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Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights NRL Round 11 Tips - Points Bonanza at Magic Round

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: Fri 15 May 2026 06:03

Ryan Tucker 15 May 2026

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Newcastle averaging 27 points conceded, Titans tipped to surpass 22.5 points.
Knights in strong scoring form: 86 points in last 2 games, led by Marzhew.
Top player bets: Marzhew 2+ tries, Lucas anytime tryscorer; expect 63+ total points.
Kick off is at 2:00 PM (AEST) on Sunday, 17th May at Suncorp Stadium

Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights

Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights, Round 11 2026 - Expert Prediction

The Titans are tipped to put up points against Newcastle in a game that profiles as one of the highest-scoring matchups of Magic Round.

Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights, Round 11 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
Gold Coast Titans Form Analysis
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis
Gold Coast Titans v Newcastle Knights Team News & Team Lists
Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 11 FAQ’s

Newcastle are flying in attack, but their defence is nowhere near the level it has been in previous seasons. The Knights are allowing 27 points per game this season have conceded an average of 34.4 points across their last 5 games. That is why the Gold Coast Titans Team Total Over 22.5 is the best starting point.

Gold Coast are still raw under Josh Hannay, but there is enough attacking upside in this side. Keano Kini, Jayden Campbell, AJ Brimson, Jojo Fifita and Phillip Sami give them speed across the park and the Titans' recent numbers show they can generate territory. The matchup factors have them with advantages in Run Metres, Post Contact Metres and Kick Metres.

The Newcastle Knights are dangerous enough to do their share of the scoring as well. They have put up 86 points over the past 2 weeks and Kalyn Ponga is back driving the attack. That is the type of game environment that brings the 63+ total points range into play rather than a standard Over.

The tryscorer markets sit with Newcastle. Greg Marzhew has scored 8 tries in his last 2 games and is the obvious high-ceiling play for 2+ tries, while Dylan Lucas is named on the edge and gives us the anytime angle.

Take the Titans Team Total Over 22.5 and the total points 3-way range Over 63 pts. Greg Marzhew 2+ tries and Dylan Lucas anytime tryscorer are the top player props.

Newcastle are allowing 27 points per game this season and have conceded 34.4 points per game across their last 5 games.
Gold Coast have averaged 21.6 points across their last 5 games and only need to clear 22.5 against a leaky Knights defence.
Newcastle have scored 86 points across the past 2 weeks.
Greg Marzhew has scored 8 tries in his last 2 games and is the clear 2+ tries play.

Head to Head Stats

Gold Coast have won only 2 of the last 5 games against Newcastle but have still averaged 22.8 pts per game and scored 24+ in 4 of 5 games. The Titans won both meetings last season, 24-20 in Newcastle and 26-6 at home. The last 5 meetings have shown enough scoring volatility to make the 63+ range worth attacking with both teams carrying obvious points in them.

Titans Atk Rank	Knights Def Rank	Stat	Knights Atk Rank	Titans Def Rank
15	13	Points	7	9
11	13	Run Mts	13	14
13	12	Linebreaks	5	4
15	5	Compl %	13	12

Gold Coast Titans Form Analysis

The Titans pushed the Roosters in a strong contest last week and have kept the same starting side for Magic Round. Zane Harrison remains in the No.7 jersey for his second NRL game, giving Gold Coast another look at the next stage of their halves setup.

Gold Coast are averaging 21.6 points across their last 5 games, but the team total line of 22.5 is still reachable against this version of Newcastle. The Knights' defensive drop-off is the key part of the bet.

Gold Coast also hold strong matchup-factor advantages. They have a +314.8 Run Metres advantage against Newcastle, a +236.8 Post Contact Metres swing in the attacking comparison and a strong kicking edge. That gives them the field position base to punch through this number.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis

Newcastle are the form attacking team in this matchup. They have scored 86 points over the past 2 weeks and Ponga has been sensational since returning from injury.

The issue is that their defensive numbers are still giving opponents a path into games. Newcastle have conceded 34.4 points per game across their last 5 and are allowing 27 points per game for the season, a big difference from their profile in previous years.

The tryscorer edge is still clearly on their side. Marzhew is in ridiculous form with 8 tries in 2 games, and Dylan Lucas is named in the back row where he can hit the hole off Ponga, Dylan Brown and Fletcher Sharpe.

Gold Coast Titans v Newcastle Knights Team News & Team Lists

Gold Coast Titans Team News: Josh Hannay has named the same starting side that faced the Roosters. Zane Harrison remains at halfback and Luke Sommerton replaces Sam Verrills on the bench.

Newcastle Knights Team News: Newcastle have made no changes to the starting side after their big win over the Dragons. Cody Hopwood moves into the 17 and Harrison Graham is again listed on the extended bench.

More Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 11 Team List Article.

Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to livestream Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 11?

You can livestream the Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 11 game check the NRL website or the official Gold Coast Titans site.

Verdict

Gold Coast Titans v Newcastle Knights

Take the Titans Team Total Over 22.5 and the total points 3-way range Over 63 pts. Greg Marzhew 2+ tries and Dylan Lucas anytime tryscorer are the top player props.

Titans over 22.5

Team Total

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