Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL Round 15 Tips - Port to finally Power to a close win
Port Adelaide Power are tipped to pull off an upset over Collingwood Magpies at the MCG in AFL Round 15 2026. Despite a poor record against the Magpies and sitting 4-9 this season, Port's strong defensive stats, close game history, and Collingwood's mounting injuries make this match ripe for an upset. Look for a low-scoring grind, with Jason Horne-Francis likely to score 2+ goals. Expect Port to turn their recent narrow losses into a much-needed win while Collingwood struggles to close out tight contests.
- The game will be played at MCG on Saturday, 20th June, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
- Can the Pies maintain strong recent record against Port?
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 15 2026 - Expert Prediction
- Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 15 2026 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head Stats
- Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis
- Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis
- Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power Team List & News
- Collingwood Magpies Team News
- Port Adelaide Power Team News
- Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2026 Round 15 FAQ’s
Port Adelaide can overcome a poor recent record against Collingwood by pulling off an upset win at the MCG on Saturday night.
The Power have lost their past five against Collingwood, with the past three at the MCG decided by big margins.
They sit with a win-loss record of 4-9 but have been banging on the door in a number of matches, while there are question marks around Collingwood, who have been battling to deal with injuries, losing four of their past five.
Collingwood’s recent run has been frustrating, with their past five matches decided by 10 points or fewer. They have played some good football in patches but have lacked the polish to finish games off, while their backline depth will be tested without Brayden Maynard and Darcy Moore.
The Magpies still have the class to cause headaches through Nick Daicos, Jordan De Goey and Dan McStay, but they look vulnerable against a Port Adelaide side that has been far more competitive than their ladder position suggests.
Port pushed Sydney to within three points last weekend and have now been involved in a stack of close games this season. Five of their nine losses have been by three points or fewer, and while that has been frustrating, their defensive profile and ability to stay in contests gives them a genuine chance here.
The Power rank well defensively and should make this a grind rather than a shootout. Their recent matches have generally been played at a low enough tempo to suggest the under is the right play, especially with Collingwood’s injury concerns down back and Port’s issues with efficiency in front of goal.
Zak Butters continues to lead the way in the middle, while Joe Richards has added some extra speed and balance through the midfield. If Port can match Collingwood around the contest and avoid wasting too many chances inside 50, they can turn one of those narrow losses into a much-needed win.
Jason Horne-Francis also looks a strong option to hit the scoreboard. He has kicked 2+ goals in his past three matches and continues to have an impact forward of the ball, particularly in games where Port need that extra burst of power and class around goal.
Port Adelaide have had their issues against Collingwood in recent seasons, but this looks a much better set-up for the Power. With Collingwood undermanned, low on confidence and struggling to close out games, Port can make the most of their chance and claim an upset win at the MCG.
- Port Adelaide have a poor record against Collingwood at the MCG but have won five of their past seven at the venue
- The Magpies have lost four of their past five matches
- The total points in Port’s last six matches has averaged just 154
- Jason Horne-Francis has kicked 2+ goals in his past three matches
Head to Head Stats
Collingwood have taken out the past five matches between the two sides and were 91-point winners the last time the two sides met, which was way back in Round 1 last season. Four of those five have been at the MCG, with the past three coming by an average of 68 points.
Standout player performances in the recent head to heads have come from:
- Tim Membrey (Pies) – four goals the last time the two sides met
- Ollie Wines (Power) – 34 disposals in his last match against Collingwood
- Zak Butters (Power) – 30+ disposals in his past two against the Magpies
- Dan McStay (Pies) – 2+ goals in his past two matches against the Power
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis
Collingwood come in with a 5-7-1 win/loss/draw record. Since splitting their Round 8 fixture against Hawthorn at 93 apiece, they have lost four of five, with their only win in that period a 10-point margin against West Coast.
They had the bye in Round 14 and suffered an eight-point loss to Melbourne in the King’s Birthday ‘Big Freeze’ match prior to the break. The Magpies’ past five matches have been decided by 10 points or fewer.
Nick Daicos again found a stack of the footy with 35 disposals against Melbourne, while Josh Daicos had 30 disposals. Nick also chimed in with two goals, while Jordan De Goey, Jack Buller and Dan McStay also snagged two.
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis
Port Adelaide’s win-loss record of 4-9 this season does not paint a true picture of just how competitive they have been. Five of their nine losses have been by three points or fewer, including the Round 14 match against Sydney when going down by three.
Port Adelaide have a solid defence, ranking fifth for fewest points conceded, and despite being posted in 15th spot on the ladder, they have a percentage above 100.
Zak Butters has been a model of consistency and had 27 disposals against Sydney. He has had 25+ in his past three and had a streak of nine matches prior to that when he hit 30+. Jason Horne-Francis continues to have scoreboard impact in low-scoring matches and has booted eight goals in his past three games.
Port Adelaide venture to Melbourne for the second time this season and were winners at the MCG against Richmond back in Round 4, while they dropped their Round 1 clash to North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium. The Power have won five of their past seven at the MCG, but the two losses were hefty ones to Collingwood.
Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power Team List & News
- To be updated after team selection on Thursday
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Collingwood's backline is set to be tested in the coming weeks, with Brayden Maynard sidelined after dislocating his shoulder and Darcy Moore also unavailable with a hamstring injury. Jamie Elliott, Reef McInnes and Oscar Steene remain out for the season, while Will Hayes and Noah Howes are still a few weeks away. There is some positive news, with Joel Cochran listed as a test and Steele Sidebottom expected to return after being managed before the bye.
Port Adelaide Power Team News
No injuries for Port Adelaide came out of the match against Sydney. Jack Lukosius should be ready to make his return. Miles Bergmann is still a few weeks away, while Connor Rozee has been ruled out for the season.
Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2026 Round 15 FAQ’s
How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2026 Round 15?
You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2026 Round 15 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2026 Round 15?
To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2026 Round 15 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.
Verdict
Port to pull off an upset with the total points set to hit the under. Horne Francis to bob up with 2+ goals in low scoring tight one
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