2025 Women's State of Origin

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Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women NRL State of Origin Tips - Queensland to Strike Early

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue 29 Apr 2025 13:42

Ryan Tucker 29 Apr 2025

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Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women expert predictions for Thursday’s Women’s State of Origin game
Kick off is at 7:45 PM (AEST) at Suncorp Stadium
2025 Women's State of Origin begins at Suncorp Stadium.
Queensland aims to defend title with 10 returning players.
Key Maroons boast experience, but NSW embraces new strategies.

Ryan's top picks for Game 1 of Women's State of Origin!

Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women, State of Origin Game 1 2025 - Expert Prediction

The 2025 Women’s State of Origin series gets underway this Thursday at Suncorp Stadium, with Queensland looking to launch their title defence in style against New South Wales.

The Maroons dropped the opening game in Brisbane last year, going down 22-12, but showed serious resilience to storm back and win the series. Backed by a raucous home crowd and boasting 10 players from that successful campaign, Queensland look well-placed to turn the tables this time around.

Both sides come into the clash under-prepared by their own admission, with no match play since last year's NRLW season. While stars like Shannon Mato, Millie Elliott, and Caitlan Johnston-Green are missing due to pregnancy, Queensland arguably hold the advantage when it comes to continuity and settled combinations.

The Maroons' experience in key positions is a big factor. The halves pairing of Tarryn Aiken and Ali Brigginshaw have done it all before at this level, while the Blues are rolling the dice with Dally M Centre of the Year Tiana Penitani shifting to five-eighth to partner Jesse Southwell. That playmaking gamble could take time to click, a luxury they won’t have against a well-drilled Queensland outfit.

While the Blues field seven players from last year’s Roosters NRLW premiership side and edge the Maroons slightly in total Origin caps (88–77), Queensland’s ability to grind out tight contests - seen in last year’s Newcastle thriller, is a major advantage if this one gets into the trenches.

Bookmakers have installed NSW as $1.80 favourites, with Queensland out at $2.00. That underdog tag should only fuel the Maroons further, especially with Suncorp expected to be rocking.

QLD lost Game 1 at Suncorp last year but won Games 2 & 3 on the road.
The team that has scored first has gone on to win in 4 of the last 5 Origin Games.
Julia Robinson has been in strong try-scoring form recently, particularly for the Jillaroos, making her a standout option to cross the line.
Queensland’s established halves pairing of Ali Brigginshaw and Tarryn Aiken offers far greater cohesion compared to NSW’s makeshift duo, giving the Maroons an edge in game management and attacking execution

Head to Head

NSW hold a 7-5 advantage in State of Origin but it was QLD who won the series last year 2-1.

4 of the last 5 games have been decided by 10 or fewer points.

Queensland Maroons Women Form Analysis

Queensland come into the 2025 series with 10 players from last year’s winning squad, giving them continuity despite a few big outs.

Several key Maroons, including Julia Robinson, have kept sharp with recent Jillaroos duties, while others have impressed in high-intensity opposed sessions.

The halves combo of Aiken and Brigginshaw remains one of the best in women’s footy giving the Queenslanders the edge in stability and execution heading into the game.

Queensland Maroons Women Team News

Nellie Doherty Medal winner from last year Shannon Mato is out of the series due to pregnancy Keilee Joseph is promoted to the starting prop role.

Queensland will trot out 4 debutants in the first game of the 2025 Origin series with the wing and centre combination of Jasmine Peters and Rory Owen completely new. Jada Ferguson and Tavarna Papalii will make their debuts off the interchange.

Golden Boot winner Tarryn Aiken has been named at five-eighth partnering veteran Ali Brigginshaw.

Emma Manzelmann, Zahara Temara and Tazmin Rapana are noticeable omissions.

Queensland Maroons Women Team List

1 - Tamika Upton

2 - Julia Robinson

3 - Shenae Ciesiolka

4 - Rory Owen

5 - Jasmine Peters

6 - Tarryn Aiken

7 - Ali Brigginshaw

8 - Keilee Joseph

9 - Lauren Brown

10 - Jessika Elliston

11 - Sienna Lofipo

12 - Romy Teitzel

13 - Destiny Brill

Interchange

14 - Jada Ferguson

15 - Sophie Holyman

16 - Makenzie Weale

17 - Tavarna Papalii

Reserves

18 - Georgia Hannaway

19 - Chelsea Lenarduzzi

20 - Hayley Maddick

NSW Blues Women Form Analysis

A new coach and a new look squad for the Blues, blending experience with some exciting fresh faces. NSW have 7 players from the NRLW Premiership winning Roosters team, giving them a winning mentality.

There are some key positional changes with Tiana Penitani shifting to five-eighth which adds an element of risk in the big arena of Origin.

Similarly to QLD the Blues have only had a 6 week training block of opposed sessions so cohesion could take time. Their biggest weapon could be raw X-factor if the combinations can click early.

NSW Blues Women Team News

Both starting props from last year Millie Elliot and Caitlan Johnston-Green will be missing from this series which means the Blues will debut 4 new players in Game 1.

Fullback Abbi Church, winger Jayme Fressard, forward Ellie Johnston and utility Jocelyn Kelleher all named in the 17. There are also a host of players making a comeback to the Origin arena after missing selection over the past 1 or 2 years.

9 players in this Blues side played in the International friendly in Las Vegas earlier this year where the Aussies annihilated England.

NSW Blues Women Team List

1 - Abbi Church

2 - Jaime Chapman

3 - Jessica Sergis

4 - Isabelle Kelly

5 - Jayme Fressard

6 - Tiana Penitani

7 - Jess Southwell

8 - Simaima Taufa

9 - Keeley Davis

10 - Ellie Johnston

11 - Kezie Apps

12 - Yasmin Clydsdale

13 - Olivia Kernick

Interchange

14 - Jocelyn Kelleher

15 - Kennedy Cherrington

16 - Sarah Togatuki

17 - Emma Verran

Reserves

18 - Shaylee Bent

19 - Kirra Dibb

20 - Olivia Higgins

Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women NRL 2025 State of Origin FAQ’s

How to watch Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women NRL 2025 State of Origin?

You can watch the Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women NRL 2025 State of Origin game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women NRL 2025 State of Origin?

To buy tickets to the Queensland Maroons Women vs NSW Blues Women NRL 2025 State of Origin game 1 check the NRL website.

Verdict

QLD Maroons Women v NSW Blues Women

Take the Maroons to win on the Moneyline as the Underdogs. Julia Robinson is in great tryscoring form, take her to cross for at least one 4-pointer. The team that has scored first has gone on to win in 4 of the last 5 - lock that in aswell!

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