Racing Tips & Best Bets – Saturday, November 1, 2025

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Flemington Betting Tips for November 1, 2025 - Race-By-Race preview for Victoria Derby Day

Alex Marsh

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Last updated: Thu 30 Oct 2025 14:38

Alex Marsh 30 Oct 2025

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Victoria Derby Day at Flemington features a classic nine-race card
Highlights include the Victoria Derby, Coolmore Stud, and Empire Rose Stakes
Emerging talents and seasoned performers offer rich betting opportunities

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Flemington hosts Victoria Derby Day, featuring nine Group races including the Derby, Coolmore Stud Stakes and Empire Rose Stakes — all three run at Group 1 level. (Getty)

Australia’s premier spring carnival reaches its peak on Victoria Derby Day at Flemington, with a classic nine-race card headlined by the time-honoured Derby and supported by the Coolmore Stud Stakes and Empire Rose Stakes.

Flemington Tips November 1
Race 1 - 12:20 PM Channel 9 Carbine Club Stakes Tips (1600m)
Race 2 - 1:00 PM The TAB Vanity Tips (1400m)
Race 3 - 1:40 PM G.H. Mumm Rising Fast Stakes Tips (1200m)
Race 4 - 2:20 PM HKJC World Pool Wakeful Stakes Tips (2000m)
Race 5 - 3:00 PM The ABC Bullion Damien Oliver Tips (1400m)
Race 6 - 3:40 PM Coolmore Stud Stakes Tips (1200m)
Race 7 - 4:20 PM Howden Victoria Derby Tips (2500m)
Race 8 - 5:00 PM TAB Empire Rose Stakes Tips (1600m)
Race 9 - 5:40 PM Kirin Ichiban Sprint Tips (1100m)

The program features a mix of emerging three-year-olds, proven Group performers and competitive sprints down the straight.

Every race carries genuine depth, offering punters top-class form lines from across the country and a stack of betting angles. Derby Day remains one of the most famous race meetings of the year anywhere in the world, and Flemington once again stages a card worthy of its rich tradition.

Flemington Tips November 1

Race 1 - 12:20 PM Channel 9 Carbine Club Stakes Tips (1600m)

5. Regal Award has come a long way since an inexperienced debut runner-up effort back in April and now finds himself at the top of the market on the back of a sharp spring campaign. The gelding has matured with racing and continues to build momentum this preparation.

He’s been successful in two of four starts this time in, including a dominant 7.5-length romp at Caulfield when rising to 1600m for the first time. That performance showcased his brilliance and suggested he’s beginning to harness his raw talent. This is a tougher test, but he appears ready to handle the challenge.

4. Call Da Vinci warrants respect second-up after a sound Victorian debut on October 18 behind the race-fit Bacash. His Cranbourne trials indicated he’d take improvement from that outing, and his Brisbane form from earlier in the year was strong, with Group placings following back-to-back triumphs.

The more favoured of the Chris Waller pair is 9. Panova, who broke through at Randwick last start when claiming the Group 3 Reginald Allen Quality. Waller boasts a strong record in this race, having previously produced winners such as Kermadec, Comin' Through, Fangirl and Aeliana— all subsequent Group 1 victors.

1. Vinrock was a little outclassed in the Caulfield Guineas but has an excellent record at Flemington, winning both starts at the track.

Selections: 5 – 4 – 9 – 1.

Race 2 - 1:00 PM The TAB Vanity Tips (1400m)

4. Sheza Alibi looks very well placed back against the fillies for this second-up assignment, with blinkers applied for the first time and a suitable rise to 1400m. She was well supported at a price on her Victorian debut in the Gothic Stakes, which was taken out by Tentyris, one of the leading Coolmore Stud Stakes contenders. She also beat Ripley, who had bolted in the start before, and McGaw, a Group 2 winner on October 4.

For her last Queensland appearance, she finished runner-up to Autumn Boy, the subsequent Caulfield Guineas winner, and she should relish the big track at Flemington.

9. Teine Aulelei also commands respect, backing up from last Saturday’s Listed Crockett Stakes at Moonee Valley where she was badly held up in the straight. The filly has always shaped as one that would improve once stretching out in trip, and the big track is a major tick.

6. Chatterley comes out of the Reginald Allen Quality won by her stablemate Panova and worked home with purpose. She’s been competitive in all four outings, and as it was a month between runs in her latest, there’s room for improvement here.

12. Miss Revealing was good on debut at Sandown before a dominant Warrnambool maiden win last start. Faces a much sterner task here, but she looks progressive.

Selections: 4 – 9 – 6 – 12.

Race 3 - 1:40 PM G.H. Mumm Rising Fast Stakes Tips (1200m)

A very competitive sprint, and 8. Watchme Win is at an each-way quote. The South Australian opened his campaign with a Listed victory at Morphettville when defeating two quality types in Fancify and Aviatress.

His straight-track debut on October 4 was better than it appears on paper in the Gilgai Stakes, where he was back and making ground in the inferior going, recording the second-fastest last 200m of the race without threatening — and that was with no prior second-up form to his name. His last third-up outing resulted in a Group 3 win during the Adelaide Carnival.

9. Geegees Mistruth had been admirably consistent prior to a Group 3 miss in the Cockram Stakes back in August, but there were excuses there. After a brief freshen-up she bounced back with a runner-up finish behind Ray Magnerio at Caulfield. The extra furlong suits, and she’s a touch underrated.

1. Libertad and 5. Caballus both come through the Group 3 Sydney Stakes, with each resuming from a spell in that event. The closing sectionals of Caballus were stronger, although Libertad was visually a touch better through the line. Both warrant respect second-up.

Selections: 8 – 9 – 1 – 5.

Race 4 - 2:20 PM HKJC World Pool Wakeful Stakes Tips (2000m)

1. Getta Good Feeling recorded her first victory at Group 2 level here at Flemington when taking out the Edward Manifold Stakes two starts back. It should have been by a much bigger margin for the Danny O’Brien-trained filly, who was badly held up before seeing daylight at the 150m.

She then followed that with a very competitive third in the Group 1 Thousand Guineas behind Ole Dancer and Apocalyptic, who look comfortably the two standout milers among this early three-year-old filly crop. The form has stacked up strongly, with fourth-placed Salty Pearl franking it when taking out the Group 2 Fillies Classic last Saturday at Moonee Valley. That’s clearly the best exposed form in the race.

I’ve got a futures ticket at a decent price for 7. Fashionable, who remains in her first campaign but continues to build well. The daughter of Savabeel needed every bit of 1800m when breaking through at Hawkesbury last start, and the third-placed runner from that event, Tommy Thug, absolutely bolted in at Doomben on Wednesday. Blinkers go on for her Melbourne debut and the extra furlong looks ideal.

I suspect the winner comes from that pair, although 2. Ethereum Girl had some excuses in the Thousand Guineas. Her prior form through the Thousand Guineas Prelude warrants respect, and she was a Group 3 winner in winter before being tipped out.

5. Strictly Business is another that deserves mention after an impressive return win, albeit this is very aggressive placement second-up over 2000m at just her third start.

Selections: 2 – 4 – 6 – 5.

Race 5 - 3:00 PM The ABC Bullion Damien Oliver Tips (1400m)

The market often finds 13. King Zephyr, a talented five-year-old who is still putting it all together. Despite being beaten at Caulfield third-up as a short favourite, there was plenty of merit to the run, producing the race-fastest closing sectionals and third-fastest last 200m of the Caulfield Guineas meeting.

A strong and athletic type, bigger tracks clearly play to the son of Hallowed Crown’s strengths, with his victories coming at Bendigo, Pakenham, Sandown and Flemington. He gets his chance to atone here, and a more generous price is available in a better set-up.

Queensland visitor 2. Payline has been thereabouts in all four Melbourne attempts, the first two of which came at Group 1 level. He appeared to be wanting 1400m off his Gilgai Stakes effort third-up, got that trip at Caulfield and found trouble — he should’ve finished closer.

Have to include 4. Zou Sensation, although some classier types do look better placed against him. He makes his own luck on the speed and was a brave winner at his last try over this track and trip.

12. Enxuto is building well, 1200m proving too sharp fresh before getting warm late in a slowly run seven-furlong affair second-up. He has since completed a jump-out following that October 4 run.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 5 – 12.

Race 6 - 3:40 PM Coolmore Stud Stakes Tips (1200m)

Mark Zahra continues to underline his reputation as one of the nation’s premier big-race riders, having chalked up doubles on the past three Saturday programs in Melbourne. He partners 3. Tentyris, who arrived in time to claim the Gothic Stakes second-up with the day’s fastest closing sectionals.

The Godolphin colt looks a more complete article this campaign, having resumed with a strong third in the Danehill Stakes up the straight, a race shaped by those in the faster lanes. He carried that improvement into Caulfield and finished his first prep with a tidy Randwick win at start four before heading for a spell.

5. Skyhook was never comfortable in the fast-run Golden Rose dominated by Beiwacht, and the freshen-up along with the drop in trip should suit. He arguably should’ve finished ahead of that rival in the Run To The Rose when both chased home Tempted, the eventual Everest runner-up. The colt has always shown his best tracking a genuine tempo, and a straight-track jump-out on October 24 ticked him over nicely for this.

The overlooked runner could be 9. Legacy Bound, who impressed with back-to-back wins early in his career before scoring again over 1100m at Flemington in September. He was in the wrong part of the track in the Danehill yet still closed to finish only 0.3 lengths behind Tentyris. Returning to 1200m is a positive, and his recent jump-out suggested he’s holding that form.

Have to respect 1. Beiwacht off the Golden Rose performance, where he broke the 1400m track record at Rosehill. His earlier form didn’t point to that kind of spike, so the question is whether he can reproduce it — it either came from nowhere or the penny has finally dropped.

Selections: 3 – 5 – 9 – 1.

Race 7 - 4:20 PM Howden Victoria Derby Tips (2500m)

The most naturally gifted runner in the 2025 Victoria Derby field appears to be 1. Observer, although the 2500m has often tested the classier types in past editions. His pedigree suggests he’ll see out the journey, being by Ghaiyyath, a four-time Group 1 winner by Dubawi who was successful twice over 2400m.

He’s out of an unraced full sister to Pierro, whose better progeny have typically excelled over staying distances, and that dam line adds further depth for these longer trips. After an unlucky third in the Caulfield Guineas — which followed a brave fresh effort when covering ground — Observer recorded a soft victory in the Moonee Valley Vase to underline his staying credentials.

We were with 7. Azazel in the Geelong Classic, and the son of Shocking delivered at each-way odds in that 2200m Listed feature. After lacking a turn-of-foot in the slowly run Super Impose Stakes, the rise in distance was key to his improvement. There was merit to that latest win, where he sustained a wide and early move, and while he isn’t overly brilliant, the 2500m shouldn’t pull him up.

Busy finishes can be difficult to assess, and the Caulfield Classic was a blanket result with just 1.21 lengths separating the first six home. 15. Mcwoody finished fifth in that 2000m lead-up, briefly looming as the winner before peaking late — an effort that should bring him right on for this. He was nearly five weeks between runs after a debut victory, where the Mark Walker-trained colt overcame trouble to score. There’s genuine staying depth in his family through half-brother Dunwoody, a Listed winner over 3000m.

14. Savisanta, the Geelong Classic runner-up, follows a familiar path to Preferment, Chris Waller’s first Victoria Derby winner, who also came here a maiden after finishing second in the same race in 2014. Still learning the caper, but he does have a touch of X-factor.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 15 – 14.

Race 8 - 5:00 PM TAB Empire Rose Stakes Tips (1600m)

6. Leica Lucy arrived from New Zealand with an imposing record, having won six of her first seven starts including the New Zealand Oaks. Spelled following a fourth-place finish in the Australian Oaks, she has returned in terrific order under Chris Waller and looks to be peaking third-up, with near-side blinkers added to address her tendency to hang in late.

After producing the fastest last 400m of the entire Makybe Diva Stakes program, the daughter of Derryn again made inroads in the Group 1 Toorak Handicap, recording the quickest closing sectionals of the race. This is a challenge against seasoned mares at Group 1 WFA level, but the Toorak form has already held up through Transatlantic, and Leica Lucy finally draws a gate.

While she’s yet to turn that form into a win, the subsequent Cox Plate references through both Treasurethe Moment and Attrition still warrant respect. 1. Pride Of Jenni beat that pair in the Feehan Stakes before heading to Randwick for the King Charles III Stakes. Without her usual early dash — and with others beginning better — she took time to find the front, and the three-length defeat was still a fair performance. The Ciaron Maher-trained mare doesn’t need an invitation to dictate and looks the only genuine on-speed influence in this field.

After a demanding late three-year-old season that took her from Melbourne to Sydney, then Adelaide to Brisbane, 5. Benagil was always likely to have a more measured spring. The Australasian Oaks winner arrives here second-up, and with a short campaign planned, the Empire Rose shapes as her target. Her 1400m Listed return at Caulfield was sound — flat-footed when the sprint went on but strong through the line — and a follow-up jump-out at Flemington should have her right where she needs to be. She’s won two of three second-up starts.

Have to respect 2. Fangirl, the classiest miler in this field all things equal, but happy enough to take her on as favourite. Form this campaign suggests she’s regressed a little and was entitled to do a little more in the King Charles III Stakes.

Selections: 6 – 7 – 5 – 2.

Race 9 - 5:40 PM Kirin Ichiban Sprint Tips (1100m)

More inclined to speck a few outsiders in an open mares sprint to round out the Victoria Derby Day program, and one of them is 4. Austmarr, who cemented herself in the bets.com.au hall of fame after scoring in the last on Golden Slipper Day at $15.

It’s always in the notes — big mare, carries plenty of condition, and usually needs a few runs. That last win came third-up, and she follows the same pattern here. Wasn’t allowed to stride at Caulfield last start, and the wide draw plus straight track give her every chance. Kerrin McEvoy reunites, and his past three rides on her have produced a win and two seconds.

Another at odds is 14. Flying For Fun, who returned fairly and comes through a track-record 1000m at Warwick Farm, running the fastest closing sectionals of that race. She was also close up over this trip in a similar race third-up last prep.

13. Soft Love has a booming finish and peaked second-up last campaign with a strong Caulfield win. Still lightly raced, and early in a prep has been the time to catch her.

11. Merrigold is currently in the $40–$50 range and could start even longer. That valuation looks fair on benchmark references, but she was ultra-consistent last season and unlucky first-up at Caulfield.

Selections: 4 – 14 – 13 – 11.

Verdict

Flemington - November 1

Our best & value bets for Derby Day are:

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