South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Round 25 Tips & Prediction - Souths can push Wahs at Accor
The Rabbitohs are expected to keep their top eight hopes alive against the Warriors in Round 25 with a +5.5 start and scoring at least 20 points. Key wingers Alex Johnston and Campbell Graham are predicted to continue their strong try-scoring form. While Souths boast excellent attacking stats and recent strong defensive efforts, the Warriors arrive in excellent form despite injury concerns in key positions. The match is expected to be closely contested, but the Rabbitohs are tipped as value to cover and challenge the Warriors.
- South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors predictions for Saturday's NRL R25 game
- Rabbitohs back to some good form, tipped to cover with a +5.5 start
- Souths wingers Johnston & Graham have great tryscoring records at Accor
- The game is scheduled for kick off at 5.30pm AEST on Saturday August 22
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Round 25 Tips & Prediction
The Rabbitohs are tipped to cover with a +5.5 start and score 20+ points against the Warriors on Saturday night, with wingers Alex Johnston and Campbell Graham continuing their red-hot tryscoring form at Accor Stadium.
Souths have the opportunity to further entrench themselves in the top eight when they host the Warriors in the second game on Super Saturday. The Bunnies have returned to some good form, with star players including Cam Murray and David Fifita back on deck, while Latrell Mitchell has been included in the reserves as he nears a return to action following some nerve issues.
At their best, the Rabbitohs can pile on the points against almost any side in the competition, but it was their defence that shone brightest in last week's 22-6 victory over the Bulldogs, with multiple try-saving tackles over the line a highlight early in the first half. If Souths can get their defence right, then they are capable of giving the competition a bit of a shake in September.
The Warriors meanwhile continue to blitz everything in their path, backing up their outstanding win over the Panthers by dismantling a hapless Broncos side 40-6 last week. However, the win came at a cost, with Luke Metcalf suffering a hamstring injury, continuing a wretched run of luck for the Wahs when it comes to halves this season.
Andrew Webster's side have proven all year they have the depth and quality to navigate these injuries, but it's certainly not ideal heading into the finals.
I think this is a 50-50 contest, so taking the Rabbitohs with a +5.5 start appeals, along with Souths eclipsing their team total of 19.5, which they've done consistently in this matchup. AJ and Stretch are in good tryscoring form and look good for more four-pointers here.
Rabbitohs vs Warriors Stats & Trends
- Rabbitohs have won their last eight games at Accor
- Rabbitohs have scored 28+ points in nine of their last 10 games vs Warriors
- Rabbitohs have scored 20+ points in seven of their last nine games
- Alex Johnston has scored 18 tries in his last 12 games at Accor - including 1+ in his last 11. Johnson also has 26 tries in 18 games this season
- Campbell Graham has scored five tries in his last five games, along with 1+ in his last four appearances at Accor
Rabbitohs vs Warriors Head To Head
Rabbitohs have won eight of the last 10 meetings, but it's been the Warriors who have prevailed in the last two.
| Year | Winner | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Zealand Warriors | 36-30 | Accor Stadium |
| 2024 | New Zealand Warriors | 34-4 | Accor Stadium |
| 2023 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 28-6 | Go Media Stadium |
| 2022 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 48-10 | Sunshine Coast Stadium |
| 2022 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 32-30 | Suncorp Stadium |
South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis
It's been a bit of a rollercoaster season for Souths, but they have their finals destiny in their own hands and really should be making the eight from here.
Wayne Bennett's side increased their lead over the ninth-placed Bulldogs to four points with three rounds remaining and could go a long way towards securing finals footy with an upset win here.
After surviving a second-half comeback from the Eels to prevail 28-24, the Rabbitohs backed it up with a strong 80-minute performance against the Bulldogs last week, coming away with a dominant 22-6 victory.
Souths produced some excellent goal-line defence early to hold up the Dogs twice over the line before taking their chances in attack, with their potent left-edge again running riot as David Fifita and Johnston crossed for tries.
Wayne Bennett's side increased their lead over the ninth-placed Bulldogs to four points with three rounds remaining and could go a long way towards securing finals footy with an upset win here.
New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis
Surely Andrew Webster is a lock for coach of the year?
What he's done with this Warriors side has been remarkable and they head into Round 25 in second spot on the ladder as they look to claim a top two spot and a home game in the opening week of the finals.
The Warriors have won 15 of their 21 games for the season, despite various injury troubles - mostly to their halves.
After bashing Penrith from pillar to post the previous week, there was no hangover for the Warriors as they demolished the Broncos 40-6 last week, with Chanel Harris-Tavita stepping up as Luke Metcalf went off with a freak hamstring injury during a conversion attempt.
Rabbitohs vs Warriors Team News
Latrell Mitchell has been named in the reserves as he tries to make a comeback before the finals.
Adam Elliott is out with a groin injury, with Liam Le Blanc joining the bench and Euan Aitken promoted to the starting side.
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad is suspended for the next two games, so Taine Tuaupiki starts at fullback, while Luke Hanson comes into the halves for Metcalf, with Harris-Tavita moving into the No. 7 jersey. Morgan Gannon joins the bench.
| Rabbitohs | Position | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dufty | Fullback | Taine Tuaupiki |
| Alex Johnston | Winger | Dallin Watene-Zelezniak |
| Tallis Duncan | Centre | Ali Leiataua |
| Jack Wighton | Centre | Leka Halasima |
| Campbell Graham | Winger | Alofiana Khan-Pereira |
| Cody Walker | Five-Eighth | Luke Hanson |
| Jayden Sullivan | Halfback | Chanel Harris-Tavita |
| Tevita Tatola | Prop | James Fisher-Harris |
| Brandon Smith | Hooker | Wayde Egan |
| Keaon Koloamatangi | Prop | Mitchell Barnett |
| David Fifita | Second Row | Kurt Capewell |
| Euan Aitken | Second Row | Jacob Laban |
| Cameron Murray | Lock | Erin Clark |
| Jye Gray | Interchange | Sam Healey |
| Lachlan Hubner | Interchange | Tanner Stowers-Smith |
| Sean Keppie | Interchange | Demitric Vaimauga |
| Liam Le Blanc | Interchange | Eddie Ieremia-Toeava |
| Peter Mamouzelos | Interchange | Adam Pompey |
| Edward Kosi | Interchange | Morgan Gannon |
| Jonah Glover | Reserve | Jett Cleary |
| Thomas Fletcher | Reserve | Luke Laulilii |
| Latrell Mitchell | Reserve | Makaia Tafua |
Verdict
Souths can cover with a +5.5 start & score 20+ points, with Johnston & Campbell backed for tries.
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