Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Berrettini targets upset over Ruud in Tokyo

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Fri 26 Sep 2025 01:06

Andrew Hendrie 26 Sep 2025

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Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini predictions for Friday's ATP Tokyo R2 match
Berrettini has won two of the three previous hardcourt meetings between the pair
Ruud has failed to win back-to-back matches in four of his last five tournaments
The match is scheduled to start around 7.00pm AEST on Friday September 26

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Matteo Berrettini (Photo by Getty Images)

Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

It's a battle of former top 10 players in the second round of the Japan Open on Tuesday night as Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini lock horns in Tokyo.

Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Head To Head
Casper Ruud Form
Matteo Berrettini Form
Live Stream

Berrettini is making yet another comeback from injury after missing the entire North American hardcourt summer. The Italian returned in Hangzhou last week and was clearly rusty, but he was looking more match fit in a straight sets victory over Jaume Munar in the first round of Tokyo earlier this week. Ruud meanwhile continues to struggle on hardcourt after a disappointing summer in the States, going down in the first round of Cincinnati and the second round of the US Open.

Ruud has never been beyond the second round in Tokyo and his last quarter-final in Asia came back at Beijing 2023. Berrettini has won two of the three previous hardcourt meetings between the pair and the faster conditions in Tokyo should suit his game more. It all comes down to Berrettini's physical state - if he's playing injury-free, then the Italian looks good value as the slight underdog in the Japanese capital.

Head To Head

Ruud leads 4-3 in completed matches, but as mentioned, Berrettini has won two of the three hardcourt encounters.

Casper Ruud Form

Ruud comes into this showdown with a 30-12 record on the season, but he's dropped out of the top 10 and is in poor form heading into this Asian swing.

The Norwegian claimed his maiden Masters 1000 title in Madrid midway through the year, but he suffered an injury during that tournament and that contributed to a disappointing second round exit at the French Open.

There's not really been much to cheer about since - Ruud has failed to win back-to-back matches in four of his last five tournaments, most recently going down to Raphael Collignon in the second round of the US Open.

Ruud was in big danger of an opening round exit in Tokyo when he trailed Shintaro Mochizuki by a set and a break, but his Japanese opponent's inexperienced showed and he ultimately only won one more game for the entire match, with Ruud coming away with a 4-6 6-1 6-1 victory.

Matteo Berrettini Form

Berrettini has registered a 14-12 record in yet another injury-affected season, with the Italian dropping out of the top 50 as a result.

The former World No. 6 just can't seem to catch a break when it comes to his body - Berrettini showed what he can do when fit earlier this season, taking top 10 scalps over the likes of Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev, but he just can't seem to string together multiple tournaments without getting injured.

Sidelined since Wimbledon and missing the entire US Open swing, Berrettini made his return in Hangzhou last week, but wasn't anywhere close to ready in a straight sets defeat to Dalibor Svrcina.

However, Berrettini looked much stronger in his Tokyo opener, taking care of Jaume Munar by a 6-4 6-2 score. The 29-year-old was looking good in Tokyo last year, but was forced to retire in the second round when leading eventual champion Arthur Fils by a set.