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Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs AFL Round 24 Tips - Top-Four Hopes on the Line

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026 14:22

Melbourne Demons look poised to secure a vital win over the Western Bulldogs in Round 24 of the 2026 AFL season. A victory would guarantee the Demons a week off and potentially propel them into the top four if results elsewhere go their way. The Bulldogs, already set for a wildcard final, aim to secure a better seed and possible home advantage. With the Demons displaying dominant attacking form and the Bulldogs managing key injuries, the prediction is for a comfortable Melbourne win by over 16.5 points, with a big team total and strong contributions from Harrison Petty.

Ryan Tucker 1 hour ago
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  • Melbourne are tipped to win by over 16.5 points, with strong recent form and scoring.
  • Bulldogs face injury concerns, notably Bontempelli, impacting upset hopes.
  • A Demons win secures rest and may elevate them into the top four on the ladder.
  • The game will be played at MCG on Saturday, 22nd August, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs

Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs, Round 24 2026 - Expert Prediction


Melbourne can guarantee a week off by beating the Bulldogs, and could even climb into the top four outright if Brisbane or Hawthorn slip up. 

The Western Bulldogs, on the other hand, are locked into a wildcard final no matter what happens here, but a win would put eighth spot and a potential home wildcard final within reach, while a loss paired with a Carlton win risks dropping them to tenth.


Melbourne have been dominant of late, thrashing Port Adelaide by 76 points at Adelaide Oval last week with Max Gawn (25 disposals, 9 clearances), Kade Chandler (4 goals in his 100th game) and Bayley Fritsch (4 goals) all firing. They've now won 4 of their last 5 and are averaging 109.6 points a game over that stretch. The Bulldogs' form has been far less settled with a draw against Carlton last week followed two losses and two wins across their previous four, their attack has averaged just 76.4 points across that same period.

The numbers line up firmly behind the Demons having won 10 of their last 11 games at the MCG. The uncertainty for the Bulldogs is personnel with skipper Marcus Bontempelli was rested last week and reports out of the club have been mixed on whether he returns here or is managed for another week.

Take Melbourne to win by more than 16.5 points, the Demons' team total to run big, and Harrison Petty for another multi-goal game at the MCG on Saturday afternoon.

  • Melbourne have won 10 of their last 11 games at the MCG and are fresh off a 76-point demolition of Port Adelaide.
  • The Dees attack has been firing of late and could explode in the 2nd half if the Dogs fatigue.
  • Harrison Petty kicked 2 goals in last week's win and has been a genuine focal point inside 50 for the Demons through the back half of the season.
  • Western Bulldogs skipper Marcus Bontempelli's fitness is in doubt after being managed out of last week's draw with an Achilles issue, which would be a significant blow to the Dogs' hopes of an upset.

Head to Head Stats


Melbourne hold a slight historical edge, 93 wins to 83 all-time, though the recent series has actually favoured the Bulldogs having won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 3-point win over the Demons back in Round 11 this year, 14.9 (93) to 13.12 (90).

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis


Melbourne produced one of their best performances of the season last weekend demolishing Port Adelaide 20.12 (132) to 8.8 (56) at Adelaide Oval. Max Gawn (25 disposals, 9 clearances), Kade Chandler (4 goals in his 100th game), Bayley Fritsch (4 goals) and ex-Saint Jack Steele (27 disposals, 1 goal) were the headline performers, while Harrison Petty chipped in 2 goals up forward. 

Melbourne sit 5th at 15-7 and can move into the top four with a win here paired with results elsewhere, though Jacob van Rooyen has been handed a 3 week suspension following his illegal hit in last week's win.

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis


The Bulldogs drew with Carlton 12.10 (82) apiece at Marvel Stadium last weekend, a result that locked Carlton into the last wildcard spot while the Dogs remained ninth. Ed Richards (31 disposals, 6 clearances, 2 goals) and Tom Liberatore (33 disposals, 12 clearances) were the best of the Bulldogs, filling the void left by skipper Marcus Bontempelli, who was rested with an Achilles complaint alongside ruckman Tim English. 

The Bulldogs are already locked into a wildcard final regardless of this result, though a win could improve their seeding and hosting rights for that game.

Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs Team List & News


Melbourne Demons Team News: The Demons reported no new injuries out of last week's win, though Jacob van Rooyen has been suspended for 3 games following a high hit on Port Adelaide's Aliir Aliir during last week's game.

Western Bulldogs Team News: Marcus Bontempelli's fitness is the biggest call of the round after he was rested last week with an Achilles issue and reports have differed on whether he's ready to return, with ruckman Tim English also managed out of the Carlton draw and worth watching for this game.

(Full 22-man team lists to be added once officially confirmed by both clubs ahead of Saturday's game.)

Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2026 Round 24 FAQ's

  • How to watch Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2026 Round 24?

    You can watch the Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2026 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

  • How to buy tickets to Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2026 Round 24?

    To buy tickets to the Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2026 Round 24 game check the AFL website or the official Melbourne Demons site.

Verdict

Take Melbourne to win by more than 16.5 points, the Demons' team total to run big, and Harrison Petty for another multi-goal game at the MCG on Saturday afternoon.
Best Bet1: Melbourne -16.5 Line $1.90 at Betraven (bets500) - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Demons Over Team Total $1.87 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Harrison Petty 2+ Goals $1.75 at dabble (BETSAU) - 2 Units
Melbourne -16.5
Line
$1.90 - 3 Units

Bet at Betraven (bets500)
Demons Over
Team Total
$1.87 - 2 Units

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia
Harrison Petty 2+
Goals
$1.75 - 2 Units

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)

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