2026 Canada Open

Alex de Minaur vs Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Norrie has hardcourt edge

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 06 Aug 2026 01:40

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

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Alex de Minaur vs Cameron Norrie predictions for Thursday's ATP Montreal R3
H2H level at 3-3, but Norrie leads 3-1 on hardcourt
De Minaur remains down on form, losing four of last five vs top 40 players
The match is scheduled to start around 4.00am AEST on Friday August 7

Alex de Minaur v Cameron Norrie Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Montreal. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Starts in To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Alex de Minaur vs Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Cameron Norrie has won three of his four hardcourt meetings with Alex de Minaur and has returned to some good form in North America - the Brit is backed with a +3.5 start and holds value for the outright win in this third round Canada Masters showdown on Thursday in Montreal.

Alex de Minaur vs Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
De Minaur vs Norrie Stats & Trends
De Minaur vs Norrie Head To Head
Alex de Minaur Form Analysis
Cameron Norrie Form Analysis
De Minaur vs Norrie Live Stream

Intriguing matchup here. De Minaur is under all the pressure and it's a big opportunity for Norrie to claim a top 10 scalp and build some more momentum on hardcourt.

I'm still not convinced with de Minaur's form at all. He's lost four of his last five matches against top 40 players and needed to save six set points in the second set to edge past James Duckworth in his Montreal opener. The Aussie has been way below his best for the better part of five months now and remains vulnerable heading into this contest.

Norrie meanwhile has put together a decent season and comes into this clash having won five of his last six matches on hardcourt after reaching the semi-finals in Los Cabos last week and toppling Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ignacio Buse in his opening two Montreal matches.

While the H2H is level at 3-3, Norrie has dominated on hardcourt, winning three of the four meetings - including a straight sets victory at Indian Wells earlier this year. There's something about Norrie's junkballing and unorthodox game that frustrates de Minaur when he's down on confidence and not striking the ball cleanly.

The Aussie just can't hit through Norrie on slow hardcourt and with the Brit in solid form, this will prove tough again in Montreal. I'm taking Norrie with a +3.5 start and there's no reason why he can't win outright again either.

De Minaur vs Norrie Stats & Trends

Norrie has won five of his last six matches on hardcourt
De Minaur has lost four of his last five matches vs top 40 players
De Minaur is 8-2 in his second matches this season, but one of those defeats was vs Norrie
Norrie has a 13-46 record vs top 10 players, but is 3-5 in his last eight, including beating de Minaur
Norrie is 18-8 vs Australian opponents at tour-level, winning four of the last five

De Minaur vs Norrie Head To Head

As mentioned, currently locked at 3-3. De Minaur won the most-recent clash on the clay of Monte Carlo, but Norrie leads 3-1 on hardcourt.

Year	Winner	Event	Round	Surface	Score
2026	Alex de Minaur	ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo	Round of 32	Outdoor Clay	7–6(5), 2–6, 6–2
2026	Cameron Norrie	ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells	Round of 32	Outdoor Hard	6–4, 6–4
2024	Cameron Norrie	United Cup	Round Robin	Outdoor Hard	6–4, 2–6, 7–6(2)
2023	Alex de Minaur	ATP Masters 1000 Canada	Round of 64	Outdoor Hard	7–5, 6–4
2023	Cameron Norrie	United Cup	Round Robin	Outdoor Hard	6–3, 6–3
2022	Alex de Minaur	Barcelona	Quarter-Final	Outdoor Clay	6–3, 5–7, 6–1

Alex de Minaur Form Analysis

ATP 2026 Record: 30-15
ATP Canada Record: 10-5
Current Ranking: No. 7
Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (July 2026)

By his own lofty standards, it's been a disappointing season for de Minaur. After a flying start that included an Australian Open quarter-final and the ATP 500 title in Rotterdam, the Australian has struggled to consistently produce his best tennis.

From Acapulco through to Rome, de Minaur posted a 5-6 record before rediscovering some momentum with a semi-final run in Hamburg. However, he was unable to build on that result, winning just one match at Roland Garros before falling to Jakub Menšík.

The grass-court swing brought further frustration. De Minaur finished runner-up in 's-Hertogenbosch after losing to Kamil Majchrzak, was knocked out by Brandon Nakashima in the Queen's Club quarter-finals, and then missed another opportunity to make a deep Grand Slam run when Flavio Cobolli defeated him in straight sets in the fourth round at Wimbledon.

The 27-year-old was unable to defend his Washington title last week either, with another quarter-final loss to Nakashima ending his campaign.

A runner-up in Canada in 2023, de Minaur was again below his best against compatriot James Duckworth in his opening match - he was cruising 6-2 3-1 before being dragged into a huge battle, saving three set points at 5-6 and then three more while trailing the tiebreak 3-6 before closing out a 6-2 7-6(6) victory.

Cameron Norrie Form Analysis

ATP 2026 Record: 19-16
ATP Canada Record: 5-5
Current Ranking: No. 37
Career-High Ranking: No. 8 (2022)

After some injury-plagued years, Norrie is back playing some solid tennis and has a justified top 40 ranking heading into this clash.

It's not been an overly spectacular year, but Norrie is always such a tricky player and forces his opponent to be at their best to beat him.

Norrie's best result was a quarter-final run at Indian Wells, where he beat de Minaur before falling to Alcaraz.

The Brit battled some niggling injuries that contributed to opening round defeats at Roland Garros and Wimbledon, but he returned to fitness and form in Los Cabos last week, making the semi-finals.

Norrie has continued his good form in Montreal to make the third round in Canada for just the second time in his career, beating South American clay courters Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ignacio Buse in straight sets.

De Minaur vs Norrie Live Stream

Watch and bet on Alex de Minaur vs Cameron Norrie live tennis from Montreal.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Montreal with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Alex de Minaur v Cameron Norrie

Norrie has proven to be a thorn in de Minaur's side on hardcourt & looks a good chance for the upset again in Montreal.

Norrie +3.5

Games Line

$1.85 - 2 Units

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H2H

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