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Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins NRL Round 10 Tips - Eels off the bottom

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue 06 May 2025 10:56

Jeremy Darke 06 May 2025

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Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 10 NRL game
Kick off is at 7:50 PM (AEST) at CommBank Stadium
Trends point towards the over with poor defence from both sides.
Parramatta Eels expected to win and jump Dolphins on ladder.

Jez tells you why this one hits the over.

Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Parramatta Eels will jump the Dolphins on the ladder with a win at Commbank Stadium on Thursday, covering the line in a high-scoring matchup.

Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Parramatta Eels Team News
Parramatta Eels Team List
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Dolphins Team News
Dolphins Team List
Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

Both teams have been very ordinary in defence this season, especially the Dolphins in their most recent matchups, which opens this game up for attack. The return of Mitch Moses has obviously been a positive for the club, especially with ball in hand and that is where they will find their edge in this game.

Jason Ryles and Kristian Woolf have their work cut out for them, fixing their team’s defence and will rely heavily on their attack to get them victories in the first half of the season.

Look for Moses' superior kicking game to put the Eels in better field position and then spread the ball right to dissect the left-side defence of the Dolphins which has been under the pump over the last couple of weeks.

With that in mind, look for both Bailey Simonsson and Sean Russell to see a lot of ball inside their opposition 20m and cross for a try.

The Dolphins have not won outside of Queensland this season.
The game total of 49.5 points has been surpassed in both matches between the Dolphins and Eels.
The last 3 Dolphins matches have had a total score of 62+ points going over the game total.
The Dolphins left-side defence gave up 4 tries to their opposing centre-wing pairing last week.

Head to Head

The score is 1-1 in the head-to-head battle between the Dolphins and Eels. Parramatta got a 28-point win in 2023, while the Dolphins also took a 28-point win last season in 2024.

Both games have been played on neutral grounds on the Sunshine Coast and in Darwin.

Both games have gone over the game total with 60+ points in each match.

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	2-3

Parramatta put in another good performance but it wasn’t enough to get past the Sharks in Magic Round, going down 28-18. The Cronulla defence proved why they are the second-best team in the comp defensively, starving the Eels of too many scoring chances.

Despite the loss, the Eels still looked like an improved outfit with Mitch Moses in the squad, especially in attack and they will continue to lift themselves from the bottom of the ladder if they follow the same trajectory.

Moses once again was the centre of the attack for the Eels, recording a try assist and two linebreaks, while his halves partner Dylan Brown had a try and a linebreak assist.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
4-4	3-5	1-2	1-4

Parramatta Eels Team News

‘

Matt Doorey comes onto the bench for the Eels in the only change for Jason Ryles this week.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Isaiah Iongi

2. Bailey Simonsson

3. Will Penisini

4. Sean Russell

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dylan Brown

7. Mitch Moses

8. Jack Williams

9. Ryley Smith

10. Junior Paulo

11. Charlie Guymer

12. Kitione Kautoga

13. J'maine Hopgood

Interchange

14. Dylan Walker

15. Luca Moretti

16. Matt Doorey

17. Jordan Samrani

Reserves

18. Ryan Matterson

19. Joash Papalii

20. Dean Hawkins

21. Toni Mataele

22. Brendan Hands

Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	3-2

The Dolphins internally combusted in defence against the Roosters, just as they did against the Raiders in the second half the week prior.

The Dolphins gave up 8 linebreaks to the Roosters, really suffering on the edges with their defensive combinations. Despite territory being 50-50 in the end, the Dolphins had just 14 tackles inside their opposition 20m, compared to the 29 they gave up to Sydney.

Field positon and go forward is the biggest weakness for the Dolphins with and without the ball with Redcliff 12th in attacking and defensive run metres, while ranked 14th in linebreak creation (3.8/G) and 12th in opposition line breaks (5.2/G).

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
5-4	3-6	0-5	3-1

Dolphins Team News

Felise Kaufusi (knee) and Kurt Donoghoe (ankle) return from injury in a big boost for the Dolphins.

However, Jeremy Marshall-King will miss the match with an infected cut that he received earlier this season.

Dolphins Team List

1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

2. Jamayne Isaako

3. Jake Averillo

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Jack Bostock

6. Kodi Nikorima

7. Isaiya Katoa

8. Francis Molo

9. Kurt Donoghoe

10. Felise Kaufusi

11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki

12. Connelly Lemuela

13. Tom Gilbert

Interchange

14. Ray Stone

15. Mark Nicholls

16. Josh Kerr

17. Sean O’Sullivan

Reserves

18. Kenny Bromwich

19. Sean O'Sullivan

20. Oryn Keeley

21. Harrison Graham

22. Max Feagai

Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 10?

You can watch the Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 10 game check the NRL website or the official Parramatta Eels site.

Verdict

Parramatta Eels v Dolphins

The Eels will snatch their third win of the season and in a high-scoring match up against the Dolphins.

Sean Russell proves to be the best value try scorer considering the Dolphins problems on their left-side defence.

Parramatta -2.5

Handicap/Line

$1.95 - 2 Units

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Over 49.5

Game Total

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