Solomone Saukuru
Tom Trbojevic5Semi Valemei
Tom Dearden6Kurt Donoghoe
Sam Walker7Brandon Wakeham
Keaon Koloamatangi8Jacob Saifiti
Blayke Brailey9Apisai Koroisau (c)
Lindsay Smith10Mitchell Prest
David Fifita11Taane Milne
Reuben Cotter12Kitione Kautoga
Cameron Murray13Caleb Navale
Tino Fa'asuamaleaui14Josese Lanyon
Jacob Preston15Emosi Ravosai
Patrick Carrigan16Elijah Keung
Cameron Munster17Ronald Philitoga
Reece Walsh18Jordin Leiu
Latrell Mitchell19Apenisa Driti
Liam Martin20Joseph Litidamu
Harry Grant21Zion Johnson
Isaah Yeo22Kylan Mafoa


Verdict

Fiji +45.5 is our best bet, with the Bati's encouraging opening performance and Australia's extensive squad rotation supporting the handicap selection. David Fifita Anytime Tryscorer and Sam Walker Anytime Tryscorer complete our three bets.
Best Bet3: David Fifita Anytime Tryscorer $2.25 at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: David Fifita First Tryscorer $11.00 at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Sam Walker Anytime Tryscorer $1.95 at dabble (BETSAU) - 1 Unit
Best Bet1: Fiji +45.5 Handicap $1.91 at Betraven (bets500) - 2 Units
David Fifita
Anytime Tryscorer
$2.25 - 1 Unit

Bet at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only
David Fifita
First Tryscorer
$11.00 - 1 Unit

Bet at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only
Sam Walker
Anytime Tryscorer
$1.95 - 1 Unit

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)
Fiji +45.5
Handicap
$1.91 - 2 Units

Bet at Betraven (bets500)

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