Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Round 15 Tips - North to Light Up the G

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Wed 17 Jun 2026 13:28

Ryan Tucker 2 hours ago

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North Melbourne tipped to cover -17.5 vs Richmond.
Roos expected to score over 96.5 points.
Jack Darling backed for 3+ goals; strong Same Game Multi value.
The game will be played at MCG on Sunday, 21st June, with the bounce at 1:10 PM (AEST)

Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 15 2026 - Expert Prediction

North Melbourne -17.5, Roos over 96.5 team total and Jack Darling 3+ goals, then whack them all together in a SGM at $7.50 for the best plays for Sunday afternoon at the MCG.

Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 15 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
Richmond Tigers Form Analysis
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis
Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List & News
Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 15 FAQ’s

The Footy Bets predictive model has North Melbourne by 14.5 pts against a market line of 17.5. The market is actually ahead of the model here but the context supports North covering with confidence. Richmond are 2-11, averaging just 66.7 pts over their last five games and giving up 109.2 pts per game on defence. North beat them by 75 pts in Round 6 this season and by 48 pts in Round 23 last year.

North over 96.5 is where the value sits. They are averaging 87.8 pts on attack this season and Richmond's defence is giving up 109.2 pts per game, which is the most in the competition. When North's ball movement clicks through their midfield, they score freely and Richmond cannot stop it. In Round 6 this year North put up 130 pts against them with Sheezel collecting 39 Disposals and Paul Curtis booting six goals.

Darling at 3+ goals is the aggressive leg of the SGM. He booted four in the first half against West Coast last week and has 19 goals from 12 games this season. Richmond's backline has been consistently exposed by key forwards all year and Darling is too good and too experienced for what they will put against him.

Take North Melbourne -17.5, Roos over 96.5 and Jack Darling 3+ goals as well as all three picks as a SGM at $7.50.

North Melbourne beat Richmond by 75 pts in Round 6 this season and by 48 pts in Round 23 2025.
Richmond are giving up 109.2 pts per game on defence which is the worst in the competition.
Jack Darling booted four goals in the first half against West Coast last week and has 19 goals from 12 games this season.
Harry Sheezel is predicted at 41.6 Disposals against a line of 32.5 and Colby McKercher at 29.0 against 23.5, when North's midfield fires in this matchup, as it did with Sheezel's 39 in Round 6, the scoreboard follows.

Head to Head Stats

North Melbourne have won 4 straight and hold a 6-4 record in the last 10 meetings but Richmond lead 28-23 all time. Richmond hold a narrow edge at their home ground all time and have won 2 of the last 3 there.

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis

Richmond returned from the bye to push Brisbane for a half in Hobart before the Lions ran away with a 35 pt win in the third quarter. Jasper Alger was the Tigers' standout with four goals and Tim Taranto had 29 Disposals and two goals, but once Brisbane's stars took over Richmond had no answers. The Tigers are 2-11 and have now lost four of their last five games.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis

North Melbourne survived a late West Coast fightback to win by one point at Optus Stadium in their second WA home game of the season. Harry Sheezel was outstanding with 32 Disposals, nine Inside 50s and nine Clearances, Jack Darling booted four first-half goals against his former club and Nick Larkey added four majors. The Roos out-tackled the Eagles 72-47 and won the Contested Possession battle 119-116. After the horror show against Fremantle, Alastair Clarkson got the response he needed and the Roos head into this game with genuine momentum and a finals spot very much in play.

Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List & News

Richmond Tigers Team News: The Tigers came through the Brisbane game without fresh injuries. Jasper Alger is expected to retain his spot after back-to-back multiple-goal games.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News: Paul Curtis faces MRO scrutiny for his tackle on Hamish Davis against West Coast. The Roos are otherwise clean heading into the week with no fresh injury concerns.

Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 15 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 15?

You can watch the Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 15 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.