Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Medvedev aims for 11th win over rival
Daniil Medvedev is predicted to overcome Stefanos Tsitsipas in their Shanghai Masters Round of 16 clash, leveraging his strong outdoor hardcourt form and dominant 10-5 head-to-head lead. While Tsitsipas has shown improvement recently, Medvedev’s consistency, backhand advantage, and psychological edge are highlighted as key factors. The article expects Medvedev to win in straight sets, with the first set likely to be highly competitive. Fans can catch the match live on Unibet, with streaming available for eligible accounts.
- Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas predictions for Wednesday's ATP Shanghai R16
- Medvedev has 10 previous wins over Tsitsipas, tipped for another here
- Targeting first set prop bet of Over 9.5 games
- The match is scheduled to start around 9.00pm AEDT on Wednesday October 14
Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos Tsitsipas Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Shanghai. T&Cs apply.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Daniil Medvedev is tipped to get the better of Stefanos Tsitsipas as the pair resume their long-standing rivalry in the Shanghai Masters R16 on Wednesday night.
There's no love lost between these two and another fiery showdown awaits with a spot in the Shanghai Masters quarter-finals on the line.
Tsitsipas has been enjoying a mini-resurgence as of late and coming off a confidence-boosting victory over Taylor Fritz in the previous round, while Medvedev continues to flourish on outdoor hardcourts this season and is arguably the favourite for the title with Carlos Alcaraz crashing out in the third round.
This is a good matchup for Medvedev and that's reflected through his dominant 10-5 lead in the H2H.
The Russian is just too solid and he thrives in the backhand to backhand matchup, taking advantage of the Greek's one-hander.
Medvedev also just has the mental edge over his rival going back to their junior days.
I'm taking Medvedev to prevail in straight sets, along with the first set going Over 9.5 games, which has landed fairly consistently in recent meetings between the pair.
Medvedev vs Tsitsipas Stats & Trends
- Eight of the last 10 meetings have seen 10+ games in the first set
- Medvedev has seen 10+ games in the first set in 10 of his last 12 matches
- Medvedev has won 10 of the last 15 meetings, with his last three wins coming in straight sets
- Medvedev has a 32-9 record on outdoor hardcourts this year
- Twelve of Medvedev's last 13 wins have come in straight sets
- Tsitsipas is 2-6 in R16 matches this year
- Tsitsipas has lost nine of his last 11 matches vs top 10 players, with eight coming in straight sets
Medvedev vs Tsitsipas Head To Head
Medvedev leads 10-5, but Tsitsipas prevailed in their most-recent meeting in Doha earlier this year.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Doha | Round of 16 | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2024 | Daniil Medvedev | ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai | Round of 16 | Outdoor Hard | 7-6(3), 6-3 |
| 2023 | Daniil Medvedev | Vienna | Semifinal | Indoor Hard | 6-4, 7-6(6) |
| 2023 | Daniil Medvedev | ATP Masters 1000 Rome | Semifinal | Outdoor Clay | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 2022 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Nitto ATP Finals | Round Robin | Indoor Hard | 6-3, 6-7(11), 7-6(1) |
| 2022 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati | Semifinal | Outdoor Hard | 7-6(6), 3-6, 6-3 |
| 2022 | Daniil Medvedev | Australian Open | Semifinal | Outdoor Hard | 7-6(5), 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 2021 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Roland Garros | Quarterfinal | Outdoor Clay | 6-3, 7-6(3), 7-5 |
| 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | Australian Open | Semifinal | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 2019 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Nitto ATP Finals | Round Robin | Indoor Hard | 7-6(5), 6-4 |
| 2019 | Daniil Medvedev | ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai | Semifinal | Outdoor Hard | 7-6(5), 7-5 |
| 2019 | Daniil Medvedev | ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo | Round of 16 | Outdoor Clay | 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 2018 | Daniil Medvedev | Basel | Quarterfinal | Indoor Hard | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 2018 | Daniil Medvedev | US Open | Round of 64 | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 2018 | Daniil Medvedev | ATP Masters 1000 Miami | Round of 128 | Outdoor Hard | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
Daniil Medvedev Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 43-17
- ATP Shanghai Record: 16-5
- Current Ranking: No. 6
- Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2022)
Medvedev has done a good job of re-establishing himself inside the top 10 this season, helped by winning 32 of his 41 matches on outdoor hardcourt.
It's been a fruitful Asian swing for Medvedev - he's put together a 9-0 record in completed matches, securing the Hangzhou title with a brilliant performance in the final over Andrey Rublev before his run was stopped in Beijing, where he was defaulted against Novak Djokovic in the semi-finals.
The 30-year-old has brushed off that disappointment by surging into the Shanghai R16, coming from a set down to beat Jan-Lennard Struff before demolishing Dalibor Svrcina 6-2 6-3.
Medvedev has now won 16 of his 21 previous matches in Shanghai, claiming the title in 2019 and reaching the semi-finals last year.
Stefanos Tsitsipas Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 34-21
- ATP Shanghai Record: 12-5
- Current Ranking: No. 43
- Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (2021)
It's been a tough last couple of years for Tsitsipas, but he's shown glimpses of his best tennis at various stages this season, especially over the last couple of months.
Tsitsipas has compiled a 17-6 record since winning the Gstaad title on clay shortly after Wimbledon, going on to beat Arthur Fils at the US Open on his way to the fourth round before upsetting Taylor Fritz to reach the R16 in Shanghai this tournament.
Those results have helped propel the Greek back inside the world's top 40 as he continues his push rise back towards the game's elite.
It was a superb win over Fritz as Tsitsipas recovered from a set down to prevail 3-6 7-5 6-3. It marks Tsitsipas' seventh top 20 win of 2026 after he also beat Luciano Darderi in the previous round.
Medvedev vs Tsitsipas Live Stream
Watch and bet on Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas live tennis from Shanghai.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Shanghai with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
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Verdict
Medvedev enjoys this matchup and is backed to claim a straight sets win.
Over 9.5
1st Set Total Games
$1.55 - 2 Units
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Medvedev 2-0
Set Betting
$2.15 - 1 Unit
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