Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 11 Tips & Prediction - Storm set for another big win over Eels

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 14 May 2026 12:24

Andrew Hendrie 14 May 2026

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Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm predictions for Saturday's NRL R11 game
Storm have dominated Parra over last seven games for an average score of 38-12
Going heavy on tryscorers - Faalogo, Fox & Grant tipped to cross
The match is scheduled for kick off at 7.45pm AEST on Saturday May 16

Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 11 Tips

Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 11 Tips & Prediction

The Storm are tipped to make it back-to-back wins, continuing their dominant record over the Eels in a Saturday night Magic Round showdown.

Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 11 Tips & Prediction
Eels vs Storm Stats & Trends
Eels vs Storm Head To Head
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis
Eels vs Storm Team News

Is this the start of the Melbourne comeback? We saw the Panthers rise from the bottom of the table to reach the preliminary finals last season, so Craig Bellamy and his side know it can be done. Still a long way to ago and their big win last week was over an awfully depleted Tigers side, but another dominant performance here would set the tone nicely.

Meanwhile, the Eels remain extremely volatile - they've produced great performances to beat the likes of the Broncos, Bulldogs and Cowboys this season, but they remain the worst defensive team in the competition, leaking 345 points across the opening 10 rounds. Until they fix that area, they won't challenge for the top eight.

Big game between two master halfbacks - Mitch Moses was the match-winner last week for the Eels, while Jahrome Hughes was back to his best as the Storm dropped 44 points on the Tigers, while Cameron Munster also found some form ahead of Origin.

Melbourne have dominated Parramatta in recent times with an average score of 38-12 across the last seven meetings, so take them to cover a -8.5 line. I'm going to focus on tryscorers for the remaining bets. Harry Grant has a ridiculous record against the Eels, scoring 10 tries in his last eight appearances, while Sua Faalago and Josh Addo-Carr can be paired into a small SGM for decent odds.

Eels vs Storm Stats & Trends

Storm have won the last seven meetings between the teams
The average score in the last seven meetings has been Storm 38-12
Storm have scored 46+ points in four of those seven wins
Eels are the worst defensive team in the comp, leaking 30+ points in five of last seven
Eels have lost five of their six Magic Round games
Harry Grant has scored 1+ try in seven of his last eight games vs Eels for a total of 10 - he also scored vs Tigers last week. Grant scored the 2nd try vs Eels in R1 this season
Sua Faalago has scored 12 tries in 10 games this season, crossing in all but one game
Josh Addo-Carr has more Magic Round tries than any other player (8) - he's also scored four tries in his last five games

Eels vs Storm Head To Head

As mentioned, the Storm have had the wood over the Eels for a while now, winning the last seven meetings - including a 52-4 demolition in Round 1, with Grant and Faalogo scoring doubles.

Year	Winner	Score	Venue
2026	Melbourne Storm	52–4	AAMI
2025	Melbourne Storm	16–10	CommBank
2025	Melbourne Storm	56–18	AAMI
2024	Melbourne Storm	32–14	CommBank
2024	Melbourne Storm	48–16	Suncorp

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis

The Eels are languishing in 14th position on the ladder with a 4-6 record and remain unlikely to feature in the finals.

However, if Parramatta can tidy up their defence and Mitch Moses starts to find his best form, then anything is possible.

Moses hasn't been great so far this season, but he produced his best performance last week against the Cowboys, setting up his side's dramatic late comeback with a narrow short side play before slotting home the match-winning field goal in golden point.

It was a much-needed win for the Eels, who had leaked 30+ points in back-to-back games against the Warriors and Manly the previous fortnight.

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis

Finally, the Storm snapped an almost-unprecedented seven-game losing streak with last week's big win over the Tigers.

It was like watching a completely different side - suddenly the energy and line speed was back, while Cameron Munster easily played his best game of the season alongside Jahrome Hughes.

Harry Grant was back scheming from dummy-half and the forwards and outside backs cut out the silly errors that have been costing them so much.

Still, you can't take much from beating this version of the Tigers, so Craig Bellamy will demand another big performance here before we can start declaring the Storm are back.

Eels vs Storm Team News

Jason Ryles has named the same 19-man side for the Eels, with Ronald Volkman keeping his spot in the halves after some impressive performances.

Sua Faalogo has been cleared of a facial fracture and lines up at fullback for Melbourne, while Moses Leo comes into the wing in place of Hugo Peel.

Parramatta Eels	Position	Melbourne Storm
Joash Papalii	1	Sualauvi Faalogo
Brian Kelly	2	Will Warbrick
Jordan Samrani	3	Jack Howarth
Sean Russell	4	Nick Meaney
Josh Addo-Carr	5	Moses Leo
Ronald Volkman	6	Cameron Munster
Mitchell Moses	7	Jahrome Hughes
Luca Moretti	8	Stefano Utoikamanu
Tallyn Da Silva	9	Harry Grant
Junior Paulo	10	Josh King
Kelma Tuilagi	11	Shawn Blore
Jack Williams	12	Ativalu Lisati
Jack De Belin	13	Trent Loiero
Dylan Walker	14	Trent Toelau
Saxon Pryke	15	Cooper Clarke
Toni Mataele	16	Davvy Moale
Charlie Guymer	17	Joe Chan
Apa Twidle	18	Stanley Huen
Teancum Brown	19	Preston Conn
Harrison Edwards	20	Josiah Pahulu
Araz Nanva	21	Manaia Waitere
Jonah Pezet	22	Angus Hinchey