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Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans NRL Round 10 Tips - Titans defence STINKS

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Wed 07 May 2025 14:06

Ryan Tucker 07 May 2025

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Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans expert predictions for Friday’s Round 10 NRL game
Kick off is at 6:00 PM (AEST) at McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Knights aim for their 7th consecutive home win vs Titans.
Titans struggle with defense; Newcastle confident after a 30-4 win over Souths.
Expect Fletcher Sharpe to shine in scoring and Newcastle to cover the line.

Sharpe tipped to score vs Titans

Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction

Newcastle will make it 7 wins in a row at home against the Titans this weekend with another chance to stretch their legs in the scoring department.

Despite the Titans winning the matchup earlier this season it is difficult to see how their defence will stack up against a Knights team brimming with confidence following their 30-4 demolition of Souths at Magic Round.

They are last or second last in the major defensive statistics with effort and decision making playing a key role in their deficiencies. Newcastle are a solid team at home with a 18-10 ATS record since the beginning of the 2023 season.

Fletcher Sharpe together with the support of the outside backs have the ability to rip through flimsy defence which is the expectation in this game. The Knights forwards will get a roll through the middle with Gold Coast allowing them to gain metres at will, then the backs - led by Sharpe, will finish the job on the edges.

Take Newcastle to win and cover the line at home, Titans team total Under and Fletcher Sharpe to continue his dream run of tryscoring!

Newcastle are 18-10 ATS (and straight up) at home since 2023
The Titans are averaging 17.6 pts in their losses this season which is also the number they have averaged in the last 6 games at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Fletcher Sharpe has scored in 3 of last 4 games for Newcastle.
Gold Coast have conceded the first try in 5 of last 6 games.

Head to Head

Gold Coast won the matchup against Newcastle earlier this season 26-6, snapping a 3 game win streak in favour of the Knights. Since the start of the 2019 season Newcastle hold a 6-5 advantage in the head to head record.

The last 2 games and 5 of the last 11 have gone Under the Game Total while 8 of the last 11 games have finished with win margins of 13+ points.

Newcastle have won 5 straight as the home team vs Gold Coast.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	1-4

The Knights finally put on some points last week at Magic Round, scoring 30 for the first time since round 26 last year, coincidentally against this week’s opponents Gold Coast.

It was also the best defensive performance of the year so far for Newcastle, restricting their opponents to just 4 points with the lone try coming in the 66th minute of the game. Newcastle totalled 1787 Run Metres during the game, the highest number for them in any matchup this season with Souths missing 59 tackles in the contest.

Fletcher Sharpe continues to work into his groove with 3 tries, 29 tackles and 3 Linebreaks in the win. All 5 starting forwards totalled 100+ run metres each with James Schiller and Greg Marzhew both going over 200 m with solid work out of their own end.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
2-6	1-7	1-0	2-5

Newcastle Knights Team News

The Knights stick with the same lineup that snapped their 5 game losing streak, Tyson Gamble and Thomas Cant are both in the reserves.

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Kalyn Ponga

2. James Schiller

3. Dane Gagai

4. Bradman Best

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Fletcher Sharpe

7. Jack Cogger

8. Jacob Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland

10. Leo Thompson

11. Dylan Lucas

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Tyson Frizell

Interchange

14. Jayden Brailey

15. Mat Croker

16. Adam Elliott

17. Brodie Jones

Reserves

18. Thomas Cant

19. Tyson Gamble

20. Kyle McCarthy

21. Matthew Arthur

22. Paul Bryan

Gold Coast Titans Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-5	1-4	3-2

Things are going from bad to worse for the Titans. They have now lost 5 in a row, conceding an average of 38.4 pts per game during that span. The defence is not the only problem as they failed to reach 20 points in attack for the 4th time in 5 games.

Gold Coast rank 16th in Opposition Run Metres, 17th in Opposition Linebreaks, 13th in Opposition Tackles Inside 20m and 16th in Opposition Territory and Possession. They are completely under siege defensively with no structure and bad decision making across the park.

There have been some bright sparks in attack throughout the first third of the year but it is not happening on a consistent basis which affects confidence and decision making when they get into attacking situations. Ranking 15th in Tackles Inside 20m those situations are currently few and far between.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
3-5	4-4	0-1	2-5

Gold Coast Titans Team News

Jojo Fifita and Jayden Campbell are back in the lineup with Campbell’s return ahead of schedule timely given Tom Weaver’s concussion at the weekend.

Still no sign of David Fifita who is seeking ongoing medical advice for an ankle injury.

Gold Coast Titans Team List

1. Jaylan de Groot

2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira

3. Brian Kelly

4. Phillip Sami

5. Jojo Fifita

6. AJ Brimson

7. Jayden Campbell

8. Moeaki Fotuaika

9. Sam Verrills

10. Reagan Campbell-Gillard

11. Klese Haas

12. Beau Fermor

13. Tino Fa'asuamaleaui

Interchange

14. Chris Randall

15. Iszac Fa'asuamaleaui

16. Arama Hau

17. Josiah Pahulu

Reserves

18. Tony Francis

19. Jacob Alick-Wiencke

20. Tukimihia Simpkins

21. Allan Fitzgibbon

22. Sean Mullany

Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2025 Round 10?

You can watch the Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2025 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2025 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans NRL 2025 Round 10 game check the NRL website or the official Newcastle Knights site.

Verdict

Newcastle Knights v Gold Coast Titans

Take Newcastle to win and cover the line at home, Titans team total Under and Fletcher Sharpe to continue his dream run of tryscoring!

Newcastle -6.5

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