2026 Canada Open

Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Jodar to reach first Masters final

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026 04:09

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

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Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima predictions for Wednesday's ATP Montreal SF
Jodar on fire with 28 wins in last 34 matches
Nakashima also in good form, but Jodar looks to be operating on another level
The match is scheduled to start at 8.00am AEST on Thursday August 13

Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Montreal. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Starts in To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Teenage sensation Rafael Jodar is simply on fire - the 19-year-old is backed to take care of Brandon Nakashima and continue his extraordinary run of form into a maiden Masters 1000 final in Montreal on Wednesday night.

Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Jodar vs Nakashima Stats & Trends
Jodar vs Nakashima Head To Head
Rafael Jodar Form Analysis
Brandon Nakashima Form Analysis
Jodar vs Nakashima Live Stream

Out of nowhere, Jodar is in the midst of putting together one of the most insane tour breakthroughs in tennis history. The Spaniard was ranked outside the top 500 a little over 12 months ago and started the year at No. 168 in the world. Now, Jodar is up to a live ranking of No. 11 and he will crack the top 10 with a title, which would break Boris Becker's 41-year record for the shortest amount of time to enter the top 10 after first making the top 100.

Jodar is coming off a clean 7-6 6-3 victory over an in-form Arthur Fils, his second win in as many tournaments over the Frenchman. He looks unstoppable right now, with his big serve and powerful groundstrokes dominating all-comers.

Meanwhile, Nakashima - incredibly - was the oldest of the eight Montreal quarter-finalists at the ripe age of 25, easing to a straight sets win over Luciano Darderi. Since linking up with Wayne Ferreira for the grass swing, Nakashima has made the semi-finals in three of four tournaments and has cracked the top 25 for the first time in the live rankings.

Nakashima can't be discounted, but Jodar is just on another level. The teenager is supremely confident and is playing with so much freedom. He's beaten Fils, Musetti and Lehecka in straight sets in his last three matches and he can register another straight sets victory to advance into the final here.

Jodar vs Nakashima Stats & Trends

Jodar has won 28 of his last 34 matches
Five of Jodar's last seven wins have been in straight sets
Jodar has won 26 of his last 28 matches vs players outside the top 20
Jodar has a 2-1 record in semi-finals
Nakashima has lost nine of his last 10 semi-finals
Nakashima has a 4-21 record vs top 10 players, which is the level Jodar is playing at right now

Jodar vs Nakashima Head To Head

This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Rafael Jodar Form Analysis

2026 ATP Record: 34-12
ATP Montreal Record: 4-0
Current Ranking: No. 15
Career-High Ranking: No. 15 (August 2026)

Jodar's rise has been one of the biggest stories on the ATP Tour, and the 19-year-old continues to reach new heights.

Ranked No. 540 in the world this time last year and No. 150 at the beginning of 2026, the Spaniard arrived in Montreal at a career-high No. 15 and is now just two wins away from breaking into the top 10.

Jodar has won 28 of his 34 matches since the start of the clay season, claiming his maiden ATP title in Marrakech while also reaching the quarter-finals in Madrid, Rome and Roland Garros.

He carried that momentum onto the North American hard courts, advancing to his first ATP 500 final in Washington before finishing runner-up to Taylor Fritz. Despite the quick turnaround, Jodar hasn't shown any signs of fatigue in Montreal, opening with a three-set victory over Corentin Moutet before recording straight-set wins over Lorenzo Musetti, Jiri Lehecka and Arthur Fils.

Jodar registered a 7-6(5), 6-3 win over Fils, which was an identical score to his win over the Frenchman in Washington a couple of weeks ago.

Brandon Nakashima Form Analysis

2026 ATP Record: 26-15
ATP Montreal Record: 7-4
Current Ranking: No. 31
Career-High Ranking: No. 29 (2025)

Nakashima has put together a strong season and is up to No. 25 in the live rankings after making his maiden Masters 1000 semi-final.

While he has produced some encouraging results on clay and grass, including a third-round appearance at Roland Garros and a semi-final run at Queen's Club, hard courts remain his most successful surface.

Nakashima started the season by reaching the Brisbane final and the Acapulco semi-finals before carrying that form into the North American summer with another semi-final showing in Washington.

The 24-year-old has now won 11 of his last 14 matches after another impressive week in Montreal. He opened with a dominant 6-2, 6-1 victory over Daniel Altmaier before battling through consecutive three-set wins against Frenchmen Titouan Droguet and Arthur Rinderknech to reach the quarter-finals.

Nakashima then crushed Luciano Darderi 6-2, 6-3 in the last eight, advancing into his third semi-final in the last four tournaments on the back of 11 aces and winning 30/36 first serve points.

Jodar vs Nakashima Live Stream

Watch and bet on Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima live tennis from Montreal.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Montreal with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima

Jodar is steamrolling everyone right now and is backed for another straight sets victory.

Jodar 2-0

Set Betting

$2.15 - 2 Units

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