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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Round 10 Tips - Broncos to bounce back

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Wed 07 May 2025 14:06

Ryan Tucker 07 May 2025

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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Friday’s Round 10 NRL game
Kick off is at 8:00 PM (AEST) at Accor Stadium
Rabbitohs to receive a boost with return of Mitchell and Humphries.
Brisbane favored to win; defensive issues plague South Sydney.
Expert predictions suggest a high-scoring game with Broncos' attack leading.

Top tips for Friday night footy!

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Rabbitohs will be buoyed by the return of key players but will ultimately lose to the Broncos who will be on a mission to bounce back from last weekend’s painful loss.

Both of these teams were embarrassed last weekend by their opponents. When looking at results and strength of opponent over the last 5 games the Rabbitohs are much worse off. The Broncos losses this season have come because of inconsistent defence and their opposition being able to stop their go forward.

South Sydney do not have that ability with this lineup on the defensive end, they rank 17th in Opposition Run Metres, 15th in Opposition Possession, 15th in Opposition Linebreaks while allowing a try for every 7.3 tackles Inside their 20m zone.

As mentioned the return of Latrell Mitchell and Jamie Humphries cannot be understated on the attacking end, it is likely the inclusions and quality of those players will lead to a higher points total for the Rabbitohs even with their struggles in that department so far this season.

Take Brisbane to win and cover the line with the Game Total going Over. Jesse Arthar is likely to score but also has the lowest odds, let’s take Xavier Willison on the left edge where Brisbane have scored 52% of their tries this season and Souths have allowed 49% of theirs.

Brisbane have won and covered in 4 of the last 6 vs South Sydney.
The Broncos are ranked 3rd in Average Points Scored this season.
Xavier Willison has scored 3 tries this season, 1 as the first tryscorer.
Brisbane have scored the first try in 3 straight games and 6 of 9 this season. Souths have allowed the first try in 3 straight and 5 of 9 games.

Head to Head

South Sydney and Brisbane have met on 12 occasions since the beginning of the 2019 season. Souths hold a 7-5 advantage in the head to head but Brisbane have won 4 of the last 6 games played.

Last year they split the difference 1-1 with each team winning on their home turf. The Under/Over is evenly separated at 6-6 during this span but 3 of the last 5 have gone Over.

Both games last year finished with 10 point winning margins while 7 of the 10 games prior all were 13+ point win margins.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	2-3	0-5

Souths were embarrassed for the second time in 3 weeks, this time by the Knights losing 30-4 at Magic Round over the weekend. After bouncing back from a 32-0 drubbing at the hands of Canterbury in Round 7, South Sydney put it to Melbourne in Round 8 going down by only 8 points in Melbourne 24-16.

This game just kind of mirrors their season to date, a raft of injuries affecting the team and despite the overall balance in Territory and Possession the team still gave up 30. The damage was done early with 3 tries in the first 13 minutes of the game as the Rabbits allowed 7 Linebreaks to their opponents in the first half, more than double their season average in first halves.

They were also cooked in attack, unable to capitalise on their 30 tackles Inside the Bunnies 20m zone, they had 0 linebreaks themselves for the 2nd time in 3 weeks and had 9 errors during the 80 minutes.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
5-4	0-9	4-2	0-3

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News

Some key Ins for the Rabbits this week with Latrell Mitchell and Jamie Humphreys returning from injury.

Siliva Havili replaces Peter Mamouzelos at hooker with Pete out with injury. Euan Aitken moves into the backrow which sees Isaiah Tass move from the wing to centre and Fletcher Myers come into the starting side.

Tavita Tatola has been dropped to the reserves with Jai Arrow and Keaon Koloamatangi the new front row pairing. Sean Keppie is on the bench together with Jye Gray.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List

1. Latrell Mitchell

2. Bayleigh Bentley-Hape

3. Isaiah Tass

4. Campbell Graham

5. Fletcher Myers

6. Jayden Sullivan

7. Jamie Humphreys

8. Jai Arrow

9. Siliva Havili

10. Keaon Koloamatangi

11. Euan Aitken

12. Tallis Duncan

13. Lachlan Hubner

Interchange

14. Jye Gray

15. Sean Keppie

16. Davvy Moale

17. Liam Le Blanc

Reserves

18. Tevita Tatola

19. Lewis Dodd

20. Josh Schuster

21. Shaq Mitchell

22. Jacob Host

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	2-3

The Broncos had another one of those games last weekend where they looked like a reserve grade team. A 32-8 loss to the Penrith Panthers is their biggest defeat of the season so far as both the defence and attack faltered throughout the 80 mins at Magic Round.

Brisbane were unable to restrict their opponents making ground up the field and poor attempts at tackling resulted in 7 linebreaks to the Panthers, double the season average allowed by the Broncos.

They looked clunky in attack with the defence rushing up and stymying the Broncs opportunities to use their passing and set plays effectively. They scored just 1 try on 31 tackles in the Penrith 20m zone where they otherwise this season average a four pointer every 6 tackles.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
3-6	4-5	2-3	3-1

Brisbane Broncos Team News

The only change in the lineup from last week’s loss is Jaiyden Hunt dropping to the reserves for Fletcher Baker who comes onto the interchange. Ezra Mam has completed his 9 game suspension and will return to play via QCup.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Selwyn Cobbo

2. Deine Mariner

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ben Hunt

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Patrick Carrigan

9. Billy Walters

10. Payne Haas

11. Xavier Willison

12. Jordan Riki

13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange

14. Cory Paix

15. Corey Jensen

16. Brendan Piakura

17. Fletcher Baker

Reserves

18. Tyson Smoothy

19. Josiah Karapani

20. Martin Taupau

21. Jaiyden Hunt

22. Delouise Hoeter

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 10?

You can watch the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 10 game check the NRL website or the official South Sydney Rabbitohs site.

Verdict

South Sydney Rabbitohs v Brisbane Broncos

Brisbane -10.5

Line

$1.90 - 3 Units

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