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St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL Round 25 Tips & Prediction - Resurgent Dragons look to end Dogs' season
NRL Round 25 sees the St George Illawarra Dragons take on the Canterbury Bulldogs in a contest expected to be tight and low-scoring. Despite a challenging season, the Dragons are displaying resilience and come off two impressive wins, while the Bulldogs have stumbled in recent weeks, risking their finals hopes. Key recommendations include backing either team to win by 1-12, Dragons +6.5 on the line, and under 43.5 total points. Hamish Stewart is highlighted as value for a try. Team changes and recent close encounters add to the match intrigue.
- St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canterbury Bulldogs predictions for Saturday's NRL R25
- Another tight contest between these teams tipped with Under 43.5 points
- Dragons playing best footy of the season & backed to push the Dogs all the way
- The game is scheduled for kick off at 7.35pm AEST on Saturday August 22
St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL Round 25 Tips & Prediction
A close game with minimal points beckons at Allianz Stadium on Saturday night, with either team 1-12, Dragons +6.5 and Under 43.5 total points the plays. Hamish Stewart has emerged as one of the game's premier second-rowers and is good value for another try.
You've got to respect what the Dragons are doing at the moment. It's been a nightmare season, but they've never thrown in the towel and now Dean Young's side have the chance to win three games in a row for the first time since 2023.
Daniel Atkinson is much more effective at fullback, Tyrell Sloan is in career-best form before moving to the Super League and the Dragons' young forward pack has been extremely impressive.
Meanwhile, the Bulldogs enjoyed a little purple patch of form with Stephen Crichton moving to five-eighth and Viliame Kikau producing some vintage performances, but they've stumbled over the last fortnight, leaving their finals chances in real jeopardy.
Canterbury really should have put the Roosters away with a 10-point lead in the second-half two weeks ago before their much-maligned attack again misfired in a 22-6 loss to the Rabbitohs in Round 24.
Two extremely disappointing results for the Dogs and I wouldn't be surprised if they turn up flat (well, flatter than usual) for this one.
Recent meetings between these teams have been close and low-scoring, so I'm taking the Dragons with a +6.5 start, either team to win by 1-12 and Under 43.5 total points. Hamish Stewart has had a prolific last month and is good value for another try.
Dragons vs Bulldogs Stats & Trends
- Dragons have covered a +6.5 line in four of their last six games
- Dragons have seen Under 43.5 points in five of their last eight games
- Bulldogs have lost their last two games
- The last three meetings have been decided by eight points or less
- Three of the last four meetings have seen 38 points or less
- Hamish Stewart has scored three tries in his last five games & plays 80 mins most weeks in the 2nd row
Dragons vs Bulldogs Head To Head
The Bulldogs have won the last six meetings between the pair, but the most recent encounters have been close, including a 15-14 golden point triumph in Vegas back in Round 1, with Stephen Crichton kicking the match-winning field goal.
| Year | Winner | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 14-15 | Allegiant Stadium |
| 2025 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 20-18 | Accor Stadium |
| 2025 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 28-20 | Netstrata Jubilee Stadium |
| 2024 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 28-10 | Netstrata Jubilee Stadium |
| 2024 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 44-12 | Accor Stadium |
St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis
After starting the season with 11 consecutive defeats, the Dragons have improved considerably and one more win here could put huge pressure on the Broncos when it comes to the wooden spoon.
The effort has always been there and the Dragons are now getting rewarded for their continued hard work, coming into this clash following back-to-back victories over the Sharks and Tigers.
The 24-16 win over in-form Cronulla was their best performance of the season, while the joint-venture club held firm to topple the embattled Tigers 24-22 last week.
Tyrell Sloan made it eight tries in eight games, while Hamish Stewart continues to lay claims for a Kangaroos' World Cup spot at season's end with another impressive performance.
Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis
It's been a chaotic season for the Dogs - they've messed up their spine over the last 12 months and if Jacob Preston departs the club, the fans will be up in arms.
Stephen Crichton is one of the most talented footballers in the world, which is why he's impressing at five-eighth, but he's not a natural playmaker and that's been exposed over the last two weeks when Canterbury needed someone to ice the game against the Chooks and get some points on the board against Souths.
Connor Tracy's poor positioning at fullback cost Canterbury in a 20-18 loss to the Roosters, while Cameron Ciraldo's side didn't recover from the disappointment of being held-up twice in the early stages of last week's defeat to the Rabbitohs, ultimately scoring just one try in a 22-6 defeat.
That loss leaves the Bulldogs in ninth spot on the ladder and needing to win their remaining games and hope other results go their way in order to sneak into the eight.
Dragons vs Bulldogs Team News
Josh Kerr comes in for Blake Lawrie on the bench for the Dragons, with Dan Atkinson remaining at fullback.
Jethro Rinakama is out for the rest of the year with a knee injury, so Enari Tuala moves to the wing and Bronson Xerri gets a recall at centre. Sean O'Sullivan comes onto the interchange.
| Dragons | Position | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Atkinson | Fullback | Connor Tracey |
| Mathew Feagai | Winger | Jacob Kiraz |
| Moses Suli | Centre | Matt Burton |
| Valentine Holmes | Centre | Bronson Xerri |
| Tyrell Sloan | Winger | Enari Tuala |
| Lyhkan King-Togia | Five-Eighth | Stephen Crichton (captain) |
| Kyle Flanagan | Halfback | Lachlan Galvin |
| Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga | Prop | Max King |
| Jacob Liddle | Hooker | Bailey Hayward |
| Emre Guler | Prop | Leo Thompson |
| Dylan Egan | Second Row | Viliame Kikau |
| Hamish Stewart | Second Row | Jacob Preston |
| Ryan Couchman | Lock | Jaeman Salmon |
| Damien Cook (captain) | Interchange | Kurt Mann |
| Toby Couchman | Interchange | Josh Curran |
| Jacob Halangahu | Interchange | Harry Hayes |
| Jacob Webster | Interchange | Alekolasimi Jones |
| Setu Tu | Interchange | Jake Turpin |
| Josh Kerr | Interchange | Sean O'Sullivan |
| Blake Lawrie | Reserve | Jed Reardon |
| Luciano Leilua | Reserve | Jonathan Sua |
| Kade Reed | Reserve | Jack Underhill |
Verdict
It's shaping as another tight contest between these teams - take the Dragons with a +6.5 start, either team 1-12 & Under 43.5 points, with Stewart the value tryscorer prop.
Either Team 1-12
Margin
$1.70 - 3 Units
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Dragons +6.5
Line
$1.85 - 2 Units
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Under 43.5
Total Points
$1.90 - 2 Units
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Hamish Stewart
Anytime Tryscorer
$4.00 - 1 Unit
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