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Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL Round 16 Tips - Raiders attack to stale

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 18 Jun 2026 10:20

Jeremy Darke 18 Jun 2026

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Melbourne Storm tipped to cover the -8.5 line at home.
Canberra averaging just 15.6 points, with another low tally expected.
Moses Leo a strong pick for anytime try scorer, with 5 tries in last 4 games.
Kick off is at 4:05 PM (AEST) on Sunday, 21st June at AAMI Park

Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL Round 16 Tips

Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction

Melbourne look well placed to cover the line at home, while Canberra's struggling attack points strongly towards another low-scoring outing.

Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis
Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders Team News & Team Lists
Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

The Raiders have scored just 15.6 points per game across their last five matches and have failed to crack 20 points in four of those five games. They were held scoreless by the Roosters two weeks ago and managed only 12 points against Parramatta last weekend despite dominating territory for large periods.

Melbourne have won four of their last five games and return from the bye with key players Cameron Munster, Harry Grant and Jahrome Hughes available. The Storm have scored 94 points across their last three home games and should create enough opportunities to pull away from a Canberra side that has lost four of its last five.

Moses Leo shapes as the best player prop. The Storm winger has scored five tries in his last four games and continues to benefit from Melbourne's potent left-edge attack. Against a Raiders defence conceding 22.6 points per game over its last five matches, he should see opportunities again.

Take Melbourne -8.5, Canberra Team Total Under 20.5 Points and Moses Leo Anytime Tryscorer.

Canberra are averaging just 15.6 points across their last five matches.
The Raiders have failed to score more than 20 points in four of their last five games.
Melbourne have scored 94 points across their last three home games.
Moses Leo has scored five tries in his last four appearances.

Head to Head

Recent meetings have generally been competitive, but Melbourne's home record against Canberra remains strong.

The Raiders won the most recent clash 26-22 earlier this season and also edged the Storm 20-18 in Melbourne last year. However, Melbourne have won 38 of 56 meetings overall and traditionally perform well at AAMI Park.

While Canberra have enjoyed some recent success in the matchup, the Storm enter this contest in considerably stronger form.

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis

The Storm have won four of their last five matches and appear to be building momentum after a slow start to the season.

Their most recent outing was a thrilling 32-30 victory over Newcastle before the bye, while earlier wins over the Roosters, Eels and Tigers showcased the attacking upside this side still possesses. Melbourne are averaging 29.6 points across their last five matches while conceding only 17.6.

The return of Jack Howarth and Tyran Wishart strengthens the squad further, while Munster, Grant and Trent Loiero have all been named to back up after Origin.

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis

Canberra's season has slipped badly over the past month.

The Raiders have lost four of their last five matches while averaging only 15.6 points per game. They were shut out by the Roosters, scored 12 against Parramatta and have consistently struggled to convert territory into points.

Hudson Young and Ethan Strange return from Origin duty which helps, but Canberra's attack remains a major concern. The Raiders have failed to score more than 20 points in seven of their last eight matches and now face one of the competition's strongest home environments.

Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders Team News & Team Lists

Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 16 Team List Article.

Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to livestream Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2026 Round 16?

You can livestream the Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2026 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2026 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2026 Round 16 game check the NRL website or the official Melbourne Storm site.

Verdict

Melbourne Storm v Canberra Raiders

Take Melbourne -8.5, Canberra Team Total Under 20.5 Points and Moses Leo Anytime Tryscorer.

Melbourne -8.5

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