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North Queensland Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers NRL Tips - Panthers to secure back-to-back wins for first time in 2025

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 08 May 2025 11:43

Andrew Hendrie 08 May 2025

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North Queensland Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 10 game
Kick off is at 7.35pm AEST at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Panthers to avenge R5 loss to Cowboys & claim back-to-back wins for the first time this season
Brian To'o can celebrate his return from injury by continuing red-hot try-scoring form vs Cows
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

North Queensland Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers, NRL Round 10 - Expert Prediction

After their stirring Magic Round triumph, the Panthers can string together back-to-back wins for the first time this season and conquer the Cowboys in Townsville to close out Super Saturday.

North Queensland Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers, NRL Round 10 - Expert Prediction
Head To Head
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
North Queensland Cowboys Team News
North Queensland Cowboys Team List
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List

Anchored to the bottom of the ladder and confronted with a must-win Magic Round clash with the Broncos, four-time reigning premiers Penrith finally stood up and produced the footy we know they're capable of, completely dismantling Brisbane with the herculean defensive effort we've become so accustomed too, ultimately prevailing 32-8.

However, all of that will count for nothing (well technically two points, but you know what I mean) if Penrith fail to back it up against another Queensland club in the Cowboys. Nathan Cleary was absolutely immense in the Brisbane win and with Origin around the corner, I'm tipping another masterclass from the superstar halfback. The Cowboys are still far too erratic in my eyes and leaking 30 points in quick succession against the Warriors doesn't bode well ahead of this encounter.

I'll back the Panthers' defence to keep this total Under 50.5, while winger Brian To'o can celebrate his return from injury by continuing his strong try-scoring form against the Cowboys.

Panthers have won two of their last three games
Panthers conceded just 12 & 8 points in those two wins
Cowboys are coming off a loss to the Warriors in which they conceded 30 points
Panthers have seen Under 50.5 total points in five of their last six games
Cowboys have seen Under 50.5 points in five of their last seven games
Brian To'o has scored at least one try in his last six games vs Cowboys

Head To Head

The Cowboys have had the wood over the Panthers in recent seasons, including a 22-18 triumph back in Round 5.

North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	3-2

After a slow start to the season in which they lost their opening three games, the Cowboys turned things around and proceeded to put together a four-match winning streak.

Two of those victories were against the second-placed Raiders and Penrith themselves, showcasing that when the Cowboys get it right, they can match it with any side in the competition.

However, I think consistency will remain an issue for the Cowboys throughout the season and I was concerned with their defence leaking 30 points in 44 minutes against the Warriors in Magic Round.

In positive news for the Cowboys, captain Jason Taumalolo produced his best game of the season, running for 209 metres off 18 carries, while Jaxon Purdue continues to impress in the centres, scoring five tries in his last four games.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
5-3	4-4	3-2	1-2

North Queensland Cowboys Team News

Reuben Cotter is suspended for the next two games, with Thomas Mikaele coming into the squad for his first game of 2025.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List

1. Scott Drinkwater

2. Robert Derby

3. Jaxon Purdue

4. Viliami Vailea

5. Murray Taulagi

6. Tom Dearden

7. Jake Clifford

8. Jordan McLean

9. Reece Robson

10. Jason Taumalolo

11. John Bateman

12. Jeremiah Nanai

13. Sam McIntyre

Interchange

14. Harrison Edwards

15. Thomas Mikaele

16. Griffin Neame

17. Coen Hess

Reserves

18. Zac Laybutt

19. Thomas Duffy

20. Semi Valemei

21. Karl Lawton

22. Kai O’Donnell

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	1-4

It was obviously a shocking start to the season for the Panthers and they enter this clash without back-to-back wins as they chase a fifth consecutive premiership.

In saying that, it's a totally understandable slow start - it's impossible to maintain that level of intensity for every single game over the last five years and motivation levels and desire in defence being low at the beginning of the year after four straight premierships makes sense.

However, when it mattered most with their season virtually on the line, the Panthers delivered the kind of performance that propelled them to so much success so far this decade, crushing the Broncos 32-8 on the back of some rock-solid defence and individual brilliance from Nathan Cleary and Isaah Yeo.

The Panthers' season starts now.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
4-5	4-5	1-4	2-2

Penrith Panthers Team News

Some huge inclusions for the Panthers this week, with Brian To'o returning on the wing and Mitch Kenny back at hooker.

Brad Schneider also returns on the bench, with Trent Toelau, Luke Sommerton and Mavrik Geyer all dropping out.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Paul Alamoti

3. Izack Tago

4. Luke Garner

5. Brian To’o

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Isaiah Papali’i

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaah Yeo

Interchange

14. Brad Schneider

15. Liam Henry

16. Luron Patea

17. Thomas Jenkins

Reserves

18. Luke Sommerton

19. Matt Eisenhuth

20. Casey McLean

21. Daine Laurie

22. Trent Toelau

Verdict

North Queensland Cowboys v Penrith Panthers

The Panthers are tipped to make it back-to-back wins and cover a small -3.5 line in victory over the Cowboys, with their defence keeping the game total Under 50.5 points.

Brian To'o is looking to score a try in seven straight games against the Cowboys.

Panthers -3.5

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