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2026 NRL Grand Final First Try Scorer Tips & Predictions - Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights

jeremy-darke
Editor
Last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026 19:21

Our analysis for the 2026 NRL Grand Final first try scorer points to Mark Nawaqanitawase and Fletcher Sharpe as the most likely to cross the line first, with Lindsay Collins providing value as a long-shot contender. The Roosters have a strong record of scoring first and Nawaqanitawase’s striking form makes him a standout. Sharpe’s support play also creates strong opportunities, while Collins' knack for big-moment tries rounds out the top three picks. Ultimately, recent trends show no single position dominates, but these selections align with team momentum and player performance.

Jeremy Darke 1 hour ago
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  • Mark Nawaqanitawase leads first try scorer tips, thanks to superb try-scoring form.
  • Fletcher Sharpe offers value with strong support play for Newcastle.
  • Lindsay Collins is the outsider with a knack for big-moment tries.
2026 NRL Grand Final First Try Scorer Tips & Predictions
2026 NRL Grand Final First Try Scorer Tips & Predictions

 2026 NRL Grand Final First Try Scorer Tips - Who Scores the First Try in the NRL Grand Final?


Mark Nawaqanitawase and Fletcher Sharpe are our leading first try scorer selections for the 2026 NRL Grand Final, with Lindsay Collins our roughie for the Roosters.

The past five Grand Finals have seen a winger, two centres and two hookers score the opening try, showing there is no single position that dominates this market.

The Roosters do bring a strong trend into Sunday's decider, having scored first in their last 11 matches when starting as favourites.

Mark Nawaqanitawase - First Try Scorer

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Nawaqanitawase has scored 20 tries in 22 games, including five across his past three matches, and opened the scoring against the Dolphins in last week's preliminary final.

The matchup with Greg Marzhew is another reason to like him. With Sam Walker and Daly Cherry-Evans controlling the kicking game, expect the Roosters to test Marzhew under the high ball and give Nawaqanitawase opportunities in the air.

Fletcher Sharpe - First Try Scorer

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Sharpe has scored 13 tries this season and shapes as Newcastle's most interesting option through his support play.

If Kalyn Ponga or Bradman Best breaks the Roosters defensive line, Sharpe has the speed and instinct to appear on their shoulder and finish the move.

He also scored Newcastle's first try of the 2026 season, collecting a Ponga kick against North Queensland in Round 1.

Lindsay Collins - First Try Scorer Roughie

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Collins has scored only three NRL tries this season, but he has developed a habit of finding the line in big moments.

The Roosters prop scored first against Cronulla, crossed for Queensland during the Origin series and scored again in last week's preliminary final against the Dolphins.

If the Roosters get an early attacking set close to Newcastle's line, Collins is our roughie to crash over.

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