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Roma vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League Tips & Prediction - Roma to preserve unbeaten start

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Wed. 14 Oct. 2026 01:09

Roma are tipped to avoid defeat at home against Real Madrid in their upcoming UEFA Champions League clash. With a 14-game unbeaten run and an impressive home record, Roma's resilience contrasts Real Madrid's mixed away form in both La Liga and the Champions League. The article concludes that Roma offer good value to secure at least a point, with the draw considered an attractive outcome. Furthermore, Arda Guler of Real is singled out as a player to watch for his goal attempt stats.

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago
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  • Roma vs Real Madrid predictions for Wednesday's Champions League game
  • Roma on 14-game unbeaten run, tough to beat at Stadio Olimpico
  • Real struggling on the road - Roma tipped to avoid defeat & value on a draw
  • The game is scheduled for kick off at 6.00am AEDT on Thursday October 15
Roma Real Madrid


Roma vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League Tips & Prediction


Roma haven't lost at home inside 90 minutes since January and the Italian side are tipped to hold off Real Madrid when the two teams square off in a heavyweight Champions League showdown at the Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday night.

It's another reunion with an Italian club for Jose Mourinho after facing Inter on Matchday 1, with the Special One hoping to lead his Real side to all three points against Roma.

However, Real have struggled away from the Bernabeu this season, while they've also lost half of their last eight away trips in the Champions League.

Real were fortunate to beat Inter courtesy of two abysmal defensive mishaps, while they have lost to Betis and Atletico on the road recently in La Liga.

Not a convincing form line at all.

Roma are Inter's biggest challengers for the Serie A under the tutelage of Gian Piero Gasperini and they're currently riding a 14-game unbeaten streak in all comps - including a 0-0 stalemate away to Como with 10 men on the weekend.

I'm taking Roma to secure at least a point at home and there's decent value on a share of the spoils in the H2H market. Arda Guler is always lively for Real and is backed to fire off two shots as the main player prop.
  • Roma are unbeaten in their last 14 games
  • Roma haven't lost at home in normal time since January
  • Real have lost four of their last eight away CL games
  • Real have lost two of their last three away games in La Liga
  • Real have failed to win six of their last 10 away CL games
  • Arda Guler has registered 12 shots in eight La Liga games this season, including 2+ in four of his last seven

Roma vs Real Madrid Head To Head

Real have dominated this matchup, winning eight of the 12 previous meetings. Additionally, Real have won 19 of their last 21 CL games vs Italian clubs.

Roma Form Analysis

Great start to the season for Roma - they've gone unbeaten across their six Serie A games, winning four to be sitting in third spot on the ladder, two points behind leaders Inter.

However, Roma would feel like they could easily be top of the table - they squandered a 2-0 first-half lead over Inter before the break after Manu Kone's double, while Donyell Malen was sent off in last weekend's 0-0 stalemate away to Como.

Roma couldn't get their Champions League campaign off to a winning start after being held to a 1-1 draw away to Fenerbahce on Matchday 1.

Roma Team News

After beginning the season with a brace & hat-trick, Malen has only managed one goal in his last five games. He will be suspended for Roma's upcoming Serie A games, but is available for this one.

Bryan Cristante missed the draw with Como and is racing the clock to be declared fit here.

Roma Possible Starting XI (3-4-2-1): Pierluigi Gollini; Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso; Nahuel Molina, Manu Kone, Marten de Roon, Wesley Gassova; Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule; Donyell Malen

Real Madrid Form Analysis

Not the ideal start to the season for Real, who are already six points behind rivals Barcelona after eight games in La Liga.

Away form remains an issue for Los Blancos - they lost to Betis and Atletico before the break, while they weren't at their best in a 1-0 home win over Villarreal this past weekend, with Vini Jr's struggles continuing after he was awarded a red card.

Mourinho's side capitalised on two defensive errors from Inter to secure a 2-1 win on Matchday 1, but they were outplayed for large portions of the game.

Real Madrid Team News

Vini Jr is available to play in this one - he has 26 Champions League assists, one shy of Cristiano Ronaldo's all-time record in this competition for Real.

Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Guler and Bernardo Silva are all able to return from UEFA bans, along with Dean Huijsen, who has served his domestic ban.

Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo and Raul Asencio remain in the casualty ward.

Real Madrid Possible Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois; Denzel Dumfries, Ibrahima Konate, Antonio Rudiger, Alvaro Carreras; Federico Valverde, Bernardo Silva; Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior; Kylian Mbappe

Verdict

Roma are backed to avoid defeat at home, with value on a draw.

Best Bet1: Roma Win or Draw Double Chance $1.85 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Draw H2H $4.00 at CrownBet - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Arda Guler 2+ Total Shots $1.62 at picklebet - 2 Units
Roma Win or Draw
Double Chance
$1.85 - 2 Units
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